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2,398香港《南华早报》网站12月22日发表题为《重提“中美国”：为什么说美国与中国应当为和平建立新的共生关系》的文章，作者系特里·è‹ï¼Œæ–‡ç« ç§°ï¼Œä¸­ç¾Žä¸¤ä¸ªå¤§å›½å“ªæ€•åŠ¨ä¸€åŠ¨æˆ˜äº‰çš„念头都太危险了，而且这将威胁整个世界。全文摘编如下： 我们现在很少听到“中美国”（Chimerica）的说法。历史学家尼尔·å¼—格森与经济学家莫里茨·èˆ’拉里克在2007年创造了这条短语，用来描述中国与美国的共生关系。 当时，华盛顿精英满怀期待地认为，正在崛起的中国将屈从于由美国主导的“基于规则”的世界秩序。光阴荏苒啊。 随着中国被日益视为改变现状、威胁美国霸权的大国，弗格森近年来强调说“中美国”成了妄想。他转而在2019年特朗普政府发动反华高潮期间宣称，我们正迎来第二场冷战。 美国现任总统乔·æ‹œç™»çš„对华策略与前任类似，被称为“低配版特朗普政策”——对抗性并无不同，唯一区别在于拜登团队会在彰显强硬时讲究技巧。 最近的竞争形势走向了疯狂。台湾问题被操弄到无端猜测北京即将对台动武的地步。前美国国防部官员埃尔布里奇·ç§‘尔比表示，美国应当做好打一场“有限战争”的准备，台湾可能成为导火索。 不仅如此，可能在华盛顿一些人看来，美国完全可以引诱北京进攻台湾，使美国有机会把与中国的对立态势打造成全面制裁和脱钩——就像当年与苏联那样。然后，他们希望在此情形下重新启用冷战工具，并再次获得胜利。 如果下决心能有这么简单就好了。两个大国哪怕动一动战争的念头都太危险了，而且这将威胁整个世界。于是，我们看到在拜登政府依然保持对华强硬态度的同时，拜登本人在台湾问题上传递出模棱两可的信息。 美国的犹豫不决和不情不愿是可以理解的。美国发现，哪怕只是想到“美式和平”（以及美国对其一手创立的所谓“自由民主”秩序的真挚信念，或者说天真执念）恐怕有朝一日终将被推翻，都会心如刀绞。而且，这一天可能很快到来。只可惜，一厢情愿的想法经不起历史的考验。 瑞士精神科专家伊丽莎白·åº“布勒-罗斯在1969年出版的著作《论死亡与临终》中介绍了悲痛的五个阶段，分别是否认、愤怒、讨价还价、沮丧和接受。美国大西洋理事会专家罗伯特·æ›¼å®æœ¬æœˆåœ¨ç¾Žå›½ã€Šå¤–交政策》杂志上撰文谈到美国丧失霸权一事，认为中美领导人视频峰会标志着美国在努力步入悲痛的第三阶段：讨价还价。 不过，笔者不确定美国是否真的考虑进行讨价还价，毕竟美国政府仍在奉行反华政策和规定，把中国公司列入出口黑名单，敲定可能导致数百家中国公司退市的规则等。 不过，曼宁还一针见血地指出，视频峰会后，外交将成为“检验意图”的手段。他认为外交“必将是个逐步、持久的过程”。 笔者建议，这一过程应当包含一项“宏观过渡安排”，即美国同意在确定期限内让美元与中国的生产能力及经济增长挂钩。在此期间，美国可以寻求弥补因为过去误判中国而失去的时间，努力重振自身活力，巩固其协助创立的、从1945年维护至今的世界秩序。 约定期限结束后，不管是10年、20年还是30年，美中双方可以进行评估，看看这一安排是否奏效。双方可以相应为彼此关系的下一阶段做准备——当然，下一阶段的美中关系可能继续恶化，也可能在善意、勤奋和远见的帮助下，朝着接受彼此的方向迈进。 没错，笔者倡导把“中美国”当成权宜之计，超越最初被赋予其中的单边内涵（至少从中国的角度来看是这样），以符合美国利益的方式吸纳中国的影响。 回到2019å¹´6月，弗格森曾被问到：“后世子孙会在什么事情上给予我们最严厉的批评？”弗格森回答：“在第二场冷战中输给中国。”美国和中国能够且应当共同努力，把他的这番回答变成无稽之谈——这也是为了全世界。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/8d773e54f3794538834b07dcc1d3c45b_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":23805,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/07\/12\/%e8%a2%ab%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e8%b3%a3%e4%ba%86%e9%82%84%e5%9c%a8%e5%b9%ab%e5%bf%99%e6%95%b8%e9%8c%a2%ef%bc%9f%e4%b8%8d%e5%88%b0%e4%b8%80%e5%b9%b4%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%88%90%e4%b8%ad%e6%be%b3\/","url_meta":{"origin":34838,"position":0},"title":"\u88ab\u62dc\u767b\u8ce3\u4e86\u9084\u5728\u5e6b\u5fd9\u6578\u9322\uff1f\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6210\u4e2d\u6fb3\u722d\u7aef\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6\uff01","date":"July 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