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\u6709\u610f\u601d\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6211\u5011\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u6676\u7247\u780d\u55ae\uff0c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u4e5f\u5f9e\u5e74\u521d\u7d04140\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5230\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u7d0488\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8d85\u904e2700\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u503c\u84b8\u767c\u4e86\uff0c\u800c\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb2021\u5e74\u7684\u6de8\u5229\u6f64\u662f\u7d04214\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u591a\u8aaa\u4e86\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u4e5f\u5df2\u7d93\u611f\u89ba\u5230\uff0c\u8ab0\u624d\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u6700\u89aa\u8fd1\u7684\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2,455台積電恐怕也沒想到，這麼快就發生了戲劇性的四件事。 近日台積電董事長劉德音的發聲，可謂是「語驚四座」，其表示大陸客戶只占其業務營收的10%，之前還表示失去的華為訂單，完全可以被其他客戶填補。言下之意已經很明顯了，就是大陸客戶對於台積電來說不重要，台積電的邏輯很簡單，訂單多的就重要，否則就是不重要，這是在暗指我們的訂單太少。事情發展的就是這麼快，緊接著就發生了四件事，可以說非常「應景」，很具有戲劇性。 第一件事，台積電的大客戶高通「倒戈」了。一直以來高通都是台積電的大客戶，高通不僅研發設計手機晶片，還有5G晶片、WIFI晶片、汽車和物聯網晶片。目前手機市場的大環境已經不同以往，就連台積電方面之前也表示，其第一大營收已經不是手機晶片，這不難理解，畢竟各大手機廠商都在砍單晶片。既然手機晶片訂單大幅下滑，但是高通的其他業務晶片，則正是市場前景大好的時候。 按說台積電還能大賺一筆，不過情況變了，高通選擇了其美國本土的格芯作為晶片代工廠，而且還簽了長期合約，直接簽到了2028年。不僅如此，還追加了合作金額42億美元，目前合作金額已經飆升到了74億美元，約501億人民幣。已經不言而喻，高通這是「倒戈」了。第二件事，英特爾不合作了又是一家美芯巨頭，英特爾已經不用做過多的介紹，之前在台積電的客戶排序上，英特爾是與蘋果平齊的第一梯隊。 台積電的3納米工廠，有相當一部分因素是為了英特爾，但是現在英特爾宣布，台積電的3納米不要了，不合作了。這對台積電有什麼影響呢？影響大嗎？可以說後果嚴重，直接導致台積電暫緩了3納米工廠的建設，而恰逢這個時候，三星宣布獲得了第二個3納米客戶，這是巧合嗎？第三件事，英偉達財報慘烈還是那句話，又是一個美芯巨頭，英偉達是GPU晶片供應商，也是台積電的大客戶之一。 而近日英偉達方面公布了第二財季的財報，可以說，只能用慘烈來形容。預計營收直接環比下滑了19%，之前預期的營收是81億美元，結果直接縮減到了67億美元。毫無疑問，市場對英偉達的晶片需求出現了大幅的下降，既然如此，台積電還能獲得英偉達的大量訂單嗎？第四件事，國產通用GPU一次點亮現在回到我們國產晶片上，今天國產GPU晶片企業壁仞科技發布了首款通用GPU晶片BR100。 好，四件事說完了，看看我們能總結出來什麼，基本上對台積電來說，有兩點。第一點，大客戶雖好，但是靠不住台積電的大客戶，基本上美芯企業占據了較多的份額，但是看看發生的這三件事，電腦晶片大廠英特爾直接不合作了，手機晶片大廠高通直接轉單了，GPU大廠業績慘澹，而且英偉達一直以來也都不是台積電的穩定客戶，經常遊走在三星和台積電之間。所以很明顯，這些大客戶都是靠不住的，尤其是在當下的這個大環境下。一方面，是美在極力發展其本土半導體產業，目的很簡單，就是希望自己的晶片製造能力要提升，自己本國的晶片製造也要在本土完成，也就是說，美也不放心台積電。 這次高通的轉單，其實就是一個信號。另一方面，英特爾已經成立獨立的晶片代工業務，目前正在積極的在美本土建設新的工廠。這些新工廠的建設，當然就是為了承接其本土的晶片製造，所以台積電的這些大客戶，未來或許會轉投英特爾。第二點，國產晶片自給率在快速提升上面我們談到了BR100這款通用GPU晶片，性能方面已經不用多說，已經實現了對國際旗艦產品的超越，替代已然不成問題，這個替代，就包括台積電的大客戶英偉達。我們還可以看一組數據，根據媒體報導表示，在今年上半年，我們已經減少晶片進口達到了290億顆。 而我們的目標，是到2025年，實現晶片自給率達到70%。所以僅僅是從短期來看，中企的晶片訂單將會快速攀升。這樣的對比，結果就很清晰了，台積電說大陸客戶只占比10%，那麼未來呢？美企的訂單現在是大客戶，還是那句話，未來呢？況且現在台積電的美企客戶，已經「不安分」了，孰輕孰重，相信已經擺在桌面上了。 有意思的是，隨著我們上半年的大量晶片砍單，台積電的股價也從年初約140美元的最高點，下跌到現在的約88美元，超過2700億美元的市值蒸發了，而台積電2021年的淨利潤是約214億美元。最後，不多說了，相信台積電也已經感覺到，誰才是自己最親近的人。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46014,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/id12923965-496379-450x299_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":11023,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2020\/12\/25\/%e5%8f%b0%e7%a9%8d%e9%9b%bb%e6%9c%80%e7%b5%82%e6%b2%92%e8%83%bd%e9%80%83%e9%81%8e%ef%bc%8c%e7%b5%82%e6%ad%a2%e8%88%87%e8%8f%af%e7%82%ba%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%b0%e7%a9%8d%e9%9b%bb%ef%bc%8c\/","url_meta":{"origin":45999,"position":0},"title":"\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u6700\u7d42\u6c92\u80fd\u9003\u904e\uff0c\u7d42\u6b62\u8207\u83ef\u70ba\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\uff0c\u9084\u4e1f\u4e86\u300c\u5927\u8a02\u55ae\u300d","date":"December 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