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菲律賓政壇變天,杜特爾特態度180度大變,與中國友誼走到盡頭? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

菲律賓政壇變天,杜特爾特態度180度大變,與中國友誼走到盡頭?

菲律賓政壇變天,杜特爾特態度180度大變,與中國友誼走到盡頭?
2,396

10月2日,菲律宾总统杜特尔特宣布退出2022年菲副总统竞选,并明确表示,他将在2022年6月任期结束后“退出政坛”。

并给出了自己的理由,“菲律宾人民普遍认为,我没资格竞选副总统,指这违反了宪法和法律。”多年前,人民把我推上了总统宝座,为了遵从他们的意愿,我现在宣布退出政坛。”

 

菲律宾政坛变天,杜特尔特态度180度大变,与中国友谊走到尽头? - 新闻时间

在一个月前,菲律宾执政党民主人民力量党9月8日在邦板牙省举行全国大会,公布该党2022年全国大选名单,正式提名现任总统杜特尔特为下届副总统候选人。杜特尔特接受了这一党内提名,现在却突然改变了主意,以杜特尔特的影响力而言,不亚于是菲律宾政坛的一次“地震“。

针对这一现象,外界有不少人士猜测杜特尔特此举就是为了自己的长女,给现担任达沃市市长莎拉竞选总统铺路。随着杜特尔特宣布退休,莎拉宣布参选只是一个时间问题,因为莎拉就表示过,如果自己父亲参加竞选,那么自己就不会去竞选。

果不其然,10月3日,据新加坡《联合早报》报道,菲律宾总统杜特尔特透露说,他的女儿莎拉将参加2022年的总统选举,并与他的长期助理、刚登记竞选副总统的克里斯托弗·吴联手参选。

菲律宾政坛变天,杜特尔特态度180度大变,与中国友谊走到尽头? - 新闻时间

根据这几个月的菲律宾民意调查数据显示,莎拉的支持率一路领先,除此之外,她还得到了一群菲律宾政界大佬级别人物的支持,也就是说,莎拉竞选总统的成功率,可能高于杜特尔特。

关于杜特尔特这个人,很有一套自己的对外套路,因为杜特尔特采取的就是左右平衡政策,在大国之间的夹缝中得以保证菲律宾的利益最大化。

但奇怪的是,前几个月的杜特尔特就如同抽筋一般,疯狂将矛头对准了中国,疯狂地进行挑衅。

5月6日,杜特尔特称,2016年的南海仲裁判决“就是废纸一张,可以扔进垃圾桶”。5月14日,杜特尔特还称,即使中国杀了他,他也不会将菲律宾船只从与中方存在主权争议的海域中撤出,中菲的友谊就到此结束了。

 

菲律宾政坛变天,杜特尔特态度180度大变,与中国友谊走到尽头? - 新闻时间

其实,杜特尔特在南海的牛轭礁问题上突然对中国发难,无非就是在于自己的任期要结束了,在菲律宾总统只能任一届的前提下,就算杜特尔特不愿意,他也必须要尊重国内其他党派,来寻找更多的支持者。

为了秘密支持他所选择的继任者,杜特尔特必须改变自己对中国的态度,获取更多来自国会以及其他国内势力的支持,争取在下一任大选之前拉拢更多的势力,才能确保他的继任者能够在大选开始之前获得足够的支持。

菲律宾前几年还是一个很明显的亲美国家,后来被中国教训后就变得老实起来,自己也懂了在大国面前,根本没有反抗的余地,为了能够存活,只好左右逢源,更何况,中国就在菲律宾的旁边。

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