\u8001\u7f8e\u6700\u8fd1\u53c8\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5149\u523b\u673a\u4f01\u4e1aASML\u63d0\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u8981\u6c42ASML\u4e0d\u8981\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u9500\u552e14nm\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684DUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u9762\u5bf9\u8001\u7f8e\u7684\u65e0\u803b\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u751f\u5b58\u538b\u529b\u5de8\u5927\u7684ASML\u8fd9\u6b21\u9009\u62e9\u7ffb\u724c\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u3001ASML\u9762\u4e34\u751f\u5b58\u95ee\u9898<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6ASML\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u8170\u65a9\uff0c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u867d\u7136\u518d\u6b21\u53d6\u5f97\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5b83\u5374\u9884\u671f\u4eca\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u7684\u8425\u6536\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u53ea\u670910%\uff0c\u4e3a\u539f\u6765\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u957f20%\u7684\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u82af\u7247\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6709\u6240\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5168\u7403\u82af\u7247\u884c\u4e1a\u5df2\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u706b\u70ed\u8fc5\u901f\u51b7\u5374\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u8bf8\u591a\u82af\u7247\u884c\u4e1a\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c04\u9891\u3001\u6a21\u62df\u82af\u7247\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\u5b58\u50a8\u82af\u7247\u90fd\u8868\u793a\u5e93\u5b58\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u82af\u7247\u4f01\u4e1a\u751a\u81f3\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4ef7\u4e5d\u6210\u6c42\u552e\uff0c\u8fd9\u8db3\u4ee5\u8bc1\u660e\u5168\u7403\u82af\u7247\u4f9b\u7ed9\u8fc7\u5269\u5df2\u53d8\u6210\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82af\u7247\u4f9b\u7ed9\u8fc7\u5269\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5168\u7403\u70ed\u70c8\u5c55\u5f00\u7684\u82af\u7247\u4ea7\u80fd\u7ade\u8d5b\u5c06\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u4e00\u6765\u63d0\u4f9b\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684ASML\u5c06\u53d7\u91cd\u521b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5149\u523b\u673a\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u6bd4ASML\u9884\u671f\u7684\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u82af\u7247\u5236\u9020\u662f\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u673a\u6784\u4e00\u65e6\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u4f1a\u8fc5\u901f\u505c\u6b62\u91c7\u8d2d\u5149\u523b\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027<\/p>\n

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\u5728\u5f53\u4e0b\u5168\u7403\u82af\u7247\u5236\u9020\u9879\u76ee\u53ef\u80fd\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u552f\u4e00\u7ee7\u7eed\u6269\u5f20\u82af\u7247\u4ea7\u80fd\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e0c\u671b\u52302025\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e03\u6210\u82af\u7247\u81ea\u7ed9\u7387\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u82af\u7247\u4e0b\u884c\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7b49\u8bbe\u5907\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u9006\u5468\u671f\u6269\u5f20\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u6269\u5f20\u82af\u7247\u4ea7\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u5982\u6b64\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9ASML\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\uff0c\u5bd2\u51ac\u4e0b\u8c01\u80fd\u7ed9\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e26\u6765\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u5c31\u662f\u96ea\u4e2d\u9001\u70ad\uff0c\u66f4\u4f55\u51b5\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed9ASML\u5e26\u6765\u4e30\u539a\u7684\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u4e3e\u91c7\u8d2d\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u4e8c\u624b\u5149\u523b\u673a\