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2,553 想不到，真的想不到。 怎么说呢？我相信，至少对相当一部分美国人来说，这是最想不到的一幕。 毕竟，按照以往的惯例，到北京时间今天中午，美国大选票结果肯定就公布了。然后，按照政治惯例，胜利的一方庆贺胜利，失败的一方承认失败，美国由此翻开新的一页。 但2020年不寻常，以往的惯例也不再是惯例了。 第一，没想到选情是这样难解难分； 第二，更想不到选举结果最后难产了； 第三，还想不到很可能又要闹到最高法院了。 大家都是一夜未眠，拜登凌晨发表声明：我很乐观，我们相信我们会赢得大选。 在拜登方面看来，还有大量邮寄选票没有统计，因此最终结果还没出来，大家要耐心，还需要一点时间计算票数。 特朗普则很不满，因为在他看来，在一些关键的摇摆州，他已经赢了。 他随后在白宫发表谈话：坦率地说，我们已经赢了大选。如果还继续计票，那我们就上最高法院。 谁都没认为自己输，谁都认为自己要赢。那结果就是，我们面对的，暂时还是一个悬念。 有点意外吧，但这就是美国政治。这个世界，唯一存在的不确定性，就是不确定性本身。 有点出乎意料的结果，我个人的几点看法吧。 1，美国极度撕裂。 最该挨板子的，是民调机构。 很简单，原先民调基本都认为拜登会赢，但结果哪知道是这样的难解难分。民调太不靠谱，民调机构肯定被骂出了翔。 但民调机构估计也冤，因为这种不准确背后，其实更说明了美国社会的极度撕裂。城市和乡村的撕裂，精英和草根的撕裂，族群与族群的撕裂。有些人想选谁，打死也不说。沉默的大多数，这其实隐藏着美国社会的大问题。 2，现在是可怕的平静。 接下来会发生什么？什么都可能！ 不得不说，一些美国人是有预感的。因为最近这几天，在美国一些城市，商家最热门的生意，不是卖东西，而是买木板，买厚厚的木板，将所有门窗钉死。 有人感慨，原来最大的赢家，是美国钉木板的工人。看到有美国人就感慨万千，感觉现在都不像是美国，像是在第三世界。未来几天，美国街头会平静吗？美国还能放下一张平静的书桌吗？ 3，好戏还在后面。 美国总得有个总统，也只能一个总统。这样难解难分，那意味着更激烈的斗争。 那结果？除了可能的街头暴力外，不排除像2000年一样，官司打到最高法院。但要知道，最高法院9名法官，六名是保守派，三名是特朗普这几年提名的。好戏，更有的看了。 怎么样，2020年秋天最大的悬念，依然是悬念。 够刺激吧。不得不说，这就是现在的美国，比纸牌屋还纸牌屋，比好莱坞更好莱坞，什么都可能发生。 当然，如果从一定要从正面解读：一个74岁的老人和一个79岁的老人，就为了这一份工作，还这样拼命这样不服输，我们还有什么理由不努力？ 嗯，我们就安静地搬个小板凳，吃瓜看戏吧，看后面好戏连台，看下面高潮迭起。别急，别急，你们继续！<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7858,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/2020_1104_03391688p00qj9iht00bkc000qo00f0m_\u526f\u672c.png?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":42268,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/05\/27\/%e7%be%8e%e9%80%99%e6%ac%a1%e5%a4%a7%e8%95%ad%e6%a2%9d%e5%8f%b2%e7%84%a1%e5%89%8d%e4%be%8b%ef%bc%81%e7%be%8e%e7%a8%b1%e5%b7%b2%e5%a4%b1%e5%8e%bb%e5%88%b6%e9%80%a0%e6%a5%ad%e5%84%aa%e5%8b%a2%ef%bc%9a\/","url_meta":{"origin":7857,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u9019\u6b21\u5927\u856d\u689d\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\uff01\u7f8e\u7a31\u5df2\u5931\u53bb\u5236\u9020\u696d\u512a\u52e2\uff1a\u4e00\u65e6\u7ffb\u81c9\u5f8c\u679c\u53ef\u6015","date":"May 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