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<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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2,760 4年前，特朗普将对外强硬政策作为竞选的政治工具，捞足了政治选票。如今，面对更加撕裂的美国社会，更加低迷的国内经济，更加狂暴的骚乱，特朗普政府自然要抓住“大国竞争”的这根“救命稻草”。在过去两个月里，美国频繁派出舰机“无限接近”“竞争对手”的领海和领空，试图引诱对手开第一枪后，顺势挑起冲突塑造“战时总统”形象，进而帮助特朗普成功实现连任。但在发现俄罗斯等主要“竞争对手”戒备森严，且不随美方起舞之后，美军果断调转了枪口。 据俄罗斯卫星通讯社10月4日报道称，近日美国海军的一艘“阿利·ä¼¯å…‹”级导弹驱逐舰突然闯入委内瑞拉的专属经济区，随后向该国沿海开进。委内瑞拉军方迅速出动了舰机进行查证识别。在确认目标为美军战机，并且搭载大量导弹后，委军方通过无线电要求美舰立刻改变航向，但后者却宣称自己是在执行“禁毒任务”，而且拒绝承认委内瑞拉对领海和专属经济区的“过度”海权主张。为此，美战舰不顾委内瑞拉军方的警告和拦截，甚至进入距离领海5公里的水域，而前来拦截的苏-30战机飞行员则请求立即开火，以警告美军不要擅闯委内瑞拉的领海。 然而，面对苏-30战斗机飞行员立即开火的请求，军方却回复称，不准开第一枪。最终，美军这艘“阿利·ä¼¯å…‹”级导弹驱逐舰在贴着委方领海进行了较长时间的“自由航行”后，才在委内瑞拉海空军的严密监视下扬长而去。美军南方司令部发还表声明称，美军与盟友在加勒比海海域展开“禁毒行动”的联合军演之后，在委内瑞拉“沿海”展开了“自由航行”任务，以挑战委内瑞拉对国际水域的“过度主张”。而根据委国公布的规定，距离海岸线12海里内水域为领海，美军战舰此次进入了委国专属经济区，逼近距领海的5海里处。委内瑞拉官方指责称，美军战舰放着国际航道不走，专门闯入委国沿海附近海域，完全是“蓄意的军事挑衅”行为。 值得注意的是，年初美国就宣布在西半球展开“禁毒行动”，特朗普甚至还称威胁称，军事解决方案已经准备到位，且已经“锁定目标，装弹上膛”。而在俄罗斯向委内瑞拉提供军事物资援助后，美国迟迟没有动手。不过，特朗普政府却始终没有放弃寻求对委国进行政权更迭，并曾派出航母战斗群进入加勒比海海域。有分析指出，如今面对不利的选情，特朗普通过战争谋求连任的欲望越来越迫切。尽管美国对委动武的确存在诸多内外部限制，但也要注意到美国总统集国家元首，政府首脑和武装部队总司令三职于一身的事实。因此，特朗普对委内瑞拉放出的狠话，并不能简单地视为虚张声势。所以，只要委内瑞拉打响第一枪，就会给特朗普发动战争提供“名正言顺”的口实。 从具体的军事行动层面上看，尽管美军尚未动武，但已在进行周密的军事准备。美军已在向哥伦比亚部署特种作战部队，并且频繁派遣舰机对委实施抵近侦察，但委内瑞拉军方一直小心翼翼避免与美军擦枪走火。不过，美军却正不遗余力地拟定多种想定措施，以求在关键时刻做好随时动武的准备。有分析指出，选情低迷的特朗普政府在全球热点地区进行“军事冒险”的可能性正在增加，但鉴于对俄罗斯等大国开战后果难以把控，美国更倾向于对委内瑞拉这样胆小力弱的国家动武。从某种程度上来说，畏战不会避免战争，越想避战，战争就越会发生，而只有敢于迎头痛击，做好“一战到底”的准备，才能最大程度防止战争，才能创造和争取更长时间的和平环境。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6944,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/RXeA1YotVt-compress_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=688%2C380&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":7860,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2020\/11\/05\/%e6%81%a2%e8%a6%86%e6%b5%b7%e7%9b%9c%e6%9c%ac%e8%89%b2%ef%bc%9f%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%90%b6%e5%8a%ab%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%b2%b9%e8%bc%aa%e5%b0%87%e5%8e%9f%e6%b2%b9%e5%87%ba%e5%94%ae%ef%bc%8c%e7%8d%b2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6943,"position":0},"title":"\u6062\u8986\u6d77\u76dc\u672c\u8272\uff1f\u7f8e\u570b\u6436\u52ab\u4f0a\u6717\u6cb9\u8f2a\u5c07\u539f\u6cb9\u51fa\u552e\uff0c\u7372\u52294000\u842c\u7f8e\u5143","date":"November 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