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2018\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u535a\u5f08\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u3001\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d34\u8eab\u8089\u640f\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u662f\u7edd\u65e0\u4ec5\u6709\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

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2022\u5e742\u6708\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u666e\u4eac\u8bbf\u534e\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u7b7e\u8ba2\u4e86\u8fdc\u4e1c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8d2d\u9500\u534f\u8bae\u548c\u539f\u6cb9\u8d2d\u9500\u5408\u540c\u3002\u4fc4\u65b9\u5c06\u628a\u6bcf\u5e74\u8f93\u5f80\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ba1\u9053\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u589e\u52a0100\u4ebf\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u201c\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u529b\u91cf\u201d\u7ba1\u9053\u7684\u8f93\u6c14\u91cf\uff0c\u5bf9\u534e\u4f9b\u6c14\u603b\u91cf\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u5e74480\u4ebf\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73\u3002\u5728\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8d2d\u9500\u534f\u8bae\u4e2d\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u7528\u6765\u7ed3\u7b97\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u65e2\u4e0d\u662f\u5362\u5e03\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6b27\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

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2022\u5e748\u670822\u65e5\uff0c1\u6b27\u5143\u53ea\u80fd\u51510.9938\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u800c2021\u5e748\u670830\u65e5\uff0c1\u6b27\u5143\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5151\u63621.1810\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

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8\u670819\u65e5\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u516c\u53f8\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u5c06\u4e8e8\u670831\u65e5\uff0d9\u67082\u65e5\u505c\u6b62\u5317\u6eaa\u7ba1\u9053\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8f93\u9001\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u9700\u8981\u7ef4\u62a4\u3002<\/p>\n

8\u670822\u65e5\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d329\u6708\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8fbe\u52302862\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5343\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73\uff0c\u5f53\u65e5\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8612.7%\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5230\u5e74\u5e95\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u81f34000\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5343\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u768414\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\u6da8\u4ef7\u4e861000%\u3002<\/p>\n

7\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a19\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u540c\u6bd4\u521b\u4e0b8.9%\u7684\u65b0\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u4e3a1999\u5e74\u6b27\u5143\u6b63\u5f0f\u53d1\u884c\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

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7\u670822\u65e5\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u540c\u610f\u89e3\u9664\u6d77\u4e0a\u5c01\u9501\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u9ed1\u6d77\u6e2f\u53e3\u5df2\u51fa\u53e3\u8d85\u8fc756\u4e07\u5428\u7cae\u98df\u3002\u51e0\u4e4e\u5168\u90e8\u8fd0\u5f80\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u81f3\u4e8e\u975e\u6d32\u4eba\u6c11\u5728\u6328\u997f\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u53ef\u987e\u4e0d\u4e86\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

