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2,105 梅德韦杰夫日前针对西方媒体猜测俄乌战争如何结束，也发布了预测，小梅认为西方媒体和政客关于战争陷入僵局、长期化会拖累俄罗斯的论断，纯属是谎言，并且在蛊惑选民。 梅德韦杰夫就俄乌战争给出了自己的两个预测：“第一是俄方的特别军事行动的所有目标都完全实现，基辅方面明确地承认特别军事行动的结果（承认战败）。第二是乌克兰内部发生军事政变，然后再承认特别军事行动的结果。” 不过，总体上看，小梅说的似乎有些高调了。俄罗斯方面对于特别军事行动的目标，从开战以来就飘忽不定，完全推翻肢解乌克兰，彻底去军事化，到现在只解放确定顿巴斯和要求乌克兰承认克里米亚属于俄罗斯，俄罗斯的总体目标是越来越低的。 但乌克兰还是一口拒绝了和谈的可能，乌克兰明确表示绝不投降，也绝不承认现状，要求将国土恢复到1991年的状态。 乌克兰之所以如此强硬，主要原因是俄罗斯真的打不动了，俄军已经没有能力再大幅度取得突破，占领更多的乌克兰领土。尽管乌克兰损失很大，俄军在战术上还有握有优势，但是战争已经陷入僵局。 面对一个拥有着大后方、巨量援助、交通顺畅、大规模全面战争动员、并且抵抗意志十分强烈的乌克兰，俄罗斯方面已经无法完全彻底地打败乌军。 为了削弱俄罗斯方面“发动战争的实力”，利用乌克兰战场这把钝刀子给俄罗斯持续放血，以美国为首的西方集团显然希望乌克兰“战至最后一人”，替西方消耗俄罗斯的军事资源。 只要西方不亲自下场，花几年时间，烧几百美元，就把俄罗斯的血放干，这太合算了。哪怕在几年内烧掉几千亿美元，也是很划算的。 因此战争拖得时间越长，乌克兰战场的状态就越来越“阿富汗”化，俄罗斯被放血的程度就会越严重。 俄罗斯这个仗，还能打赢吗？<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47283,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/34d75e2b1db347578dc017c6b0106160_\u526f\u672c.png?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":43477,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/06\/17\/%e6%a2%85%e5%be%b7%e9%9f%8b%e5%82%91%e5%a4%ab%ef%bc%9a%e8%aa%b0%e8%aa%aa%e4%bb%8a%e5%be%8c%e7%83%8f%e5%85%8b%e8%98%ad%e9%82%84%e6%9c%83%e5%87%ba%e7%8f%be%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e5%9c%b0%e5%9c%96\/","url_meta":{"origin":47256,"position":0},"title":"\u6885\u5fb7\u97cb\u5091\u592b\uff1a\u8ab0\u8aaa\u4eca\u5f8c\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u9084\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5730\u5716\u4e0a\uff1f","date":"June 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