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不肯加入 RCEP 自貿協定的印度,到底圖什麽? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

不肯加入 RCEP 自貿協定的印度,到底圖什麽?

不肯加入 RCEP 自貿協定的印度,到底圖什麽?
3,320

最近,关于 RCEP 协定的新闻非常引人关注,RCEP 本质上是一个自由贸易协定,该协定签订后,中国和东南亚各国以及日本、韩国、澳大利亚、新西兰等国建立起一个比肩欧盟的贸易结构体系,协议内的各方将互相减免关税直到实现零关税。

不过值得注意的是,南亚的第一大国,也曾经参与 RCEP 谈判的印度最后并没有决定签署这一协议,而且印度是在谈判的最后阶段选择退出的。

关于印度退出的原因, 有分析表示,印度是想保护本国的大企业,毕竟真的实现低关税或零关税后,大批来自国外的廉价优质产品将直接冲击印度的本土工业,会直接损害印度几家主要垄断企业的利益。但是,如果没有来自国外的充分竞争,那么本国的对应产业也不会得到迅速而长足的发展,这一点,历史上有很多例证。在中国,正是因为引入了特斯拉这条“鲶鱼”,中国本土的新能源车企才竞相活跃起来,最后取得了重大发展。而中国的手机行业,也是在国外品牌充分进入后才诞生了实力较强的自主品牌。

不过印度的担心也不算多余,毕竟印度本土的产业实在与它南亚霸主的雄心不相称。印度的银行和互联网公司,当面临来自国外企业的竞争时,往往会被很快打败。而今年以来,印度疫情十分严重,经济受到严重打击,也降低了印度对外开放的意愿。

而且近几年,“印度制造”的口号越喊越响,印度想在工业领域实现自给的意愿越来越强烈,在这种情况下,印度民族主义爆棚,“我还能行”的呼声很高,大规模开放进口对于印度民众来说也十分难以接受。

印度就这样错过了百年一遇的大机会,看来在关键时刻,印度还是少了中国那种“摸着石头过河”的勇气。

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