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不撞南墻不回頭? 歐盟通過涉台反華議案 大陸需做好最壞的打算 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

不撞南墻不回頭? 歐盟通過涉台反華議案 大陸需做好最壞的打算

不撞南墻不回頭? 歐盟通過涉台反華議案 大陸需做好最壞的打算
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近年来,随着国际政治格局的调整,中国和西方看待彼此的方式都在发生显著变化。自美国推出“印太战略”后,西方反华势力潜滋暗长。美国认为,西方对华接触政策全面失败,中国对西方百年来的实力地位构成多方面挑战,并将中国定位为主要的战略竞争对手。同样,中国也无法理解,我们一直都在和平崛起,并且无意挑战西方的全球领导地位,搞不懂美国为何百般阻挠。

实际上,美国在处理外部问题时,向来都是立足地缘政治兼顾地缘经济。为了维护世界霸主地位,任何一个在经济总量上接近美国80%左右的国家,不管其信仰社会主义还是资本主义,不管是敌是友,都将成为美国全力打压的对象,且不把这个国家搞垮决不罢休。曾经的苏联GDP一度接近美国的70%,美国便通过一系列手段将其搞垮。后来,日本GDP与美GDP80%的红线差距日益缩小,华盛顿便通过强权迫使日本签订《广场协议》,使日本陷入长达20年的经济衰退期。

美国学者认为,苏联对美国霸权地位的威胁主要来源于地缘战略,但从未在经济上构成威胁。相反,日本虽然在经济上构成过威胁,但这个国家不仅在美国领导的政治阵营,而且本土还驻扎着美国军队。与苏联和日本不同,无论是从地缘政治方面,还是经济领域,中国都对美国的全球领导地位都构成了挑战。中国的GDP已经占到了美国经济总量的77%,且即将踏过80%的战略红线,并有望在2027年左右超过美国,成为全球第一大经济体。美国非常清楚,仅凭自身实力已经无法遏制中国的崛起,于是便拉拢欧洲盟友不择手段地对华予以各种打压,遏制和围堵。

据路透社报道,近日欧盟通过一项涉台反华议案,议案枉顾“两岸同属一个中国”的历史和法理事实,将台湾地区视为“国家”,妄言大陆对台湾的“领土完整”构成威胁,对区域安全稳定造成破坏。对此,我国驻欧盟使团予以强烈谴责和驳斥。针对台湾问题,我使团强调,一个中国原则是国际社会的广泛共识,更是中欧关系发展的政治基石。中方敦促欧盟恪守“一中原则”,杜绝和台湾地区进行任何形式的官方往来。明眼人都知道,欧盟通过涉台反华议案,就是迎合美国遏华战略的需要,以维护西方世界几百年来的霸权统治地位。

西方学者和战略家普遍认为,当前美欧在乌克兰所做的事情,对抗俄罗斯非常有效,同样的方法也可以用来对付中国。说白了,就是通过挑起“代理人战争”,来削弱和消耗对手的实力。不同与俄乌冲突,这是两个主权国家之间的斗争,俄军可以无所顾忌地打击新纳粹主义。而台湾问题则纯属中国内政,是两岸中国人之间的问题,大陆之所以极力争取通过和平解决台湾问题,就是不想看到两岸兵戎相见,手足相残,更不想看到岛内战火纷飞,生灵涂炭。所以,正是看准了中国大陆不希望通过军事方式解决台湾问题,西方才肆无忌惮地操弄涉台议题,并试图将台海往冲突方向引。

当下,欧洲国家插手中国内政的调门比较高,甚至摆出了一副不撞南墙不回头的架势,但他们更多的是象征性地帮衬一下美国,并试图通过炒热台海议题转移国内民众的视线。因深陷俄乌冲突的泥潭,欧盟各国饱受能源危机,粮食危机之苦,再加上疫情危机,欧洲各国已是民不聊生,社会矛盾聚集得就像一个火药桶,随时都可能爆裂。而欧洲作为西方几百年来统治全球的大本营,根据地,在西方一团乱的数年里,他们看到的是中国乃至东亚都是稳定的,在疫情防控中的表现更是亮眼,中国更是成为全球唯一实现经济正增长的主要经济体。他们看待中国的心态就是,羡慕,嫉妒,恨,且不希望中国就这样以不同于西方的方式好下去,强起来。

综合分析认为,当今世界局势复杂多变,其实根子主要在美国,欧盟在涉台问题上的言行更多的是服务于美国的利益。中美关系稳定的时期,中欧关系也较为稳定,但现在中美战略博弈持续升温,欧盟也开始选边站,大陆也需做好最坏的打算,并争取最好的结果。因为美国作为世界第一强调,对欧盟施展威逼利诱的手段,还是能够取得一些效果,这也是中欧关系不断恶化的主要根源。然而,今天的中国已经不是百年前的中国,未来的亚洲也不会重现百年前“八国联军”横行的故事。一言以蔽之,能战方能止战,敢战方能言和,善战才能胜战!

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