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如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好
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美國當選拜登政府即將走馬上任,對於拜登政府來說,首要任務就是處理中美關係。中美關係的變化從兩國之間的貿易競爭開始,發展到現在已經變成僵局。但在兩個大國之間,競爭以及分歧都可以有,唯獨衝突不能有,競爭促使進步,但衝突只會導致兩國關係的惡化。對此美國耶魯大學教授斯蒂芬·羅奇表示,壓迫向中美關係降溫,拜登政府首先要做好三件事。

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好

第一件事,就是與中國之間進行對話,在美國現任總統特朗普的任期內,中美之間的問題並沒有得到緩解,反而愈演愈烈,川普所推行的推特治國模式也絲毫未起作用。但公平一點的講,不管是美國前總統小布希所推行的兩年一次峰會模式,還是奧巴馬所推行的一年一度峰會模式,都不是很成功。該教授認為最好的方式就是設立一個常設秘書處,該秘書處的人員負責從貿易和技術到網路安全等方方面面的事務。

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好

第二件事,兩國之間的貿易,雙方之間貿易的不平衡並不是憑空出現,而是宏觀經濟問題積少成多的產物。美國在2019年與102個國家之間存在商品貿易逆差,國內儲蓄存在嚴重不足;但是中國卻在2018年內與159個國家之間實現了商品貿易順差,中國國內長期存在儲蓄盈餘。兩國之間需要做的不是通過增加關稅來實現這一平衡,而是採取儲蓄計劃,多的減少,少的增加。

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好

第三件事,將中美結構性問題引入公眾辯論性視野,特朗普政府在這一點上值得稱讚,但還有一個更加合適的方法,中方應該認識到兩國之間更重要的目標是改善兩國的市場准入條件,從而達到提升長期經濟增長率的目標,而不是上述所謂的結構性問題。時間證明,雙邊投資協議才是最有效的方法,中美兩國之間應該重啟原本即將達成,但是在特朗普政府時期被放棄的美中條約。

如何讓中美關係降溫?美國教授給出答案,三件事情必須得做好

在全球暴發新冠疫情的大背景下,美國的經濟以及國內狀況都出現了嚴重的轉變,華盛頓經濟更是出現了財政赤字的情況,所以說,上述三件事對於美國來說,都要比中方更難做到。再者,為了兩國之間更好的解決當前衝突問題,在常設秘書處之下還應該設立一個中立的司法管轄區,由兩國的專業人員負責,對兩國之間的所有來往進行執行以及監視。

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