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澳大利亞和印度迎來幫手?德國要派軍艦助陣,或暗藏3個原因 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

澳大利亞和印度迎來幫手?德國要派軍艦助陣,或暗藏3個原因

澳大利亞和印度迎來幫手?德國要派軍艦助陣,或暗藏3個原因
2,273

美国总统大选的结果将重组国际关系。德国反应并不慢,已经预先布局。这个貌似浓眉大眼的家伙也开始站队,选择站到美国一边。

  据俄媒11月3日报道,德国防长卡伦鲍尔在接受澳大利亚《悉尼先驱报》采访时释放强硬讯号,声称德国要在“印太地区”保持军事存在,以保证该地区的稳定和安全。

  她还原封不动地转述了美方的论述,妄称对某大国在“印太地区”不断扩大的影响力感到忧虑,因此要派遣军舰前往该地区巡逻,维护现有秩序。

  德方宣称会派遣一艘军舰于2021年前往印度洋。而印度方面对此兴奋不已,对德方的表态大肆宣扬。印度长期以来都在寻求与德国建立一种”可靠合作伙伴”。

  美国要在亚洲建立“小北约”已经是彻头彻尾的阳谋,其最为看重的就是把印度拉上战车。在10月26日美印举行“2+2会谈”并签署一系列军事协议之后,印度实际上已经放弃了独立自主的地位,选择“入伙”。

  如今德国也宣布入局,无疑令印方感到振奋。同样受到鼓舞的还有澳大利亚。近几个月,澳大利亚在愚蠢的挑衅行动中受创严重。从小麦、牛肉、红酒、木材、煤矿、龙虾再铜矿,对华出口都纷纷受挫。堪培拉方面的痛感越来越强,尽管嘴上喊着不会妥协,但耐力已经所剩无几。澳大利亚无法为这些商品找到替代出口市场,而且美国作为竞争对手还在争抢澳大利亚的市场份额和空间。

  幸好美国总统大选极有可能为澳方解套。不仅如此,一系列的西方国家还将归队,也许还将形成合力。这将成为堪培拉继续赖皮下去的动力。德国甚至要在远东与澳大利亚联合采取“自由航行”,无疑也为澳方注射了强心剂。

  千里派兵只为利。德方派遣军事力量到“印太地区”,会产生一种给印度和澳大利亚充当帮手的色彩。当然,德国主要还是为自身考虑,推测可能有如下几个原因:

  1、德国看到修复德美关系的曙光

  鉴于拜登的赢面越来越大,默克尔最近也公开对美喊话,希望可以重建“友好关系”。德国主动弥合最近4年来一直不断扩大的裂痕,是因为看到了美国“重回正轨”的希望。

  在特朗普任上,德美关系伤痕累累。美方在过去4年以短期的“可利用价值”来薅盟友的羊毛,让德国不知所措。甚至还以最后通牒的方式来勒令德国分摊更多的北约军费。就在2020年7月,美方决定从德国撤军12000人,在10月又针对俄德合作的“北溪2号”天然气管道项目进行制裁。德美关系进入螺旋下滑轨道。

  而今,德国似乎看到了曙光。德方直言不讳地承认,在此次美国大选之后,希望能够带领欧盟与美国签订新版“跨大西洋协议”。德国最期盼的无疑是白宫可以恢复正常。当然,这一切的前提是拜登胜选。

  2、经贸关系固然重要,但德美盟约更重要

  德方虽然承认世界第二大经济体对德国的重要性,承认紧密的经济联系使得双方都从中受益,但必须追随北约的步伐。

  再牢固的金钱关系,也换不来真正的友谊。经贸关系不会成为压舱石,军事同盟关系才是最强的粘合剂。

  现实就是,如果特朗普败选,而拜登放弃“美国优先”,重新重视盟友体系,那么西方国家们会很快聚拢到星条旗下。

  3、德国要通过加入“印太战略”提升自身地位

  作为二战的战败国,德国一直小心翼翼地隐藏对昔日荣光的渴望。即便是无比盼望成为联合国常任理事国,但也采取与日本、巴西、印度等进行捆绑的方式来“冲关”。在遭受一次次失败后,又建议法国把常任理事国的席位交给欧盟,遭到巴黎方面的断然拒绝。

  英国退出欧盟之后,德国成为欧盟军事力量的重要支柱。在美国的不断施压与提醒下,柏林意识到“印太地区”在全球战略中的重要意义。

  通过在“印太地区”插上一脚,德国能够重新建立在远东的军事存在,这对一个战败国来说是难得的突破。美国可以在亚洲玩离岸平衡,殊不知,德国作为老牌列强,也有强烈的渴望。在柏林看来,在亚洲进行干预,能够带来好处和利益,并提升德国在全球事务中的话语权。尽管现在看来派遣一艘军舰也只具有象征意义,可毕竟是个开始。

  从德国的战略调整可以看出,特朗普当局把“压轴外交”放在印度、斯里兰卡、马尔代夫、印尼、越南这5个国家身上,已经释放出最明确不过的讯号。而柏林捕捉到了讯号背后的意义。

  今年是庚子年,1900年也是庚子年。120年前入侵的列强和今天没有本质区别。弱肉强食的丛林法则只不过改头换面,变成了“维护现有国际秩序”。如果能够通过掠夺方式来获取东方的财富,西方国家绝不会貌似彬彬有礼地进行贸易。认清“朋友”的本质很重要,归根到底还是要有底线思维。面对更加险恶的国际局势,以后一帆风顺不会成为常态,对此要有充分准备。(完)

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