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\n<\/div>\n

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2,872南海是近代列强“破门而入”的重点方向，特别是近年来美国在南海周边的作为，企图以“第一岛链”困住中国海上力量，美、日在这些海域预置了大量反潜设施，并不断演练强化封锁阻断能力，以期在局势紧张时遮断南海或黄海区域，而中国也在调整部署，突破这态势，双方在南海无时无刻不在为未来的战争布局和准备着。 一：美国的部署 南海表面上的风平浪静，实际上暗潮汹涌， 因应美国亚太再平衡政策，美国强化南海部署，在整个太平洋地区，美军部署如下:韩国18,500名、日本2,400名、关岛2,000名、菲律宾480名、夏威夷22,300名、阿拉斯加13,500名，海空军部份武器装备部署在南海地区，位于马尼拉海沟之上的海区是苏比克湾进入南海的唯一通道，也是由西太平洋经亚里伯斯海、苏禄海、明多罗海峡进入南海海盆的必经之路，也是巴士海峡南下南海海盆，或由南海海盆经高屏海底峡谷北上台湾海峡的重要水下通道。故马尼拉海沟是美军潜艇由关岛进入南海或解放军潜艇由海南岛亚龙湾龙坡海军基地，经南海穿越第一岛链进入西太平洋的兵要之地，也是双方部署潜艇的最佳伏击区， 而反潜作战中，海水的物理特性、海底地形及底质、海水水文现况及海面海象状况，与空中天候、气象及气流、温度、密度、盐分、深度、洋流等许多的环境息息相关，而影响声纳音波在水下传播的速度，建立温度、盐度及深度为最;以上海洋作战环境资料的，是决定了反潜作战的成功关键，随着科技进步，某海域的水文资料可由当地的温度与盐度，透过通用数字环境模式来弥补，但这种信息精密度不够，需测量舰实际调查以及佐证。2009年，美国海运司令部的测量舰无暇号，在中国附近海域监测水文环境时，曾与中国发生摩擦，堪称是中美2001年军机擦撞事件以来最严重的事故 2002å¹´9月，隶属于美海军军事海运司令部的5,000吨级海洋测量舰“波第契”号，曾在距离中国黄海专属经济区内使用拖曳声纳实施水下监听作业，根据影像的讯号特征与强度变化，了解海底地貌特征、海床表面沉积物类型及海床障碍物，被中国海洋与渔政局的舰艇拦截及尾随监视，2016å¹´12月15日，2016å¹´12月15日隶属于解放军南部战区，驻地在三亚的海军922A型打捞救难舰「南救510号」于苏比克湾西北方扣留了美国海军海洋测量舰“波第契号”可记录水文资料的自动水下滑翔器，被解放军扣留的自动水下滑翔器，在美军发展水下无人载具的分类中，属于层级最低的等级，但在水深小于200米的「浅水区」中，测量不同深度海水的温度、盐度等战场环境参数的能力并不逊色。美军波第契号作业的海域，是解放军千方百计要阻挠，而美军无论如何要测量的主要海域， 除了抵近侦察和军事测量，美军还企图在南海取得军事基地，菲律宾如今亲中远美扬言废止菲美《军事部队互访协定》，为中美间的南海竞逐投下了新变量，美国如何弥补在南海及第一岛链的防务缺口成了美国头痛的问题，美国开始与越南修补关系，先是处理越战遗留问题，接着强化经济与军事交流，目标是世界上最好的深水港之一的金兰湾，金兰湾同时扼守着沟通太平洋与印度洋的战略要道，距离印度洋与太平洋两洋航线均不到1小时航程，是为控制两大洋设下关卡，越战期间美国斥资上亿美元把金兰湾打造成美军三军联合基地和后勤补给基地，越战后又成为苏联太平洋舰队的后勤维保基地，美越关系改善后，美国便试图向越南租借金兰湾，不过中国迟早会取代美国成为全球最大经济体，越南需要中国市场与更多中国资金来发展经济，因此不愿与中国闹翻，只会在，两大强国之间寻求平衡，因此拒绝租借金兰湾基地给美国，但是允许美国军舰停靠金兰湾。 二：正在不断扩建中的关岛式基地 相比美国而言，中国的准备就从容多了，南海舰队已经扩充成为三大舰队中，综合作战力量最强的舰队，中国海军已经逐步调整其海洋战略的注意力，正在为进一步积极进入印度洋做好准备。