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企圖打擊中國,結果打擊了自己,美國人算出對華貿易戰的巨額損失 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

企圖打擊中國,結果打擊了自己,美國人算出對華貿易戰的巨額損失

企圖打擊中國,結果打擊了自己,美國人算出對華貿易戰的巨額損失
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美国前总统特朗普挑起的对华贸易冲突给中国制造业造成了一定程度的困扰,但相较于中国,美国民众受到了更大的压力。

据环球时报7月15日消息,美国《外交学者》7月13日发表文章称,贸易战并没“给中国造成(更大)成本”。穆迪公司研究显示,美中贸易战中90%以上的关税成本由美国承担。美零售联合会主席马修·谢伊说,自2018年关税生效以来,美国海关和边境保护局已向美国进口商收取近1365亿美元(约合9200亿元人民币),这也大大增加美国消费者的负担。

美国企图打击中国,结果反而打击了自己。自2018年6月起,特朗普为配合其华而不实的“让美国再次伟大”口号、支持制造业回流美国,以“消减美国对华贸易逆差”为由,对中国数千亿输美产品强征高额关税,自以为一击便能放倒中国。

理想丰满,现实骨感。中国出口到美国的商品主要都是生活必需品,而世界上又没有第二个国家生产的产品能与物美价廉的“中国制造”相媲美,这就导致特朗普政府对中国出口商品强征的关税,大部分都转嫁到了美国消费者身上,进一步提高了美国人的生活成本。另外一方面,美国限制高科技产品出口中国,使得美中贸易逆差进一步扩大。

美国曾经的财政部部长康纳利不无得意地宣称:“美元是我们的货币,但是你们的麻烦”!但是,没有节制的印发美元,最终反噬的还是美国自己。受疫情影响,美国经济发展遭受重大挫折,加剧恶化了底层人民生存生活环境,特朗普和拜登在拯救经济束手无策的情况下,只能开动印钞机大量超发数万亿美元,使得美国的通胀率从去年4月份开始就一直呈斜线式上涨。刚刚公布的数据显示,美国6月消费者价格指数(CPI)环比上涨1.3%,同比增长9.1%,同比涨幅为1981年11月以来最大值。

降低对华加征的关税是拯救美国通胀率唯一能够立即见效的办法。事实上,美国也非常清楚,早就有专家指出,降低对华加征的关税能够让美国的CPI指数下降1.3个百分点。可千万别小看这1.3个百分点,在美国庞大的市场上,这1.3个百分点,就能够让美国政府多喘几口气。可降低对华加征关税这一呼吁,在美国政府一直是雷声大、雨点小。

拜登政府之所以不敢把特朗普执政时期提上去的关税降下来,一方面是因为“反华”是美国民主和共和两党唯一有共识的焦点,而在两党比着谁更“反华”的竞争下,谁也不敢降低对华关税,从而被另一方贴上“亲华”的标签;另一方面美国还想拿关税做筹码,想与中国比谁能撑到最后,从而牟取更大的经济利益,甚至还有“反华”带来的政治利益。

以前,我们一些人大肆吹捧美国政府的“纠错能力”,可现在呢,特朗普政府的关税政策已经是被证实是一个彻头彻尾的错误,美国民众为此也付出了9200亿的代价,拜登政府却没有勇气纠正特朗普政府的错误。其中很重要的一个原因,是民主党和共和党比着谁更“反华”,所以,明知道对华加征关税是一个极其错误的决定,但拜登政府就是没有勇气去纠错,而是让这个错误一直错下去,最终受罪的还是美国民众。

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