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美債或被清零?中國連拋423億,債券之王格羅斯:美債就是垃圾! – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美債或被清零?中國連拋423億,債券之王格羅斯:美債就是垃圾!

美債或被清零?中國連拋423億,債券之王格羅斯:美債就是垃圾!
2,784

作为美国称霸全球的“利器”,美军近日在阿富汗遭遇的史诗级大溃败,令这个全球“第一超级大国”脸上无光。而与此同时,美国收割全球的另一大“法宝”——美元,也遭遇了严重的信任危机。

当地时间9月5日,俄罗斯天然气公司CEO亚历山大-久科夫宣布,未来往返中俄的飞机加油费,将抛开美元采用人民币和卢布结算。而为了达成这次合作,中俄两国进行了艰难的谈判。

中俄之间抛开美元的尝试,也意味着中俄经济进一步融合已经开始了。中国经济内循环带来的巨大需求和人民币逐步走向国际化的现实,让俄罗斯打消了顾虑。

在更早在之前,伊朗将国家货币更改为土曼,并锚定人民币。如此一来对伊朗出口石油大为有利。近日伊朗石油部长表示,尽管受到美元限制,但伊朗依然会增加石油出口。在过去一年,伊朗向中国输送的石油大部分是采用人民币进行结算的。而在伊朗将人民币列为主要外汇货币后,“无美元不石油”的局面即将被打破。

现在尴尬的要轮到美国了。9月3日,美国劳工部公布了最新的非农就业数字,8月份美国的非农就业人口增加23.5万,创下7个月以来的最慢增速。这使得美联储再次面临两难的抉择,是选择刺激劳动力市场复苏还是控制目前的通胀状况,美联储的各位大佬怕是要乐不出来了。

然而,让他们焦头烂额的还不仅仅是通胀问题。美债问题更像是一柄达摩克利斯之剑悬在美联储头上。目前美联储的资产负债表已经快速扩张到了8.35万亿美元,虽然美联储主席鲍威尔已经妥协表示要开始缩表,收窄美债规模,但分析人士表示可能为时已晚。

目前,世界各国已经形成了一股抛售美债的风潮,除了日本在今年六月份,买进过一些。除此之外的美债大买家们,纷纷选择了抛售。比如德国、英国、加拿大、俄罗斯等持有者分别出现了不同程度的减持,去美债化趋势非常明显。

而中国也开始快速减持,截至今年6月,在经过4个月的抛售后,已经累计抛出423亿元。俄罗斯更是累计抛售96.43%的美债,目前仅象征性地持有30亿,并且极有可能直接清零。

有美媒表示,随着美国联邦赤字增加,违约风险等因素增加,主要持有人清空美债的可能性正在剧增。一时间美债成了人人喊打的“赔钱货”。

9月2日数据,美国10年期国债的收率仅为1.29%。而依靠投资债券声名鹊起的“债券之王”,比尔-格罗斯炮轰美债,直言美债就是垃圾。虽然格罗斯这话说得粗鄙,但却非常贴合当下各大经济体对美债的认知。

如今美债正面临被持有者清空的风险,而去美元化也在全世界轰轰烈烈地进行。如今美联储的资金就快要耗尽,如果各大债主出现大规模减持,美国就将面临大麻烦。不过美联储和美国的大佬们早该想到如今的状况,美国背负了全世界最多的债务,即便“转嫁技巧”再娴熟,也迟早会付出代价的。

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