海南岛修建了全军最大的海军基地，四周依山环绕的三亚大型综合海军基地面纱揭开之后，几乎可以断言是航母的主要部署基地，三亚正在变成中国的关岛，防卫能力的强化是预料之中的事情，射程290公里的南海舰队YJ62岸基导弹团和海军防空旅都集中到三亚，在核潜艇、航母周围形成了严密的防空网，航母基地周边部署了HQ9地对空导弹阵地，航母基地、核潜艇基地、潜艇支队基地中间部署了LD2000弹炮结合系统防范巡航导弹，海军防空旅的作战部署是由HQ9、HQ6、LD2000构成高–中一低混合拦截，其中底层主要负责拦截巡航导弹。至于HQ9、HQ6之间所形成的死角，由HQ12中程地对空导弹加以补充。 港湾建设了足以停泊两个航母舰队的长堤，也兴建足以容纳航舰的干船坞，而且修建了大量的军营、补给仓库，基地规模可以停泊一、二个航母战斗群、一个驱护舰队、一个常规潜艇支队、一个核动力潜艇支队，水面作战舰船的实力早已成为这一地区最强的舰队，未来还极有可能组建两个驱护舰队，首艘新型075两栖突击舰。第2艘055型驱逐舰也，不排除在未来10年内进一步扩建的可能性，对于大国航母舰队而言，航母与核潜艇建设是密不可分的，中国海军2013年以来进一步扩建了榆林潜艇基地。潜艇数量从2010年开始，逐步增加，基地设施进一步完善，地下化洞库至少经历了2次以上的扩建。开始进入094战略核潜艇。最新型「元」级潜艇也出现在榆林基地，仅仅一个舰队的柴电潜艇实力就超过了整个东盟国家，为进出关岛、印度洋做好了水下作战力量准备，强化打击美国本土南部、夏威夷、关岛的核力量提供作战平台。这里平时驻扎的核潜艇数量可以达到6艘左右，部分可以直接滞留地下洞库，有西方媒体夸张的判断地下洞库可以滞留至少20艘战略核潜艇， 南海舰队的航空兵近年来也得到了极大的强化。，作战力量包括广西桂平部署的轰6D\/M、H6轰炸机，作战半径足以涵盖整个南中国海。乐东基地部署了歼轰7海军导弹攻击机之说，在海南东南沿岸的陵水基地也还进驻了J8D\/H加油战斗机，，使J8D的作战航程经过–次空中加油延伸到1600公里，再利用永兴岛作为中转，其作战半径涵盖了整个南中国海。陵水与琼海航空基地部署更多的空中早期预警机与反潜机，强化在南海空域与海域的观察与监视能力，海南三亚的航空基地持续翻修中，但三亚周边三侧围绕的环境复杂，另一侧又为海洋围绕，加上三亚航空基地跑道太短，可能继续扮演直升机、轻型运输机、无人机的驻扎基地，更多的战机部署至陵水与琼海，必要时还可能得到桂林基地的歼10A、遂溪基地的歼11、广东佛山歼8D歼击机的作战支援，舰队海航的歼击、轰炸机实力已经远远超过马来西亚、印尼、越南的总和，其战斗机、轰炸机航程早已能够涵盖几乎整个南中国海。有效地强化封锁巴士海峡、马六甲海峡的能力，尤其是真正形成封锁马六甲海峡的海上实力。 三：为战争准备的「远海长航训练 在南海，除了潜艇，舰队对舰队的决战是没必要，更多利用不沉的陆地航母发动空中攻击，过去中国军机腿太短，很少出海，更不用说逾越第一岛链，2001年海南凌水基地的中国海航歼8II擦撞美国EP-3侦察机，显示中国飞行员经过多年的训练个个充满旺盛临战的企图，也让中国深刻体会到落后就挨打，随着军力的成长，中国空军和海航训练量大幅增加，2004å¹´9月下旬中国军机更不寻常r大编队」出海进行演训，出海的军机包括战机与战轰机等，总计有6型军机，分数批，每批由数架同型军机自基地起飞出海，而出海后未立即返航，反而是飞到海上指定的会合点，待所有共30多架战机于海上会合后进行编队再返航，随着轰6机型的更新，过去在内陆执行的长航训练也开始转移到海上。 2015å¹´3月30日中国空军轰6K轰炸机机群首次穿越巴士海峡，在无战斗机与电子战机护航下，进行西太平洋海域上空的探路训练，同年6月12日，中国海航轰6H轰炸机、歼11及运8电侦机编队，穿越巴士海峡，在西太平洋海域，与驱逐舰武汉号、综合补给舰抚仙湖号及登陆舰井岗山号，展开机舰协同对抗演训。