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<\/p>\n

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2,384日前多个社交媒体平台出现了中国空间站配套的载人飞船与货运飞船的成本费用，载人飞船的费用一次高达8.5亿元，货运飞船的成本也达到了3.5亿元，有好事的朋友计算后认为这个价格太高了，甚至高于俄罗斯联盟号飞船，事情真的是这样吗？ 神舟载人飞船一次8.5亿！是真的吗？ 首先披露的是一个ID为China航天的微博用户，在博文中列出了详细价格： 神舟载人飞船单艘成本8.5亿人民币，约合：1.264亿美元；天舟飞船货运单艘成本3.5亿人民币，约合：5204万美元； 对于这个价格，估计大家心里都有点毛毛的，这价格真的好贵啊，而且建设天宫空间站，要发射很多次载人飞船： 神舟12、13、14、15，建成后维护运营期间，每年需要发射两次，到2030年时总共要发射大约20次，约合25.28亿美元。 而货运补给飞船几乎是同样的数量，假如也按20次算，其成本约为10.4亿美元，两边合计大约为35.7亿美元，约合240亿人民币左右。 那么问题来了，这事儿是真的吗？ 答案居然是真的！种花家根据这些关键信息去网上搜了下，找到了2021å¹´9月18日发表在《中国科学技术科学》上的一篇论文，标题为：“空间站长期运行的在轨事件和运输访问的综合规划”，论文网址为：https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1360\/SST-2021-0057 给出了中国空间站运行的大量数据： 上图费用为载人飞船，红线处标记的费用为8.5亿人民币； 上图费用为货运飞船，红线处标记的费用为3.5亿人民币； 信源来自《中国科学技术科学》的论文，其作者为JiaCheng ZHANG, YueHe ZHU, YaZhong LUO，其可信度应该是没有问题的，那么问你题来了，这个价格到底是高还是低？准确地说很难来界定这个费用高低的问题，只能以对比的方式来确定神舟系列飞船到底是高了还是低了。 联盟号与SpaceX的龙飞船，一次报价多少？ 有网友认为神舟飞船的价格高了，因为理由很简单，比俄罗斯的联盟号飞船高了！不过各国飞船的成本报价都不太透明，要了解费用还是很麻烦的，但在2022年发生了一件大事让大家见识到了联盟号飞船内的船票价格！ 2022å¹´3月30日，俄罗斯联盟号飞船MS-19任务将马克范德黑带回了地球，此前由于美俄因为俄乌冲突相互制裁，导致传闻马克范德黑将被抛弃在轨道上，但俄罗斯显然不会如此毫无人性，在MS-19任务返回时还是将其带了回来。 此后俄航天局罗戈津催要费用称俄罗斯还没有收到马克范德黑的船票费用20亿卢布，差点传出美国要赖账的传闻！因为俄罗斯要求用卢布支付，而美国对俄罗斯制裁拒绝用卢布，这个事情一直到6月初才圆满解决！ 2022å¹´6月11日，“ä¿„ç½—æ–¯24”新闻频道报道，俄罗斯航天局负责人德米特里·ç½—戈津在接受“ä¿„ç½—æ–¯24”记者采访时表示，美国公司Axiom Space经过一段时间的拖延，最终还是为美国宇航局宇航员马克·èŒƒå¾··æµ·ä¼Šä¹˜åè”盟号飞船支付了约20亿卢布（约为3470万美元） 这个新闻让大家了解到，马克范德黑乘坐联盟号返回的船票费用为3470万美元，按联盟号飞船最大返回人数为3人计算，其费用为1.04亿美元。 显然这是一个商业报价的价格，但其1.04亿美元商业报价都低于神舟飞船的1.264亿美元成本价，这个如何解释？神舟飞船价格那么高吗？ 有脑子活络的朋友发现了一个问题，这是联盟号飞船的返回票价，也就是单程票，假如按往返票购买的话还得 x 2，那么联盟号的上下一趟的费用应该在2.08亿美元左右，假如按载人航天费用利润为30%计算，联盟号的成本应该也在1.5亿美元左右，这个价格略高于神舟飞船，对于俄罗斯的成本控制而言，也算是差不多。 至少从这个对比来看，神舟飞船的费用还真没有那么高！但显然载人飞船已经不止俄罗斯一家，还有马斯克的龙飞船，那个报价到底如何呢？与神舟飞船相比，到底是高还是低呢？ 各国载人飞船和货运飞船的价格 俄罗斯联盟号飞船的票价并不是一直都是这个价格的，期间起起落落，差别很是巨大！美国的航天飞机退役后，国际空间站的载人航天任务就由俄罗斯“独家运营”了，2006-2011年间，俄罗斯卖给美国的“联盟号”平均票价，大概是2500万美元一张，此时航天飞机还在役，俄罗斯也不敢太嚣张。 从2012年开始，票价飙升到了4700万美元！因为这一年航天飞机退役了，“亚特兰蒂斯”号执行完最后一次飞行，此后航天飞机将全部退役。俄罗斯开始涨价，而美国没得选择，只能接受！2012年开始，联盟号飞船的票价基本在一张5000万美元左右。 2014年两国关系恶化，美国宣布制裁俄罗斯航天工业，结果俄罗斯毫不理会，直接将联盟号票价涨到8000万美元一张，2020年更是达到9000万美元一张，创下历史最高纪录！然而这一年的5月27日，SpaceX的龙飞船发射成功，俄罗斯开始硬气不起来了，票价一路走低，因此马克范德黑的票价应该是比较接近合理利润的。 这个数据在SpaceFlightnow在2020å¹´10月13日的一篇报道中也得到了佐证，MS-17任务中，NASA 宇航员 Kate Rubins、俄罗斯指挥官 Sergey Ryzhikov 和飞行工程师 Sergey Kud-Sverchkov乘坐“联盟号”前往空间站，而NASA为Kate Rubins支付了9030万美元，这个价格真是顶天了。 说完美俄之间的船票价格故事，下面来说说目前的载人飞船以及未来可能的载人飞船的船票报价，德国著名的数据统计网站Statista上一篇在2020å¹´6月8日发布一篇有趣的文章称SpaceX出现改变了游戏规则！ 因为SpaceX的飞船座位报价为5500万美元，俄罗斯航天局此前的报价为8000万美元左右，而波音开发的星际航线 CST-100则高达9000万美元，相比之下航天飞机则为1.7亿美元，而据行星协会的数据，当年阿波罗登月飞船的票价则为3.9亿美元（已经通过通货膨胀计算）。 假如中国的神舟飞船按SpaceX的龙飞船2号来计算，那么三个座位费用为1.65亿美元，每次发射大约能赚4000万美元，利润率在33%以上，这对于制造业来说这个利润简直就翻天了，不过种花家是相信SpaceX通过回收火箭可以取得更高的利润率，也许SpaceX的利润可以超过50%也不是没有可能，因此神舟飞船尽管有利可图，但也有降低成本的空间。 不过至少有一点我们可以确认，尽管不是特别清楚各国（公司）的实际成本，但通过票价可以计算出神舟飞船的成本控制可能不是最佳，但至少是中规中矩的，没有特别离谱。 货运飞船的价格如何？ 俄罗斯塔斯社在2018å¹´10月3日发表过一篇关于“Russian launch service provider reveals 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