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美國最新情況!連續4天新增超20萬,9080億美元救助在路上 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美國最新情況!連續4天新增超20萬,9080億美元救助在路上

美國最新情況!連續4天新增超20萬,9080億美元救助在路上
3,009

据约翰·霍普金斯大学和彭博的数据,美国上周六新增213877例病例,为连续第四天超过20万例。该数据略低于一天前的纪录高位228419例,周末数据通常较低。七日均值超过191,300例,较之前一周攀升16%。

显而易见,美国疫情失控正成为拖累美国经济增长的最重要因素。通胀低迷,就业疲软,且新一轮经济救助计划因美国大选迟迟陷入僵局导致美元持续下跌,资产逃离美国。

上周五公布的数据显示,美国11月非农就业人数增加24.5万人,大幅不及预期值47.5万和前值63.8万。

雅德尼研究公司总裁、资深股市预测师雅德尼认为,最新的就业数据表明,明年第一季度美国经济将避免双底衰退。他预测,经济将在春季开始蓬勃发展,届时现成的疫苗将提振服务业的需求。

唯一好消音则算是美股再创新高雅德尼认为,美股升至历史高点自有其合理性,且年底前还会继续上涨,美国经济所谓“二次衰退”并不存在,即使涨幅不及10月份,12月美股将会继续上涨。这也在预料之中,无论美国下一任掌舵者是谁,毫无疑问为了给在低谷的经济注入强心剂,新一轮财政刺激只会迟到不会消失,只是规模不同罢了。所以接下来美股虽然有可能会短暂回调,但再疯狂行情也将会持续。

无论是美联储主席鲍威尔还是财政部长的继承者耶伦都在做这方面的准备工作。当然与此同时,美国的债务问题也将会日益突出,犹如滚雪球越来越大。

最新消息称,美国总统特朗普和参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔将同意9080亿美元的救助计划,该计划旨在在今年年底前通过。

12月1日,民主党和共和党议员提出一份9080亿美元的刺激计划。12月2日,美国众议院议长佩洛西与参议院民主党领袖舒默呼吁立即磋商经济刺激方案,并敦促参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔将9080亿美元的两党提案作为谈判基础。

来自路易斯安那州的共和党参议员卡西迪(Bill Cassidy) 接受采访时表示,立法提案的最终版本可能在本周早些时候出台。

只是,随着疫苗控制住疫情局势,但疫情引发的美国经济衰退带来的财政危机在后疫情时代越加危险,显而易见这些策略短期内会刺激市场,长期来说无异于饮鸩止渴。 随着美股泡沫越来越大,债务悬崖愈近,滞涨几乎不可避免,最终必然会导致生产消费的脱,整体消费萎缩,美国经济走向萧条。

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