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<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

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2,485截止到今年6月，美国国债已经超过28.5万亿美元。到了8月1日，美国面临债务上限危机，11月或发生主权债务违约。据美国国会预算办公室预计，财政部目前持有的现金可支撑政府运营到10月初，而且美国预算赤字已经达到2.06万亿美元，届时美国可能面临白宫被迫关门的困境。 目前美国经济现在面临四大风险：美债务、通胀、去美元化、对华关税。 首先目前美国会并未“提高债务上限”达成协议，如果美国提高债务上限，美国可能面临债务违约风险，如果美国暂停债务上限，那美国经济很可能崩溃，现在还是靠印钞续命。而美国放出海量美钞，货币发行量远超经济发展需求，所以美国超出预期的高通胀，这对美国财政是很大的压力，美国联邦财政赤字已经超过25万亿美元，这就是一个死循环。 此外，最近美国财政部长耶伦表态，美国对中国产品征税是在伤害美国消费者。美国本来是想用对华关税想敲诈中国一笔，但现在美国进口商不得不自己承担，而最终成本都摊到了美国消费者身上，这也进一步恶化了美国通胀问题。 同时，各国也都在加快去美元化、抛售美债、运回黄金。最近一段时间，美债持有大国纷纷大额抛售美债，也包括英国、德国、日本、以色列等美国传统盟友。世界经济将不可避免地启用国家数字货币或由黄金、石油等支持的加密货币来替代或弱化美元的作用。比如美国、法国、德国等欧洲国家已经赞同货币金本位、并推行欧元结算体系。此外日本、俄罗斯、瑞士、英国等国还与伊朗谈判开展数字货币交易系统，日本、欧洲、瑞典、瑞士还共同组建加密数字货币小组。在美国盟友们纷纷往美国肋骨上插刀的时候，美国却盯上中国。 这段时间，美国贸易高官多次找中国通话、谈判，就是为了找中国接盘，让中国出口商品别涨价、稳定国际物价、多买美债等。而这次美副国务卿舍曼到天津来，可以看出中国谁底气更足。中方提出两个纠错清单，给美国划三条线，就是因为底气足了我们可以坦率提出要求，而美国媒体却对这次会谈内容止口不提，似乎说明谈崩了。舍曼出发前，美国还叫嚣以实力地位出发同中国谈，还没意识到自己是什么处境。对此中国人民大学国际关系学院副院长金灿荣表示，随着未来美国遇到的问题越来越多，相信其有求于中国的地方会越来越多。（A梦）<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26038,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/v2-264b04f3cbf7cf1bc845d2dd9f150c7d_720w_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C385&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":25505,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/07\/30\/%e6%98%8e%e5%a4%a9%e5%b0%b1%e5%80%9f%e4%b8%8d%e5%88%b0%e9%8c%a2%e4%ba%86%ef%bc%9f%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e9%82%84%e6%83%b3%e6%94%be%e6%b0%b44-7%e8%90%ac%e5%84%84%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8c%e9%97%9c\/","url_meta":{"origin":26023,"position":0},"title":"\u660e\u5929\u5c31\u501f\u4e0d\u5230\u9322\u4e86\uff1f\u7f8e\u570b\u9084\u60f3\u653e\u6c344.7\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u95dc\u9580\u5371\u6a5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f86\u4e86","date":"July 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