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u65e5\u672c\u4e8c\u624b\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7ffb\u500d\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5bf9ASML\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5149\u523b\u673a\u4f01\u4e1a\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u97e9\u56fd\u5b58\u50a8\u82af\u7247\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u82af\u7247\u884c\u4e1a\u540c\u6837\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u82af\u7247\u4f01\u4e1a\u90fd\u5e0c\u5180\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u80fd\u91c7\u8d2d\u66f4\u591a\u82af\u7247\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u5b83\u4eec\u6d88\u5316\u5e93\u5b58\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u5b9eASML\u5f53\u7136\u90fd\u4f1a\u770b\u5728\u773c\u91cc\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u9762\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0cASML\u9ad8\u7ba1\u5df2\u7ecf\u8868\u793aDUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u6210\u719f\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u552eDUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u65e0\u52a9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u82af\u7247\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u7684\u826f\u6027\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5b83\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f9b\u5e94DUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u662fASML\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ffb\u724c\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

ASML\u5f53\u524d\u4e5f\u5728\u5927\u4e3e\u6269\u5f20\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684\u4ea7\u80fd\uff0c\u4e1a\u754c\u9884\u671f\u52302024\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u53f0\u79ef\u7535\u548c\u4e09\u661f\u5df2\u5b8c\u62103nm\u5de5\u827a\u7684\u91cf\u4ea7\uff0cIntel\u7684Intel 4\u5de5\u5382\u4e5f\u5df2\u5b8c\u6210\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e89\u53d6\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u6295\u4ea7\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u66f4\u5148\u8fdb\u5de5\u827a\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\uff0c\u5bf9\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u6b64\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0bASML\u4ecd\u7136\u5927\u4e3e\u6269\u5f20\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684\u4ea7\u80fd\uff0c\u4e1a\u754c\u9884\u671fASML\u5c31\u662f\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u91cf\u4ea7\u540e\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u5df2\u4e0d\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5148\u8fdb\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u800c\u5c06\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ee3EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u4f9b\u5e94\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u9700\u8981EUV\u5149\u523b\u673a\u7684\u53ea\u6709\u4e09\u661f\u3001\u53f0\u79ef\u7535\u3001Intel\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

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2,466老美最近又对全球最大的光刻机企业ASML提出新的要求，要求ASML不要对中国销售14nm以下的DUV光刻机，然而面对老美的无耻要求，生存压力巨大的ASML这次选择翻牌了。 一、ASML面临生存问题 今年一季度ASML的盈利腰斩，二季度虽然再次取得大幅度的增长，但是它却预期今年全年的营收增速将只有10%，为原来预计增长20%的一半，这主要是因为它对于全球芯片行业的发展有所担忧。 全球芯片行业已从此前的火热迅速冷却，今年上半年诸多芯片行业包括美国射频、模拟芯片和韩国存储芯片都表示库存高企，美国芯片企业甚至大幅降价九成求售，这足以证明全球芯片供给过剩已变成现实。 芯片供给过剩，此前全球热烈展开的芯片产能竞赛将因此而停滞，如此一来提供光刻机的ASML将受重创，甚至光刻机需求下滑的幅度比ASML预期的更严重，毕竟芯片制造是高投资的行业，投资机构一旦看不到盈利的希望会迅速停止采购光刻机。 二、中国市场的重要性 由于众所周知的原因，ASML至今未能对中国出售EUV光刻机，但是中国市场仍然成为ASML最大的市场，2021年和今年一季度，中国市场给ASML贡献的收入都达到三分之一，超过了韩国和中国台湾。 在当下全球芯片制造项目可能停滞的情况下，中国市场可能成为唯一继续扩张芯片产能的市场，因为中国希望到2025年实现七成芯片自给率，而在芯片下行阶段，光刻机等设备的价格更便宜，逆周期扩张有助于中国低成本扩张芯片产能。 如此情况下，中国市场对ASML的重要性毋庸置疑，寒冬下谁能给企业带来现金流就是雪中送炭，更何况中国市场还可以给ASML带来丰厚的利润，此前中国大举采购日本的二手光刻机，推动了日本二手光刻机翻倍上涨。 事实上中国市场不仅对ASML这类光刻机企业非常重要，对于韩国存储芯片、美国芯片行业同样非常重要，它们的芯片企业都希冀中国企业能采购更多芯片，帮助它们消化库存，这些事实ASML当然都会看在眼里。 三、ASML表态希望继续与中国芯片合作 面对当前的市场现实，ASML高管已经表示DUV光刻机已经是成熟技术，限制对中国出售DUV光刻机无助于全球芯片产业链的良性发展，它希望能给中国继续供应DUV光刻机，这可以说是ASML正式翻牌了。 ASML当前也在大举扩张第一代EUV光刻机的产能，业界预期到2024年第一代EUV光刻机的产能将翻倍，然而台积电和三星已完成3nm工艺的量产，Intelçš„Intel 4工厂也已完成建设争取今年下半年投产，它们的更先进工艺将需要第二代EUV光刻机，对第一代EUV光刻机的需求将逐渐减少。 