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拜登對華政策這幾句話,該怎麼理解? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

拜登對華政策這幾句話,該怎麼理解?

拜登對華政策這幾句話,該怎麼理解?
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拜登上任后在对华方向上的政策宣示尤其谨慎:新政府将继续对华强硬,同时也会调整前届政府的做法,开展一些领域与中国的合作。

美国总统拜登4日在国务院首次就新政府的对外政策发表演讲。他强调“美国回来了”,大篇幅描述了美国与盟国关系的重要性,并经常用“全世界”这个词含混地代替盟友。他将中国称为美国“最严峻的竞争对手”,延续了上届政府对中国的基本态度,但也表达了美国在一些领域与中国合作的意愿。

拜登4日在国务院发表外交政策讲话

拜登的这个讲话契合了美国社会当下围绕对外关系的主流认知和情绪。这一方面是他的对外政策讲话,另一方面又是讲给国内听的。拜登更多做的是立场表态,讲的都是大原则,具体政策宣示不多。比如美国该就伊朗核问题怎么做,如何制裁缅甸军队领导人,怎么处理朝鲜核问题,都没有展开讲。

对中美关系,拜登着墨不多,但实际上这是拜登这篇讲话的重心。虽寥寥数语,但拜登表达了对中国“赶超美国雄心”极重的防范之心。这再次告诉我们,对“来自中国挑战”的战略焦虑已在整个美国渗透、弥漫,难以化解。

拜登表示“将直面中国的经济恶行,反制其咄咄逼人、胁迫性的行为,顶回中国对人权、知识产权和全球治理的攻击”。这种话与民主党上届政府的对华认知已有天壤之别。国安顾问沙利文在4日还有另一番的表述,称“首要任务是解决中国损害美国就业与美国劳工的贸易霸凌”。他们这样说话显然是要对应美国在对华问题上业已形成的新的“政治正确性”。

沙利文 资料图

不过拜登20分钟演讲中两次表达了与中国合作的意愿。第一次他说要“在符合我们利益并增进美国人民安全的时候与我们的对手和竞争者进行外交接触”,第二次他说“在符合美国利益时与北京共事”,这与特朗普政府后期只宣扬中美敌对的话语倾向有明显不同。

拜登上台前后谈论与盟友合作最多,他在新讲话中特别强调将修复美国的同盟关系,“不是单枪匹马来做”,并称这是“美国全球实力的根基”和“美国持久不衰的优势”。美国在拜登政府上任前从来没有这么紧迫地强调过修复与盟友关系的重要性,美国准备拿出多少资源来支持这一战略,还是仅仅用摇动“价值观”的旗帜“空手套白狼”,人们尚不得而知。在近日的疫苗争夺战中,欧盟对华盛顿是强烈不满的。

总体来看,拜登上任后在对华方向上的政策宣示尤其谨慎,拜登团队似乎在构建美国社会的一种预期:新政府将继续对华强硬,同时也会调整前届政府的做法,开展一些领域与中国的合作。具体怎么做他们不轻易吐口,他们一方面或许还没有想好,一方面也感觉到调整对华政策的政治敏感性。因而他们即使调整对华关系,也会继续把强硬的表态放在前头。

拜登演讲还强调美国优势竞争的做法就是“把国内做得更好”,这也是对认识大国竞争有别于特朗普政府之处,后者曾经将美国所有问题都归咎于外部力量、尤其是中国的破坏。新视角有可能会部分影响拜登政府施政发力的侧重点。

特朗普对中国产品加征的关税将如何处理?对华为的封锁会否放松?特朗普卸任前突袭式出台的反华政策会执行还是束之高阁?拜登政府都还没有回答这些问题。不过既然拜登都强调要做好美国国内的事情,中国坚持做好自己事情的根本策略就更需坚定实施了。

总之我们看到,拜登的对华态度与上届政府是延续的,其中又是有调整中美打交道方式空间的。放眼长远,我们自身的力量建设越扎实,越会在美方审视对华政策时产生于我方有利的积极影响。

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