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中國急於抓住“統一窗口期”?美專家:北京等得起 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

中國急於抓住“統一窗口期”?美專家:北京等得起

中國急於抓住“統一窗口期”?美專家:北京等得起
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文章指出,美国众议院议长佩洛西窜访中国台湾地区之后,美国出现了一种新的说法,称中国迫于“统一窗口期”的压力,很快就会在台海采取行动。文章的两名作者对该说法予以否定。

 

美国国内出现这种声音,充分说明了一个问题,解放军的环台军演效果显著,让美国人认为中国大陆在演练之后就会启动“武统”程序,对中国台湾地区采取行动。

美国人认为现在对于中国来说是“统一窗口期”,也表明,现在对于实现统一是一个机会,如果不是机会,就不会猜测中国急于抓住这个“窗口期”。

总而言之,美国人认为,佩洛西窜台是给了中国机会,且中国很可能抓住这个机会一劳永逸地解决台湾问题。

这种说法的出现,证实了中方反制措施的效果,同时也表明美国人认为佩洛西窜台是一次失败的行动。当然,现在是不是统一的机会,并不是美国说了算的,中国何时实现统一,以何种方式实现统一,这是中国决定的。

很多人总想要个“统一时间表”,这种想法本身就不切实际,甚至是幼稚的,统一两岸是中国的内部事务,什么时候采取行动,还得提前发个声明吗?

因此,“统一窗口期”的说法也是不成立的,统一两岸并没有所谓的“窗口期”。从中方的此次反制就能看出来,解放军长期都在为“武统”进行准备,否则不可能那么快就把台岛包围,并且展开了有序的行动。

这充分证明,中方在台海问题上有着充分准备的,既然有准备,那就是有计划,有计划就要按着计划来,而不是寄希望什么“窗口期”。中国有能力解决两岸问题,不需要所谓的“机会”“窗口”。

 

 

美国两名专家对于“统一窗口期”的否认,是出于另一个方面的解读:北京等得起。

美专家的思路是,现在算不上“窗口期”,真正的“窗口期”在未来。中国在未来十年内将拥有比过去20年更多的资源来与美国进行军事竞争。

从大势来看,未来十年被普遍认为会发生的一件事是,中国反超美国,先是在经济规模上超车,然后是经济优势逐渐转化成军事优势。

而且这是一个此消彼长的过程,中国在向前走,美国则是在倒退。因此,十年过后,中国不仅有可能领先美国,甚至还会拉开身位。所以美专家认为,到了这个程度,才算是“统一窗口期”。

从长远来看,中国崛起,美国衰落是必然会发生的事情,在这个角度上,中国确实等得起,但是这跟解决台海问题不是一码事,并不是说中国等得起,就要一直等下去。

中国现在已经具备了解决台湾问题的能力,美国虽然整体国力仍然很强,但是在区域内的并没有优势,并且美国的战略布局过于分散,这就是战略扩张的后果,美国现在是一个“收不回来”的状态。

乍一看美国军力多么多么强,有多少飞机,有多少航母,但是它能在短时间内全部开到台海吗?并不能。

美国专家是认为,等到中国在十年后对美军事竞争中有优势了才是“统一窗口期”,如果以这个标准,中国现在就已经具备了对美军事竞争优势,在台海地区,中国就有这样的局部优势。

因此,“统一窗口期”就是一个伪命题,中国实现统一靠的是自己,而不是等待美国给机会,或者哪里开了一个“窗口”。

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