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2,845 有些人认为，大陆如果想“武统”台湾，需要的天时地利人和中，最主要的一项就是美国自顾不暇，不能腾出手来顾及台湾。现在的美国，似乎就陷入在这种僵局之中。 从美国大选到总统交接权力，其中共有近三个月的时间。而此次美国大选，美国媒体已经推测出拜登将会是下一任美国总统。由于选情胶着，特朗普不承认拜登胜选。现在到美国总统权力交接的这段期间，美国似乎一直都会陷入政治混乱中。 那么这是否就代表着，“千载难逢”çš„“武统”机会来了？无论大陆是否“武统”，什么时候“武统”，真正要对两岸局势紧张负责任的应该是“台独”分子，大陆的惩罚也只会落在这些人身上。 千载难逢？ 这段时间以来，由于岛内“台独”分子勾结外部势力的缘故，搅得台海局势十分不安生。解放军自然要使出手段来震慑“台独”势力，比如解放军在东南海域进行演习，又或者派遣军机到台西南“空域”执行飞行任务。 民进党当局虽然并没有收敛，但是也并不是没有感觉到大陆的威慑。而且一个特殊时期的到来，让台湾当局更加紧张了。这个特殊时期就是美国大选到总统选举权利交接期间的时间。这段时间内，美国要处理内政，无暇关注台湾。假如大陆出手“武统”，“台独”势力是一个都跑不掉。 英国伦敦大学亚非学院院长曾锐生曾表示，假如中国大陆要“武统”，第一个要准备的就是得有足够的军力物力。第二个要等待的就是时机，如果美国政治系统陷入瘫痪，美军无法对台湾提供军事援助，中国大陆的把握就更大了。而现在，这个时机似乎已经到来，而且千载难逢。 “武统”？ 台湾当局也并不是不紧张，台北市市长柯文哲曾表示，台军“三军戒备”应该要直到美国总统明年交接完毕为止。假如台湾没有美国的帮助，面对大陆，台湾毫无胜算。 但是谁又能保证，即使美国没有陷入政治混乱，难道就真的会帮助台湾吗？这可未必，关于大陆“攻台”，美国做过多次沙盘推演，无一胜利。再者，以现代战争的速度，解放军有把握把“武统”压缩到极短的时间内。那会儿，美军就是插翅，也没那么快飞过来。 而且最主要的是，即便台湾满足了“武统”的条件，解放军针对的也只会是岛内的“台独”分子，普通民众百姓并不会受到任何影响。如果某些人对号入座，那么只能说明是做贼心虚。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8615,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/\u672a\u547d\u540d_\u526f\u672c-1006_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=800%2C417&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":44481,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/07\/08\/%e5%8f%b0%e7%95%b6%e5%b1%80%e6%b2%92%e6%96%99%e5%88%b0%ef%bc%8c%e5%9c%a8%e7%b5%b1%e4%b8%80%e5%95%8f%e9%a1%8c%e4%b8%8a%ef%bc%8c%e6%99%ae%e4%ba%ac%e8%88%87%e7%be%8e%e5%89%8d%e9%98%b2%e9%95%b7%e8%a7%80\/","url_meta":{"origin":8614,"position":0},"title":"\u53f0\u7576\u5c40\u6c92\u6599\u5230\uff0c\u5728\u7d71\u4e00\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u8207\u7f8e\u524d\u9632\u9577\u89c0\u9ede\u7f55\u898b\u4e00\u81f4","date":"July 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