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2,691 一直以来，强人普京最不能容忍的事主要有三：俄本土遭轰炸、俄罗斯经济崩溃、不怀好意的势力想分化瓦解俄罗斯。 让普京没想到的是，这次对俄军动手的，居然是阿塞拜疆。 10月29日，在毫无征兆的情况下，至少4枚火箭弹飞向了俄军哨所，且地点就在亚美尼亚与纳卡交界处。随后，阿塞拜疆国防部立即宣布，并没有对俄军目标发起过任何攻击，且阿塞拜疆无意将战火蔓延至亚美尼亚本土。 对于阿塞拜疆军方的声明，俄罗斯暂时还没有回应。 在阿塞拜疆出手之前，普京曾对叙利亚发起过一次大规模军事行动。10月26日，俄军不宣而战发起猛攻，并在伊德利卜打死了至少100名武装分子，超140人受伤。 报道称，俄军的袭击目标是”费拉克”武装，该武装的幕后支持者就是土耳其——在纳卡地区大显身手的土耳其雇佣军，就是由该武装提供。不少观点认为，普京在此时兵行险招，既有帮巴沙尔消除心腹大患的意思，但更多的，还是为了打击阿塞拜疆、土耳其与美国的嚣张气焰，以帮亚美尼亚缓口气。 怎么看？ 第一，阿塞拜疆之所以有恃无恐，是因为有土耳其为其撑腰，但埃尔多安的底气却来自美国，因此，亚阿冲突的背后较量，实际上就是美俄之间的战略博弈。就目前看，美国明显占据优势，四处当”救火队员”的普京，似乎有点招架不住了。 第二，阿塞拜疆轰炸俄军哨所，或多或少都有”以牙还牙”的意味——既然普京想借力打力威慑土耳其，阿塞拜疆便以其人之道还治其人之身——直接挑战俄军底线，强人普京又能如何？ 第三，现在的俄罗斯已经不是当年的俄罗斯了，经济萎靡不振后，普京失去了大规模出兵的底气——打仗终究还是烧钱的。在过去一段时间，无论是俄军少将的被”斩首”，还是俄式战机的被公然击落，实际上都是为了刻意试探普京底线，结果也正如美土所料——普京与俄罗斯确实扛不住了。 世界局势正在发生重要变化，唯有奋力提升经济、军事实力，才能在国际角逐中占据主动，至于普京会如何出招，且拭目以待吧。 捅下大娄子的土耳其，这回很可能踢到铁板了。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7719,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sI6T2uoJXx-compress_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=800%2C416","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":7673,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2020\/11\/02\/%e8%bc%b8%e4%b8%8d%e8%b5%b7%e7%9a%84%e6%88%b0%e7%88%ad%ef%bc%81%e6%99%ae%e4%ba%ac%e5%8a%83%e7%b4%85%e7%b7%9a%ef%bc%9a%e8%8b%a5%e6%88%b0%e7%81%ab%e7%87%92%e8%87%b3%e4%ba%9e%e7%be%8e%e5%b0%bc%e4%ba%9e\/","url_meta":{"origin":7718,"position":0},"title":"\u8f38\u4e0d\u8d77\u7684\u6230\u722d\uff01\u666e\u4eac\u5283\u7d05\u7dda\uff1a\u82e5\u6230\u706b\u71d2\u81f3\u4e9e\u7f8e\u5c3c\u4e9e\u8179\u5730\uff0c\u4fc4\u5c07\u4ecb\u5165","date":"November 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