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七國集團要擴容?警惕G7變G10!中國三個鄰居最可能入局 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

七國集團要擴容?警惕G7變G10!中國三個鄰居最可能入局

七國集團要擴容?警惕G7變G10!中國三個鄰居最可能入局
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木叔这篇国际评论,来谈谈西方七国集团G7的话题。

这个组织在5月6日发布了外长会后的联合声明,除了对中国、伊朗、俄罗斯进行了一定程度的批评之外,也谈到了他们未来的一些布局的可能。

很多朋友当然更关注前者,毕竟我们外交部发言人已经强烈谴责G7的联合声明,称其干涉中国内政,表示坚决抗议。这种外交上的争端当然更吸引眼球。

但是在G7公开对华施压和刺激之外,其实这7个全球最发达的富裕国家还在暗中思考更多着眼于未来的、可以对中国进一步遏制的政策。

这就体现在刚才木叔提到的,无论是联合声明,还是这几天开会的表达,基本都提到了G7未来布局的可能性。

在木叔看来,这种风险要比已经公开对华施压的风险更大,因为它更隐蔽,这就意味着这样的政策遇到的阻力可能更小,危险性自然就会增加。

木叔举个例子——

G7外长会后美国代表团官员对媒体表示,G7对华态度是一致的,与其说这次会议正在协调对华行动,其实不如说会议的目的是在寻求一个“统一战线”,可以让更多“志同道合”的国家都能加入进来。

美国人的这个态度,把G7外长会对中国的真实心意表达得最明显不过了。

说句大白话,他们的目的就是要扩容,要有更多国家对华一起施压。

当然这个扩容不一定是把G7变成G10,有可能是G7+3的模式。但无论如何,寻找所谓的“志同道合”的国家,是G7未来一段时间的重要工作。

同时这也是对中国比较麻烦的事情。

因为木叔注意到一个很不好的迹象,刚才提到的所谓G10或者G7+3确实可能在未来成为一个现实。

这次会议邀请了印度、澳大利亚、韩国以及东盟和非盟等国家的代表来参与。

值得注意的是,上一次的G7会议上,印度也是座上客。而且本来去年在美国要举行的G7因为疫情耽搁,但当时美国人也计划邀请印度、澳大利亚和韩国。

也就是说,这三个中国的邻居,很可能未来一直会成为G7会晤的邀请方。

就在英国召开这次G7外长会前几个月,西方媒体就传出,G7考虑扩容的问题,当时邀请印度、澳大利亚和韩国就已经成了一个公开的秘密。

澳大利亚加入G7应该不是什么问题,只是一个程序性的工作。毕竟无论是经济体量,还是和G7的关系都符合条件。

韩国也类似,而且东亚的日本长期是G7成员,获得了数十年的政治经济发展红利,这让韩国也有进一步主动接近西方的冲动。

而印度不是西方国家,还是一个不结盟国家,同时意识形态和G7也不完全一样,西方要把这样的一个中国邻居拉入局的话,想做什么是不言而喻的。

因此有关G7扩容的事情,虽然还没有公开提到议事日程上来,但雏形已经出现了,特别是更多中国的邻国被拉到了G7的朋友圈当中,这可能比美印日澳四国组成的“亚洲小北约”还难对付。

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