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全球稀土礦未來需求600%,美國卻對中俄發禁令,提前做軍事布局 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

全球稀土礦未來需求600%,美國卻對中俄發禁令,提前做軍事布局

全球稀土礦未來需求600%,美國卻對中俄發禁令,提前做軍事布局
2,204

美国国防部下令,禁止再从中国、俄罗斯、伊朗和朝鲜4国进口稀土金属钽,理由又是事关美国国家安全。这条禁令已经在8月25日开始生效。

美国已经搅动了全球地缘安全形势,这条禁令可以视作,对未来可能发生的军事冲突的提前准备。

稀土金属这么多,为什么美国先拿钽矿开刀?从美五角大楼公布的文件来看,美国无论是军工系统,还是非军用的生产体系里,钽矿都非常重要。这种金属在地壳里的含量只有0.0002%,提炼难度极高,应用领域又很多。军工业上,钽是提炼耐蚀钢、耐热钢合金等的重要元素,可以大大延长航空发动机的使用寿命;医学上,人体肌肉可以在钽上生长,钽可以被用作内脏缝合线,甚至嵌入人工眼球。

美国是最大的钽消费国家,进口的钽矿60%都用来生产电容器。现在是信息化作战的时代,美国的高性能电容器大半都用在军事领域上了。所以现在美国防部禁止从中俄伊朝进口钽,也从侧面反映,美国心里谁是真的对手。

尤其最近接二连三发生的俄乌冲突、台海危机等全球大热点,背后都有美国在兴风作浪,这条禁钽令也暗示着美国军方在蠢蠢欲动。

全球已探明的钽储量超过10万吨,年产量则在1800吨到1900吨,主要生产国是巴西、刚果(金)和卢旺达等非洲国家,我国的年产量大概只有100吨。虽然产量不多,但中国的钽冶炼加工是世界三强之一,更是唯一拥有从采矿、冶炼、加工到应用的完整供应链的国家。

7月,美国财长耶伦在亚太行中就强调,美国想要摆脱对于中国稀土的“过度依赖”。耶伦还拉拢日本和韩国,希望这些美国的盟友专注于“友岸外包”的供应链战略。结合这条消息再看针对钽矿的禁令,其实就是美国在军事上想对华脱钩的一次尝试。

美国地质调查局数据显示,中国主要对美供应了16种对尖端技术至关重要的矿物、美国需要的另外25种矿物。美国也明白鸡蛋不能全放在一个篮子里,2019年就和澳大利亚正式签署了一份协议,确定15项稀土和重要矿产的项目,想借此减少对中国稀土的单向依赖。但中国供应了全球80%的稀土矿产,美澳即使联手,也是杯水车薪。

中国稀土简直就是美国的心头刺,曾有议员提案,希望禁止五角大楼的承包商购买中国稀土。拜登政府显然听进去了这番话,在2月发表了这样一份声明,称中国掌握了稀土、钴、锂等关键矿物的加工提炼市场,未来几十年全世界对这些矿物的需求将达到600%,美国政府将对此进行重大投资。但稀土矿石开发的周期非常长,美国想见到自给自足的成效,少说要五六年,长了恐怕就是十几年。

这一次美国禁止从中俄伊朝4国进口钽矿,其实不会对4国造成多少实际影响。因为这4国的钽矿出口体量本来就不大,尤其对于中国来说,我们自己对钽矿的需求也很大,已经在出口上有所收缩了。

但美国这番禁令,有违中美正常的经贸活动。如今是一个全球经济深度交融的时代,美国还在搞老一套的冷战思维,伤害的是自己的市场信誉。美国想保住自己的“国家安全”,但一下禁了4个国家的钽矿,这一步迈得有点太大了,短期内反而会增加钽矿的采购成本,加大国防上的支出。

2021年,在新冠肆虐的背景下,全球军费第一次开支超过2万亿美元,其中美国排名第一,独占38%,约8000亿美元。美国在国防上砸的重金,其中不少就花在中国稀土上,而这就给了中国反击的缺口。希望美国尽快摆正对中国的态度,及时改弦易张,不然只能是自食苦果。

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