<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

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2,598近日，美国空军退役上校马克·甘金格发表文章炒作所谓“美国与中俄开战”的话题，该文被发表在《美国国防新闻周刊》上，并引发舆论关注。 马克·甘金格的文章刻意唱衰美国自己，声称多年以来美国的军力下降，军队发展策略出现错误，以至于美国现在缺乏足够多的手段来对付“敌人”，文章强调当前美国空军的实力只有“1991年伊拉克战争时的一半”，并鼓噪“如果中国大陆和俄罗斯同时攻击台湾和波罗的海国家，美军将无法压倒性反击”。根据这些捕风捉影的编造桥段，马克·甘金格声称美国将遭受毁灭性打击，实力会衰退到二流军事强国水平，而北约也将因此土崩瓦解。 （海湾战争中待命的的美国空军F-15战斗机编队） 从马克·甘金格的这些言论可以看出，他的实际意图是要继续炮制“中俄威胁论”，并为美国下一步行动寻找借口。但是正如马克·甘金格自己说的，美国在上世纪90年代就曾经出动大军揍过伊拉克，而多年以来，美国还揍过塞尔维亚、阿富汗、叙利亚等国家。美国自己就是最大的战争贩子，现在国际社会都开始调查美国的战争罪行了。如果有大国战争，那也是美国一手制造的恶果。得道多助失道寡助，无论是在南海、台海、东海，抑或是黑海、波罗的海，美国胆敢挑起战争，便是逆势而为，而中俄被迫反击，则是顺应民心。因此，仅从道义的角度看，美国的失败就是必然的。 （中俄海上联合军演） 而且，有句话叫做“双拳难敌四手”，马克·甘金格至少认清了一点，那就是美国敢对中俄宣战，就会被打回原形。要知道冷战结束至今，虽然美国仍然保持着强大的军事实力，但是俄罗斯也已经逐渐度过了最困难的时期，并且重新振兴了军事力量，特别是俄罗斯的核大棒，更是让美国无计可施。迫于压力，拜登上台之后，第一时间就和俄罗斯续签了《新削减战略武器条约》，这也说明美国仍然畏惧俄罗斯的核力量。 （俄罗斯的陆基洲际导弹系统） 仅仅俄罗斯一家，就足以让美国畏惧不已，那么再考虑中国，美国就没有胜算可言了。中国有强大的经济基础，而且中国的军备现代化也已经取得了卓越的成就。相比之下，美国因为过于穷兵黩武，因此虽然坐拥庞大的军费开支，却仍然入不敷出。而且正如马克·甘金格所言，近年来美国一些军备项目出现问题，如“æ°‘å…µ3”洲际导弹系统和“俄亥俄”级核潜艇的老化、DDG-1000项目的失败、F-22战斗机的停产、CG（X）巡洋舰项目的破产等。这些装备项目虽然不至于导致美军衰落，但是却导致美军在装备更新进度方面出现停滞，这也使得中俄与美国的军备实力差距缩小，美国开始失去了昔日的“绝对优势”。 （中俄联合军演） 况且，虽然表面上美国仍然是北约“盟主”，但是在美国和盟友出现关系裂痕、利益立场渐行渐远的情况下，北约内部真没有几个还愿意跟着美国打仗，一个典型的例子，就是美国刚刚宣布从阿富汗撤军，结果盟友们立即一个跑得比一个快。而美国在2003年进行的伊拉克战争，则是只有英国这个跟班愿意出兵。打一个伊拉克，盟友们都觉得无趣了，何况是直接和中俄对着干？因此，马克·甘金格们所说的“北约分崩离析”，更多的可能是北约其他国家根本就不愿意卷进美国与中俄的纠纷。 （美军在阿富汗降旗走人） 相对比之下，中俄紧密团结，立场坚决。普京总统此前就曾经当着美国记者的面，表示中俄关系处于历史最高水平，他还反驳了美国挑拨离间的意图，指出俄罗斯很信任中国，“中国是一个友好的国家，不像美国那样宣布我们为敌人”。普京近期还就英国战舰在黑海挑衅俄罗斯一事摆明态度，普京表示就算俄罗斯击沉英国战舰，也不会引发第三次世界大战，因为西方国家清楚他们不可能赢。 （普京在一年一度的“直播连线”节目中谈及英国战舰挑衅俄罗斯一事，普京指出，即使击沉英军战舰，西方国家也不敢挑起第三次世界大战） 同样地，中方的立场也非常坚定，任何外来势力如果胆敢欺负中国，都必将在14亿多中国人民用血肉铸成的钢铁长城面前碰得头破血流。美国如果真敢越雷池一步，绝对将会面临迎头痛击。这一点美国心里很清楚，历史也早已经给过美国一个深刻的教训了。 （中国空军显示大国实力，15架歼-20地面展示） 总结而言，在当今时代，大国之间爆发战争的几率是非常小的，马克·甘金格发表渲染“中俄威胁论”的文章，只不过是为美国推行霸权提供借口而已，同时作为美军退役将领，他的文章也有帮助美军向国会老爷要预算的意思。不管如何，“美国与中俄开战”的场景，美国模拟再多也没用，只要美国胆敢冒险，绝对会被干成二流国家，搞不好还得更惨！<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23722,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/512080642952461c96195b7e9e5d66f9_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C383&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":23908,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/07\/13\/%e8%a8%ad%e6%83%b3%e5%90%8c%e6%99%82%e8%88%87%e4%b8%ad%e4%bf%84%e6%89%93%e6%a0%b8%e6%88%b0%e7%88%ad%ef%bc%81%e4%b8%80%e6%97%a6%e9%96%8b%e6%88%b0%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%9c%83%e6%80%8e%e6%a8%a3%ef%bc%9f\/","url_meta":{"origin":23697,"position":0},"title":"\u8a2d\u60f3\u540c\u6642\u8207\u4e2d\u4fc4\u6253\u6838\u6230\u722d\uff01\u4e00\u65e6\u958b\u6230\u7f8e\u570b\u6703\u600e\u6a23\uff1f\u9000\u5f79\u8ecd\u5b98\u7d66\u51fa\u7b54\u6848","date":"July 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