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150年前歷史重演,默克爾走後的德國,連續打出3拳,開始“敗家” – 有海水的地方就有中國人

150年前歷史重演,默克爾走後的德國,連續打出3拳,開始“敗家”

150年前歷史重演,默克爾走後的德國,連續打出3拳,開始“敗家”
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在12月初的时候,外界普遍将德国总理默克尔的离任,看作是德国一个大时代的落幕。然而在仅仅过去不久,外界就注意到,默克尔十几年留下的财富,很可能,说没就没了。

综合德国新一届政府的动作来看,在刚上台之后,似乎是为了表达自己对前一任战略的不满,在短时间内,连续向俄罗斯打出3拳,导致德国和俄罗斯原本相对默契的关系,快速恶化,甚至影响到了双方重要经济项目的正常运作。

第一拳,是在12月中旬,新任的德国外长贝尔伯克,率先“持刀”发难,驱逐2名俄罗斯外交官员,理由是2年前,疑似俄罗斯特工,在德国境内,追杀了一名来自俄罗斯的逃亡罪犯。原本的默克尔政府,对此事的态度是默认,反正死的又不是什么好人,也不是德国人,就低调处理,正常走刑事案件的流程。

事实上,这个疑似的俄罗斯特工,按德国的法律,被判了终身监禁,普京也没说什么。当时德国和俄罗斯方面,都没有进行过多关注。然而新上台的柏林当局,却拿这件本身和德国关系不大的事情,当做“武器”,向普京发难。这着实是把外界看傻了。

在事发第二天,俄罗斯很快宣布实施对等报复,进行反制。而这位新任的德国外长,还得意洋洋的对外宣称,自己最大的优势,就是毫无外交经验。嗯,看起来,这还真不是吹牛。

第二拳,则是德国向俄罗斯舆论界的制裁,封杀了俄罗斯主流媒体《今日俄罗斯》RT,收回RT在德国的播放许可证。甚至相关负责人,还用威胁口吻声称,要好好“照顾”RT。这样的表现,几乎可以说就是在毫无利益冲突的情况下,率先举起了反俄大旗。彻底打破了此前默克尔留下来的德俄关系。

第三拳,则有些摸不着头脑,正儿八经属于为了亲和美国的政治站位,而彻底无视本国利益的行为。在不久前,德国副总理声称,和俄罗斯的“北溪-2”项目,是个严重的错误,是此前默克尔强行通过的。现在,他们不会这么做了,普京再怎么催促也不行,在明年下半年之前,都不会批准。

实际上,到目前为止,德国国内急缺天然气。自从新任德国当局上台之后,德国天然气储备直接对半砍,下滑到60%以下,而居民的电价,被预估会直接飙升36%。更离谱的是,一直反对默克尔政策的新德国政府,又按照默克尔之前的计划,将本国11座燃煤电厂和3座核能反应堆关闭。直观来看,就是先把默克尔建好的地基拆了,然后去建默克尔想要建的高层建筑。当真是匪夷所思。

有分析人士指出,“北溪-2”项目,可以说就是默克尔留给德国的最大财富。不光光是能够获得更实惠的天然气,更在于可以拥有一个牵制整个中西欧的“关闸”权。想要获得便宜的天然气,就必须走德国管道路线。整个战略意义,极其重要,甚至在得罪美国被经济制裁的情况下,都能有一条退路。

然而新来的德国政府,连续对普京打出3拳,开始“败家”,十几年留下来的“财富”,说没就没了,也是让外界看得相当感慨。

值得一提的是,德国似乎就在这样一个怪圈里,兜兜转转出不去了,150年前的历史重演一般。当年号称铁血宰相留下来的欧洲战略,让德国快速统一和崛起。一战前,国力甚至超过英法。结果新继承者威廉二世,头铁,在没有完全准备的情况下,又无视俾斯麦的战略方向,刻舟求剑,在关键问题上,照搬俾斯麦的战略结论,仓促打响一战,酿成惨剧。(听风吹荷)

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