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中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救

中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救
2,508

相比世界上的其他國家,澳大利亞受新冠疫情的直接打擊較小,而從2020年下半年開始,澳大利亞的經濟也開始重回增長軌道,不過澳大利亞的經濟壓力依舊不小,根據澳洲統計局2020年底發布的數據,截止去年10月,全澳洲共有96.09萬人失業,失業率為7%,而這其中失業人口的主要行業來源有紅酒、糧食以及糧食產業等等,這些行業在過去或多或少都和中國發生了貿易摩擦。

中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救

澳大利亞貿易遭受打擊

對於中澳之間的貿易摩擦,此前澳貿易有關部門曾表示希望結束兩國貿易摩擦,另澳總理也多次釋放積極和解和談判的信號,但問題的結症顯然不在於此。

事實上中澳貿易大方向上依舊以合作為主,不過在一些行業領域的變化已經讓澳人感到了危機,中國作為澳大利亞重要的貿易出口地,一旦進口意願減少,澳大利亞相關行業也會發生巨變。在中國尚未「全面行動」之際,澳大利亞已經感受到了足夠的危機感。

中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救

澳大利亞需要更多的貨幣支持

進入2021年以來,澳大利亞的經濟從V字型谷底走出,失業人數減少,經濟開始回暖,不過這並非澳經濟現狀的全部。根據2月份的澳大利亞聯儲會議紀要顯示,澳距離實現通脹和失業率目標還有幾年時間,預計經濟仍需要「非常重大的」貨幣支持。

為幫助持續刺激經濟,澳大利亞聯儲將繼續維持之前的量化寬鬆政策,通過貨幣政策刺激經濟。據澳大利亞聯儲宣布,將進一步推動量化寬鬆計劃,該計劃將資金投入擴大至1000億澳元(5038億元人民幣)。

澳聯儲指出,雖然澳大利亞國內的疫情基本得到了控制,經濟也開始回暖,但澳大利亞經濟在全球貨幣市場中的地位不足,這意味著澳大利亞聯儲需要與其他央行保持一致(美國大放水),若澳大利亞獨樹一幟會導致澳本幣升值,從而損害澳大利亞的出口行業以及更多的就業機會。

中國未全面行動,澳大利亞已遭雙重打擊:緊急釋放5038億資金自救

鑑於目前全球央行都允許量化寬鬆持續,那麼澳大利亞為抵禦衝擊,防止澳幣升值也會隨全球央行保持一致。需要指出的是,全球大放水持續並非好事,一旦大事發生,獨善其身並保持增長的經濟體也將不可避免地受到衝擊。

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