如此情况下ASML仍然大举扩张第一代EUV光刻机的产能，业界预期ASML就是希望在第二代EUV光刻机量产后，第一代EUV光刻机已不属于先进技术，而将第一代EUV光刻机供应给中国市场，因为需要EUV光刻机的只有三星、台积电、Intel和中国市场。 如此也就不奇怪当老美再次要求ASML不要对中国出售14nm以下DUV光刻机之后，ASML方面表达拒绝的态度了，毕竟如今的环境对于ASML来说颇为艰难，中国市场可能对它的生存产生重要影响，为了生存ASML当然要争取自己的大客户，而不希望一味顺从老美的要求。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46210,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/LYNXMPEI640TA_L_\u526f\u672c-1.jpg?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":46030,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/08\/11\/%e8%b6%8a%e4%be%86%e8%b6%8a%e6%9c%89%e8%b6%a3%e4%ba%86%ef%bc%8c%e9%9f%93%e5%9c%8b%e3%80%81asml%e6%8e%a5%e9%80%a3%e8%a1%a8%e6%85%8b%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e8%a2%ab%e7%84%a1%e8%a6%96%e4%ba%86\/","url_meta":{"origin":46197,"position":0},"title":"\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u6709\u8da3\u4e86\uff0c\u97d3\u570b\u3001ASML\u63a5\u9023\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u88ab\u7121\u8996\u4e86\uff1f","date":"August 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\u00e8Š\u00af\u00e7‰‡\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e7Ÿ\u00ad\u00e6\u00bf\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e5\u00a4–\u00e4\u00b9Ÿ\u00e5\u00ae\u00b3\u00e6€• \u00e8Š\u00af\u00e7‰‡\u00e5ˆ\u00b6\u00e9€\u00a0\u00e4\u00b8š\u00e4\u00b8€\u00e7›\u00b4\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e6ˆ‘\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e7š„\u00e5\u00bc\u00b1\u00e7‚\u00b9\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e8\u00b4\u00b8\u00e6˜“\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00e7š„\u00e5ˆ\u00b6\u00e8\u00a3\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e6\u00b2\u00a1\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e6€•\u00e7š„\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00bd†\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e7\u00a7‘\u00e6Š€\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00e7š„\u00e5ˆ\u00b6\u00e8\u00a3\u00e8\u00ae\u00a9\u00e5\u00beˆ\u00e5\u00a4š\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e6\u00b0‘\u00e5\u00bc€\u00e5\u00a7‹\u00e6\u00e6…Œ\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00bcš\u00e4\u00b8\u00e4\u00bcš\u00e6ˆ‘\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e4\u00bcš\u00e9\u00a2\u00e4\u00b8\u00b4\u00e6—\u00a0\u00e8Š\u00af\u00e7‰‡\u00e5\u00af\u00e7”\u00a8\u00e7š„\u00e5\u00a2ƒ\u00e5œ\u00b0\u00e3€‚\u00e5\u00aež\u00e9™…\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e7š„\u00e7\u00a0”\u00e5‘\u00e8ƒ\u00bd\u00e5Š›\u00e7œŸ\u00e7š„\u00e5\u00beˆ\u00e5\u00bc\u00ba\u00ef\u00bcŒASML\u00e6€\u00bb\u00e8\u00a3\u00e7š\u00ae\u00e7‰\u00b9\u00b7\u00e6\u00b8\u00a9\u00e5\u00bd\u00bc\u00e5\u00be—\u00e6—\u00a9\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e4\u00bbŠ\u00e5\u00b9\u00b44\u00e6œˆ\u00e4\u00bb\u00bd\u00e5\u00b0\u00b1\u00e8\u00ad\u00a6\u00e5‘Š\u00e8\u00bf‡\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5›\u00bd\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5\u00a6‚\u00e6žœ\u00e5\u00af\u00b9\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e5\u00aež\u00e6–\u00bd\u00e5…\u00a8\u00e9\u00a2\u00e7š„\u00e7\u00a7‘\u00e6Š€\u00e5ˆ\u00b6\u00e8\u00a3\u00e7\u00ad‰\u00e4\u00baŽ\u00e8‡\u00aa\u00e6–\u00ad\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b7\u00af\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5›\u00a0\u00e4\u00b8\u00ba\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e4\u00b8–\u00e7•Œ\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00e6œ€\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e7š„\u00e8Š\u00af\u00e7‰‡\u00e5ˆ\u00b6\u00e9€\u00a0\u00e5•†\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5\u00a4\u00b1\u00e5Ž\u00bb\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e7š„\u00e5\u00b8‚\u00e5œ\u00ba\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5\u00beˆ\u00e5\u00a4š\u00e7\u00a7‘\u00e6Š€\u00e5…\u00ac\u00e5\u00b8\u00e9ƒ\u00bd\u00e4\u00bcš\u00e4\u00b8\u00a7\u00e5\u00a4\u00b1\u00e7\u00a0”\u00e5‘\u00e8\u00b5„\u00e9‡‘\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00b9…\u00e8€Œ\u00e4\u00b9…\u00e4\u00b9‹\u00e5\u00b0\u00b1\u00e4\u00bcš\u00e5›\u00a0\u00e4\u00b8\u00ba\u00e8\u00b5„\u00e9‡‘\u00e9“\u00be\u00e6–\u00ad\u00e8\u00a3‚\u00e8€Œ\u00e7\u00a0\u00b4\u00e4\u00ba\u00a7\u00e3€‚ 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