接着，8月14日中国空军轰6K轰炸机则是首度在战机与预警机护航下，穿越巴士海峡，实施「远海长航」训练 2016å¹´11月25日派出轰6K轰炸机2架、Tu-154电子侦察机1架、运8电子干扰机1架进行远海长航训练，由广东出海经南海向东飞越巴士海峡进入太平洋，再转向北飞;同时派出2架Su-30战机由东海穿越宫古水道进入太平洋。两批飞机在宫古岛南方会合后，再次穿越宫古水道北上，经东海返回中国。中国军机出海演训随着中国海空军力日渐增强，飞出第一岛链进行远海训练常态化，飞越岛链、管控东海、战巡南海，活动范围亦不断向外延伸。验证了中国这20年间空中力量已由近海，穿越第一岛链延伸至远海了，进一步强化了对关岛美军基地的监视、打击力度。 四：结论 在国土的最南端修建最大型海军基地的做法经过周密考虑的，这里是距离西沙群岛、南沙群岛最近的地理位置，能够在战时以最快速度阻断美军太平洋舰队的北上之路。西沙群岛永兴岛的海军基地也经过了修缮、扩大,机场准备降落重型轰炸机、Y8预警机，Z-18反潜直升机将会部署提高在南海的反潜能力，确保水下对美军核潜脡的威胁，已经成为中国海军最南端的大型前进基地。部署的远程地对空导弹涵盖环岛四周300-350千米的空域对美、日空军的军用飞机形成威胁， 五个南沙岛礁和永兴岛今后还会部署岸对舰导弹甚至远程巡航导弹，沿海地区部署了若干个对海搜索地波超视距雷达为火箭军为DF26、DF21D弹道导弹提供初测，如果从海南岛一直连到7个人造岛礁，占据整个南海海域的三分之二，意味着几乎整个南海都会成为成为了中国的内海，根本目的就是战时把美军赶出南海，至于平时，中国领海是12海里，南海大部分海域其实是公海，根据1982年的《联合国海洋法公约》第87条，任务国家都有无害通过公海的航行自由，2015中国海军也穿越美国阿留申群岛领海，美军航母和驱逐舰经过南海也没什么大惊小怪，除了烧钱，一点好处也捞不到，反而那些测量舰更危险一点。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/unnamed_\u526f\u672c-5.jpg?fit=700%2C380&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":39087,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/03\/23\/%e7%be%8e%e8%bb%8d%e5%8f%b8%e4%bb%a4%e4%b9%98%e8%bb%8d%e6%a9%9f%e9%a3%9b%e8%b6%8a%e5%8d%97%e6%b5%b7%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%ab%e5%9b%82%e8%8b%a5%e5%b0%8d%e8%8f%af%e5%a8%81%e8%84%85%e5%a4%b1%e6%95%97%ef%bc%8c\/","url_meta":{"origin":17340,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u8ecd\u53f8\u4ee4\u4e58\u8ecd\u6a5f\u98db\u8d8a\u5357\u6d77\uff0c\u53eb\u56c2\u82e5\u5c0d\u83ef\u5a01\u8105\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u5c07\u6e96\u5099\u548c\u4e2d\u570b\u6230\u9b25","date":"March 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