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2,240俄乌冲突，损失最大的竟然是欧盟。在百年未有的大变局前夜，欧盟率先失去了机遇期。 2018年，中美博弈加剧，世界第一、第二大经济体已经贴身肉搏了，上万亿美元的贸易战在历史上是绝无仅有的。 作为世界第三大经济体欧盟，绝对是双方拉拢的对象。欧盟身处绝佳的战略位置，只要应对得当，在未来的世界格局中，将能得到更大的权益。 2022å¹´2月，俄罗斯总统普京访华，中俄签订了远东天然气购销协议和原油购销合同。俄方将把每年输往中国的管道天然气增加100亿立方米，加上“西伯利亚力量”管道的输气量，对华供气总量将达到每年480亿立方米。在天然气购销协议中，双方用来结算的货币既不是卢布，也不是人民币，而是欧元。 此举目的是“去美元化”，打击美元霸权，在国际上大力提升欧元的地位。 中俄并不指望欧盟能站在自己这一方的立场，只要欧盟能保持中立，就能达到目的。而中立对欧盟来说也是最有利的位置，可以在美国和中俄之间取得最大利益。 如此巨量的贸易，中俄没用自己的货币，而用欧元，这份大礼够实在，足够诚心。 这个时候的欧盟是二战后最高光的时刻，最被世界瞩目的时刻。美国在加强大西洋两岸关系，中俄送上大礼。 欧盟只有中立，才能取得这种荣耀，如果倒向美国，就只是一枚棋子，失去了价值。这种中立即便不是绝对的中立，哪怕是带有偏见的中立也是好的，也具有被拉拢的价值。 可欧盟做出了最不堪的选择，既失去了自身的价值，也把自己带入坑中，难以自拔。 俄乌冲突爆发，在美国的煽动下，欧盟似乎没有对未来作出应有的判断，只顾及眼前对俄罗斯的打压。西方国家对俄罗斯实施了疯狂的五千多项制裁，没收了俄罗斯政府和私人在海外的资产。在文化、科技、金融、贸易将俄罗斯彻底孤立于欧洲。 欧盟对俄罗斯启动了七轮制裁，狂欢似的要一举摧毁俄罗斯。制定政策要断绝俄罗斯的能源，一副胜券在握的架势。 半年后，今天的欧盟早已没有之前的傲气。突出表现在三个方面。 一、一年中，整个欧盟的财富缩水近20%，大量资金逃出欧洲。 2022å¹´8月22日，1欧元只能兑0.9938美元。而2021å¹´8月30日，1欧元还可以兑换1.1810美元。 俄乌冲突还在继续，已经将整个欧洲拖入困境。卢布兑美元在升值，欧元跌至二十年来新低。谁会预想到会有这种结果呢，当然，中俄能源结算也不会用欧元了。 光这笔账，一进一出，欧盟的损失就是天文数字，更失去了与美元抗衡的机遇。 二、欧盟遭遇能源危机、粮食危机、高通胀、供应链短缺、民众正常生活被严重影响。 8月19日，俄罗斯天然气公司宣布，将于8月31日－9月2日停止北溪管道的天然气输送，原因是天然气涡轮机需要维护。 8月22日的最新数据显示，欧洲9月天然气期货的价格达到2862美元\/千立方米，当日价格上涨了12.7%。有人预计，到年底价格可能至4000美元\/千立方米。欧洲的天然气在最近的14个月里涨价了1000%。 7月份，欧元区19个国家通胀率同比创下8.9%的新纪录，为1999年欧元正式发行以来的最高水平。 自俄乌冲突爆发以来，全球粮食供应已经受到严重干扰，而如今高温干旱席卷欧洲恐让形势雪上加霜。 欧洲今年遭遇500年来最严重干旱，法国农业咨询公司Strategie Grains预测，2022-2023作物季欧盟整体谷物产量将同比下降8.5％。 产量下降预计将使欧盟粮食供应出现短缺，玉米和大麦的缺口在10万吨，小麦缺口为20万吨。 西方一直宣传，非洲面临人道主义危机要饿死人了，指责俄罗斯不让乌克兰出口农作物。 7月22日，俄罗斯同意解除海上封锁，乌克兰黑海港口已出口超过56万吨粮食。几乎全部运往了欧洲，至于非洲人民在挨饿，欧洲可顾不了那么多。 战争致使欧洲供应链出现问题，高通胀，高价能源，很多欧洲国家民众因为价格太高，已经每天减少一顿餐食。 欧盟要求各国降低天然气使用量的15%，希望能熬过冬季。 三、欧盟没有战略自主，这个最大软肋使其失去了在新世界格局中争取应有地位的机会。 俄乌冲突爆发一段时间后，当欧盟主要国家意识到在欧洲发生战争对自己极其不利时，法国总统、德国总理多次穿梭于俄罗斯与乌克兰间，希望达到停火的目的，结果一事无成。 欧盟根本无力掌控发生在欧洲的战争，战争的主导权在美国手中。美国以救世主的身份任意宰割欧洲，欧盟还得出钱出力感谢美国的保护。 俄乌冲突后，广大发展中国家非常清醒，能维护自己国家的最大利益，几乎没有站队美国，都持中立态度。 而一贯高傲至极的欧盟，既搞不清自己的利益，也维护不了自己的权益。一步一步将自己陷入困境，至今看不到出路。 欧盟要正常发展必须与俄罗斯保持良好的关系，既可以减少冲突的耗费，也可以得到俄罗斯就近便宜的能源。 而现在，这种情形已经是奢望，双方的互耗可能才刚刚开始。 现在的欧盟只是在经济上还有一定分量，在世界级的博弈中已经被踢出了竞赛场。如同一个大号的日本，在地缘战略竞争中充当从属者的角色。 美国干倒了日本，又踢倒了欧盟，这个盟主绝对有权威。 世界第一、第二大经济体在激烈博弈，第三大经济体原本有极佳的战略位置，却被欧盟一帮精英玩脱了。 一个没有战略自主的集团，不管有多庞大，终究是他人的棋子。后来者当引以为戒。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/download-8_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C377&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":30083,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/10\/06\/%e6%9c%aa%e4%be%86%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e7%a7%a9%e5%ba%8f%ef%bc%9a%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%92%8c%e5%be%b7%e5%9c%8b%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%8d%9a\/","url_meta":{"origin":47020,"position":0},"title":"\u672a\u4f86\u4e16\u754c\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u65b0\u79e9\u5e8f\uff1a\u6b50\u6d32\u548c\u5fb7\u570b\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e2d\u7f8e\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\u88ab\u58d3\u57ae\uff01","date":"October 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