JP Morgan\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58ebShaun Cousins\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7300\u4e07\u7bb1\u7ea2\u9152\u51fa\u552e\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6307\u51fa\uff0cTreasury Wines\u4e0d\u4f1a\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u4e00\u5bb6\u53d7\u5230\u5173\u7a0e\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f01\u4e1a\u589e\u52a0\u6253\u6298\u4fc3\u9500\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u5927\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8425\u9500\u63a8\u5e7f\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5317\u7f8e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u662f\u56f0\u96be\u91cd\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2,592 据《澳洲金融评论报》报道，未来一年澳洲针对中国出口将减少10%，但根据花旗银行的说法，这只会导致澳洲总体经济增长率降低0.33%，但下行的趋势可能导致澳洲损失760亿澳元。 花旗银行的Faraz Syedå’ŒJosh Williamson表示，中国的贸易惩罚给澳洲带来的损失是有限的，因为农业只占澳洲总出口的很小一部分。 澳洲农业出口总值超过了500亿澳元，只占商品出口总额的13%。 中国到目前为止把澳洲的牛肉、红酒和大麦出口作为了目标，但羊毛、水果、坚果和木片也存在风险。 花旗银行分析人士说：”中国增加了美国出口商品。我们的基准情况是未来12个月针对中国的出口额减少10%，现在中国对铁矿石没有做出限制。这只会导致澳洲总体GDP下降0.33%。“ ”虽然中国是很多产品的主要出口国，但由于这些产品对出口总额贡献有限，所以造成的损害也还是可以管控的。“ 分析人士考虑了多种糟糕的情况。 如果包括铁矿石在内的针对中国的出口减少了50%，”这就会导致澳洲商品出口总额减少20%，出口收入减少760亿澳元，导致GDP增长率下降3.8%。“ 分析人士表示，过去几个月贸易限制的频率意味着现在还很难说未来会不会有更多限制。 今年8月，中国在澳洲商品出口中占比达到最高，增长至48.8%，连续30个月贸易盈余至82亿澳元。 2019-20财年，澳洲最大的红酒出口商之一Treasury的亚洲分部占据公司总利润的45%。 公司执行长Tim Ford在这几个月的时间内一直在采取一系列缓和措施，就是为了中国实施贸易限制而做准备。 Ford一直在评估传递关税成本的优势，也试图将红酒分配到其他出口市场，并增加红酒在澳洲本地的销售。 公司在大概3年前开始计划向美国加州和法国推广奔富品牌。 在日益恶化的贸易战环境里，此举看来是合理措施。 JP Morgan分析人士Shaun Cousins本月早些时候曾表示，将超过300万箱红酒出售到其他地方不是一件简单的事。 他也指出，Treasury Wines不会是唯一一家受到关税影响的澳洲企业。 这会导致企业增加打折促销，并加大在澳洲市场的营销推广费用，转移到北美和欧洲等其他大市场也是困难重重。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9297,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/\u672a\u547d\u540d_\u526f\u672c-1630_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":28547,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/09\/08\/%e9%9b%a2%e9%96%8b%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b%e4%b9%9f%e4%b8%80%e6%a8%a3%ef%bc%9f%e6%be%b3%e9%b7%b9%e6%b4%be%e6%94%bf%e5%ae%a2%e6%89%94%e5%87%ba%e8%84%ab%e9%89%a4%e5%ae%a3%e6%88%b0%e6%9b%b8\/","url_meta":{"origin":9296,"position":0},"title":"\u96e2\u958b\u4e2d\u570b\u4e5f\u4e00\u6a23\uff1f\u6fb3\u9df9\u6d3e\u653f\u5ba2\u6254\u51fa\u812b\u9264\u201c\u5ba3\u6230\u66f8\u201d\uff0c\u5c08\u5bb6\u53cd\u99c1\uff1a\u7121\u77e5","date":"September 8, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00e8\u00bf‘\u00e6\u00ae\u00b5\u00e6—\u00b6\u00e9—\u00b4\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5„\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e7š„\u00e4\u00baŒ\u00e5\u00ad\u00a3\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e7\u00bb\u00e6\u00b5Ž\u00e6•\u00b0\u00e6\u00ae\u00e7›\u00b8\u00e7\u00bb\u00a7\u00e5‡\u00ba\u00e7‚‰\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6œ‰\u00e5–œ\u00e6œ‰\u00e5\u00bf\u00a7\u00e3€‚\u00e8\u00bf‘\u00e4\u00b8€\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e6\u00a5\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00b8€\u00e7›\u00b4\u00e5\u00a4„\u00e4\u00baŽ\u00e8\u00b4\u00b8\u00e6˜“\u00e4\u00ba‰\u00e7\u00ab\u00af\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e7š„\u00e6\u00be\u00b3\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e5ˆ\u00a9\u00e4\u00baš\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5Œ\u00e6\u00af”\u00e5Ž\u00bb\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e5\u00aež\u00e7Ž\u00b0\u00e4\u00ba†9.6%\u00e7š„GDP\u00e5\u00a2ž\u00e9•\u00bf\u00e3€‚\u00e8€Œ\u00e7œ‹\u00e5ˆ\u00b0\u00e7\u00bb\u00e6\u00b5Ž\u00e6•\u00b0\u00e6\u00ae\u00e4\u00b8\u00e9”™\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6\u00be\u00b3\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e6”\u00bf\u00e5\u00ae\u00a2\u00e5ˆ\u00e8\u00a0\u00a2\u00e8\u00a0\u00a2\u00e6\u00ac\u00b2\u00e5Š\u00a8\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e3€‚\u00e8\u00bf‘\u00e6—\u00a5\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6\u00be\u00b3\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e5\u00ba“\u00e9ƒ\u00a8\u00e9•\u00bf\u00e5\u00bc—\u00e8Ž\u00b1\u00e7™\u00bb\u00e4\u00bc\u00af\u00e6\u00a0\u00bc\u00e5‘\u00e8\u00a1\u00a8\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e6\u00bc”\u00e8\u00ae\u00b2\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5\u00ae\u00a3\u00e7\u00a7\u00b0\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e5\u00af\u00b9\u00e6\u00be\u00b3\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e5ˆ\u00a9\u00e4\u00baš\u00e7š„\u00e7\u00bb\u00e6\u00b5Ž\u00e5\u00bd\u00b1\u00e5“\u00e4\u00bdŽ\u00e4\u00baŽ\u00e9\u00a2„\u00e6œŸ\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e7”š\u00e8‡\u00b3\u00e7›\u00b4\u00e6Ž\u00a5\u00e4\u00b8‹\u00e8\u00be\u00be\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e8„\u00b1\u00e9’\u00a9\u201c\u00e5\u00ae\u00a3\u00e6ˆ˜\u00e4\u00b9\u00a6\u201d\u00e3€‚ 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