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3,230 東京奧運會能否順利舉辦，事關日本的錢袋子和國家顏面，但在後疫情時代，誰又能顧得了這許多？ 隨著2021年的逐步臨近，日本官方顯然是坐不住了，其委託日本廣播協會電視臺做了一期民調，然結果不容樂觀。 日本官媒釋出的民調結果顯示：超過6成的民眾反對明年繼續辦奧運會，支持者或只有27%不到。反對者認為：全球的疫情仍處於高發態勢，政府不應該逆勢而為，這樣會破壞日本的防疫格局；支持者則不以為然，認為舉辦奧運會已經是既定事實，東京應該全力促成此事。 公說公有理，婆說婆有理，壓力就全部到了菅義偉團隊一面。但在這個問題上，菅義偉態度也非常模糊，具體而言，東京無法對明年夏季的疫情發展態勢做出預斷。此前，日本官方就表示過：最近兩個月本國的疫情控制得比較得力，為此其將放開旅行和經濟等管制。 關鍵是，奧運會的舉辦牽扯麵甚廣，日本控制住了疫情，並不代表其他國家就安全無虞。眾所周知，北半球進入冬季以來，新冠的傳染率和致病率明顯的增加。按照相關專家話說，由於人類防控措施不得力，歐洲等地進入了疫情的第二輪高發期，新冠開始大規模變異。 變異的結果顯而易見，之前在人類之間廣為傳播的病毒，開始在貓、狗甚至水貂身上覆制。這表明新冠的傳染鏈條在進一步拉大，傳統的防控措施或已然失效。這無形中給菅義偉政府徒增壓力，當然，任何事情都有積極的一面，現在下定論還為時尚早。 目前，包括美國、德國和俄羅斯在內的國家都已經研製出了可行性的疫苗，從接種的實際情況來看，疫苗似乎達到了人類的期望值。但這畢竟只是表象，疫苗非抵禦病毒的萬能良藥。美國藥品監督管理局日前發出警告：雖然疫苗已被證實有效，但其和當前的疫情防控態勢似乎關聯不大，美國接下來兩個月仍可能出現病毒高發的局面。 如此說來，人類未能找到根絕新冠病毒的根本應對之法，疫苗或只是臨時充當了「救世主」的角色。如果情況一直糟糕，那么擺在東京面前或只有一條路可走：順應大部分民眾的心意，取消2021年的夏季奧運會。 奧運會在歷史上也曾出現過被動取消的先例，二戰時期，整個世界被戰火洗禮，主辦國以及參賽運動員基於多種考慮，最終達成了妥協，原定於在日本舉辦的第12屆夏季奧運會被動終止。這說明隨著世界局勢的變動，包括奧運會這類大型賽事，也有中途夭折的可能。 對於日本而言，奧運會被動取消，其將面臨難以承受的代價。按照日媒的說法，僅門票退費一事可能讓東京損失上千萬美元，這還不包括那些已經為奧運會提供過資金支援的贊助商。 不管怎么說，這屆夏季奧運會充滿了風險和變數。東京強力推進，或將成為眾矢之的；如果被動的放棄，日本將損失多達上百億美元。菅義偉團隊無疑處在了歷史的十字路口。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/T2H0FIZqHv-compress_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=800%2C420&ssl=1","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":14400,"url":"https:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/03\/11\/%e7%aa%81%e7%84%b6%e6%94%be%e6%a3%84%e6%8a%97%e7%96%ab%ef%bc%9f%e8%8f%85%e7%be%a9%e5%81%89%e8%88%87%e5%85%a8%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e7%82%ba%e6%95%b5%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%a5%e6%9c%ac%e7%b5%82%e6%b7%aa%e7%82%ba\/","url_meta":{"origin":10429,"position":0},"title":"\u7a81\u7136\u653e\u68c4\u6297\u75ab\uff1f\u83c5\u7fa9\u5049\u8207\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u70ba\u6575\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7d42\u6dea\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u7b11\u8a71","date":"March 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