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放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?
2,450

拜登上台前,曾明確將俄羅斯列為了美國的最大敵人。在這種政治立場下,美國政客們掀起了一場反俄活動。

就在最近,美國6名參議員向國會提交了一份制裁俄羅斯的法案,只要該法案通過,那麼美國政府就可以依法制裁一部分俄羅斯官員,從而給普京政府製造壓力,逼其主動釋放納瓦利內。

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?

那麼拜登對納瓦利內事件的態度又是怎樣的呢?當地時間2月5日,美國總統拜登首次公開呼籲俄羅斯政府立刻釋放納瓦利內。拜登認為,俄羅斯逮捕納瓦利內,是因為納瓦利內曾揭發腐敗而成為政治報複目標,他應當被立刻無條件地釋放。

但在納瓦利內的問題上,俄羅斯官方態度很明確,這是俄羅斯家務事,絕不允許外國插手。而且俄外長拉夫羅夫在談到納瓦利內案時向美國國務卿布林肯指出,必須尊重俄羅斯的法律和司法體制。

因此普京政府認為,抓捕納瓦利內的行為是合情合理的,美國不要多管閒事。而且抓捕納瓦利內有利於打擊國內反對派勢力,消除一切質疑普京統治地位的雜音。普京深知,如果在西方壓力下釋放納瓦利內,那麼就會讓這些反俄勢力覺得俄羅斯好欺負,屆時只會增加西方反俄的囂張氣焰,給俄羅斯帶來更大的動盪。

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?

所以普京出於政治考慮,堅決不放人,就算拜登為納瓦利內出頭也沒用!當然,不釋放納瓦利內不意味著美俄關係就一定會惡化,因為兩國在軍控條約上還有合作的可能。

美國總統喬•拜登2月5日表示,延長《新削減戰略武器條約》效力表明美國樂於交流,即使敵國也不例外。按照拜登的說法,同意延長《新削減戰略武器條約》是按照外交禮節與敵國和競爭對手交往的,這有利於維護國家利益,提高美國人的安全水平。

因此,美俄把《新削減戰略武器條約》的效力延長了5年,保留了這份兩國之間唯一保障核安全的文件。這也是當下美俄唯一能在安全問題上達成的協議,也表明了美俄不願也無意跟對方開戰。

美俄的這種避戰態度,對於穩定全球和平起到了積極的作用。如果雙方在外交關係上也能達成這樣的共識,那麼將有助於化解雙方的長年累月的矛盾。

儘管如此,拜登政府控制盟友,對抗俄羅斯的心態還是沒有發生根本性變化。美國總統喬∙拜登2月4日表示,暫停從德國撤出本國部隊。

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?

拜登解釋說,這是根據國家外交利益配置的軍事政策,以此讓國防部與國務院緊密合作。這一說法,顯然推翻了去年川普政府關於把1.2萬名美軍從德國撤出的政策。

那麼從德國撤離美軍,會產生什麼後果呢?

第一,會增加俄羅斯在歐洲方向的軍事優勢。

原本,俄羅斯就在靠近歐洲的領土–加里寧格勒州,部署了伊斯坎德爾飛彈、波羅的海艦隊、S400防空飛彈,還建設了一個軍用港口。這些有利於俄羅斯軍隊對北約成員國實施閃電攻擊。如果美軍撤退了,那麼德國和歐洲將徹底暴露在俄羅斯的兵峰之下,後果將不堪設想。

第二,弱化了美國和歐洲的關係。

一旦美國準備從德國撤軍,俄羅斯就會認為,美國和德國政治關係惡化了。原本,俄羅斯就期待,北約內部分裂,給自己製造控制歐洲的機會。

放人,續約,不撤軍!拜登表態,釋放了什麼信號?

第三,從德國撤軍就表明美軍傾向於定期外派,而不是永久部署,這會加大美軍的負荷。撤軍的決定,還將對國際力量在歐洲的平衡產生影響。所以撤軍措施,對於美國和歐洲是利大於弊,拜登政府不得不叫停撤軍政策!

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