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美國新一屆政府在對華經貿合作領域會執著於“美國優先”嗎?專家觀點來了 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美國新一屆政府在對華經貿合作領域會執著於“美國優先”嗎?專家觀點來了

美國新一屆政府在對華經貿合作領域會執著於“美國優先”嗎?專家觀點來了
2,980

商务部研究院美洲与大洋洲研究所副所长、研究员周密:美国经济要想尽快恢复,必须尽快控制住疫情和重新回到全球化舞台中央。有鉴于此,美国新一届政府一方面或将加强对疫情的防控,除了要在保持社交距离上实施更为严格的管理制度外,对包括个人防护品在内的卫生用品的进口需求也会更大。中国正是上述产品的最大生产国,美国以低成本、可持续的方式从中国增加进口,有助于美国控制疫情。

  另一方面,美国要回到全球化舞台中央,需要在国际贸易中与其盟友加强合作。中国是全球第一大货物贸易国,处理对华关系将是其施政的重要内容。美国新一届政府需要重新评估特朗普政府对华加征的关税和采取的其他限制性措施,上述政策预计将随其国内形势的变化而持续调整。但是,鉴于国际环境已经发生了重大变化,美国新一届政府不一定会回到奥巴马时代处理对华关系的模式上来。

美国新一届政府在对华经贸合作领域会执着于“美国优先”吗?专家观点来了– 琦琦看新聞

  北京大学国际关系学院教授、北京大学美国研究中心主任王勇:拜登与其团队的基本理念不同于特朗普及其执政团队,前者更倾向于多边主义、国际主义以及自由主义。因此,预计拜登上台后美国对外政策、经贸政策将会有较大调整,美国将重返多边主义,强调在国际机制中发挥美国的领导作用。具体来说,新一届政府将致力于加强主导国际机制,包括世贸组织规则与机制,继续推动经济全球化与自由贸易。但是,历经特朗普时代的四年民粹主义,美国国内支持开放的舆论环境受到较大破坏,民粹主义、保护主义等将可能继续制约拜登的对外经贸政策调整。

  苏宁金融研究院宏观经济研究中心副主任陶金:我们应该清醒地认识到,无论美国总统是谁、美国议会多数党是哪一个,在国际政治和科技领域继续遏制中国崛起都是美国共识。不过,在经贸领域,拜登大概率不会像特朗普那样采取单边主义和孤立主义,预计不会对中国加征惩罚性关税。

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