<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

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2,652近段时间，在美国的兴风作浪之下，台海局势不断升级，岛内“台独”势力愈发猖狂，开始鼓吹所谓的“美国协防台湾地区”言论。为此，解放军在台海一带展开了更大强度的空中巡航，以图震慑分裂势力。4月12日，解放军空军连续10天出动军机进入台当局所谓“防空识别区”，军机数量多达25架，创历史新高，引发岛内舆论热议。对于这一事件，美国方面却反咬一口，污蔑中国在台海地区进行“恐吓”行动，美国国务卿布林肯甚至公开放出狠话，警告中国不要试图用武力改变现状。 据美国全国广播公司报道，4月11日，布林肯在接受该媒体采访时表示，根据“与台湾关系法”，美国对台湾地区有承诺，这些承诺已存在很多年，美方会坚守承诺，任何试图通过武力改变现状的人都会“犯下严重错误”。值得注意的是，就在两天前（4月9日），美国国务院发布新版“美台交往准则”，其中虽然强调美国坚持“一个中国”政策，但却鼓励美国政府与台湾当局接触，深化所谓“非官方关系”。这让岛内绿媒颇为兴奋，认为到了关键时刻，美国会以保护在台利益和侨民的名义，出兵援助台湾地区。但也有美媒指出，布林肯回避了最关键的问题——“美国是否会出兵保护台湾”。据美国《政治杂志》网站报道，当被问到如果中国大陆对台湾地区有所行动，美国是否会在军事上保护台湾时，布林肯表示：我不回答假设性问题，但我发誓这肯定会有“后果”。 布林肯为何不敢承诺美军会出兵保护台湾地区？近日，台湾国际问题专家赖岳谦在一档政论节目中给出了解答。他表示，美军和解放军直接冲突的情况，只可能发生在1950年朝鲜战争时期，因为那时中国没有核武器、而美国拥有绝对的空中和海上优势。但现在的解放军已经不是1950年代的解放军，不仅拥有核武器，还拥有大量高超音速的中远程打击力量，而美国在高超音速武器领域尚处于测试阶段，明显落后于中国，这种情形下，美国和中国直接发生交战，是“不可思议”的事情。赖岳谦最后总结说，1950年美军都输给解放军，更何况现在？不管怎么打，美国都会输，美国绝不可能把自己的国家利益押在台湾身上。 事实上，尽管美国近来频频在台海发起挑衅，导致台海局势升温，但却始终不敢通过任何声明或安全协议，承诺美国会在台海发生战事时出兵，只是靠军售、声援或军演来表达所谓的“支持”，这也是美国一贯的“台海战略模糊化”政策。其原因就在于，美国清楚地知道军事介入的可怕后果，支持台湾地区，只不过是想借此削弱和牵制中国。今年3月27日，美国兰德公司高级研究员戴维·å¥¥èµ«æ›¼å†…克向外界透露，在五角大楼模拟解放军武力攻台的兵棋推演中，美军的干预行动往往遭到惨败。“台湾空军在几分钟之内就被全歼，西太平洋的美军基地和军舰遭到大量导弹打击”，“最糟糕的情况下，美国本土甚至遭核导弹打击”。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16943,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/0f6a122efa3f45fb843b7aa3385aad56_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C370&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":16759,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/04\/14\/%e8%a7%a3%e6%94%be%e8%bb%8d%e6%9c%83%e9%a3%9b%e8%b6%8a%e5%8f%b0%e4%b8%8a%e7%a9%ba%ef%bc%9f%e7%92%b0%e7%90%83%e7%b6%b2%e5%8f%91%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e4%bf%a1%e8%99%9f%ef%bc%8c%e6%ad%a6%e7%b5%b1%e5%9c%a8\/","url_meta":{"origin":16925,"position":0},"title":"\u89e3\u653e\u8ecd\u6703\u98db\u8d8a\u53f0\u4e0a\u7a7a\uff1f\u74b0\u7403\u7db2\u53d1\u8b66\u544a\u4fe1\u865f\uff0c\u6b66\u7d71\u5728\u6975\u7aef\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u6703\u51fa\u73fe","date":"April 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1996\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e5†›\u00e6\u00bc”\u00e5Œ\u00ba\u00e5ŸŸ\u00ef\u00bcˆ\u00e9\u00bb‘\u00e8‰\u00b2\u00ef\u00bc‰\u00e4\u00b8Ž\u00e5\u00bd“\u00e5‰\u00e5†›\u00e6\u00bc”\u00e5Œ\u00ba\u00e5ŸŸ\u00ef\u00bcˆ\u00e7\u00ba\u00a2\u00e8‰\u00b2\u00ef\u00bc‰\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e8“\u00e8‰\u00b2\u00e4\u00b8\u00ba\u00e6‰€\u00e8\u00b0“\u00e7š„\u201c\u00e6\u00b5\u00b7\u00e5\u00b3\u00a1\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e7\u00ba\u00bf\u201d\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6\u00a3•\u00e8‰\u00b2\u00e4\u00b8\u00ba12\u00e6\u00b5\u00b7\u00e9‡Œ\u00e7\u00ba\u00bf 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8\u00e6œˆ5\u00e6—\u00a5\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5›\u00bd\u00e4\u00ba\u00ba\u00e6\u00b0‘\u00e8\u00a7\u00a3\u00e6”\u00be\u00e5†›\u00e4\u00b8œ\u00e9ƒ\u00a8\u00e6ˆ˜\u00e5Œ\u00ba\u00e6\u00b5\u00b7\u00e5†›\u00e7\u00bb\u00a7\u00e7\u00bb\u00ad\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e5\u00b0\u00e5\u00b2›\u00e5‘\u00a8\u00e8\u00be\u00b9\u00e6\u00b5\u00b7\u00e5ŸŸ\u00e5\u00b1•\u00e5\u00bc€\u00e5\u00aež\u00e6ˆ˜\u00e5Œ–\u00e8\u00ae\u00ad\u00e7\u00bbƒ\u00e3€‚\u00e8\u00bf™\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e6Ÿ\u00e8ˆ\u00b0\u00e5\u00ae˜\u00e5…\u00b5\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e7ž\u00ad\u00e6œ›\u00e8\u00a7‚\u00e5\u00afŸ\u00e3€‚\u00e6–\u00b0\u00e5Ž\u00e7\u00a4\u00be\u00e5‘\u00ef\u00bcˆ\u00e6ž—\u00e5\u00a5 \u00e6‘„\u00ef\u00bc‰ 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