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2,312 美国财政部长耶伦表示，当前美国经济正在放缓，但不是衰退，是快速增长后的必然现象。近日，耶伦在接受一次采访时声称美国的通货膨胀“太高了”，经济“有放缓”，却强调没有衰退的迹象。一时之间，令外界热议。7月份，调查经济学家曾预计在未来的12个月时间里，美国出现经济下滑的概率是47.5%，而当时该经济学家指出，仅在刚过去的6月份里，仅为30%。这也就是说，美国经济形势已经相当不妙了，在此背景下，还真的如耶伦所说美国经济是在放缓，而不是在衰退吗？ 另外，根据最新消息报道，美国7月份消费者信心指数降至近一年半低位，达到95.7。据悉，这已经是连续第三个月在下降了。如果不是衰退，消费者会降低信心吗？到目前为止，全球市场似乎除了美元以外，黄金，石油及美债在内的大量资产都在下跌，这也不是衰退吗？值得一提，在美国面临40年来最严重的通货膨胀的背景下，美国GDP环比年化下降1.4%，按照这个事态发展，亚特兰大联邦储备银行表示，预计今年美国第二季度实际GDP会萎缩1.6%。即便像耶伦说的那样，美国经济只是暂时的在开倒车，但也要控制好减速的节奏，否则很难把握方向盘。 一旦方向盘没把握好，是会开到悬崖边，还是直接开进海里，谁也不好说。况且明眼人都清楚这不是在开倒车，而是真正意义上的衰退。不过话说回来，耶伦能够当上美国财政部长和前美联储主席，是其具备天生的美国式乐观主义精神，都到这个份上了，美国政客还在“永不言败”，甚至能把黑的说成白的。如此一来，倒是我们犯了一个巨大的错误了，从今年年初开始，就接连有消息认为美国经济会遭遇大衰退，面临大危机，现下耶伦这么一提醒，我们恍然大悟。 原来美国经济不仅不叫衰退，也不叫经济危机，而是叫减速，叫开倒车，毕竟在一段疯狂的飙升后，出现一段时间的暂停，甚至是开倒车都是很正常的。既如此，我们也就只能佩服美国政府的嘴硬了。话说回来，从这也就能看出在形势如此不妙的情况下，美国财政部长之所以会扬言美国经济是在放缓，不是衰退，说白了就是不敢面对现实，哪怕是深知经济已经站在了“悬崖边”，也不敢面对现实。至此，针对美国经济，财政部长耶伦才讲了这么一个天大的笑话。不过不愿意面对现实，也就意味着不打算让美国的日子好过了。 以美国如今这个严重的通货膨胀和经济危机，一旦拜登政府面对现实，就必须得想办法解决，因此，就必须得求中国帮这个忙。求帮忙之前自然得示好，考虑到近来美国高层频频呼吁取消对华关税，届时，美国很有可能通过取消关税对中国释放友好信号。可如果不面对现实，那就不需要求中国，只不过这样一来，美国日子则会更艰难。经济危机给一个国家带来的严重后果，那是难以想象的。（哆啦）<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/download_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C383","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":33280,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/11\/18\/%e6%89%9b%e4%b8%8d%e4%bd%8f%e4%ba%86%ef%bc%81%e8%b2%bf%e6%98%93%e6%88%b0%e8%ae%93%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e4%ba%ba%e6%90%8d%e5%a4%b1%e6%85%98%e9%87%8d%ef%bc%8c%e7%99%bd%e5%ae%ae%e8%a6%81%e5%b0%8d4000\/","url_meta":{"origin":45740,"position":0},"title":"\u625b\u4e0d\u4f4f\u4e86\uff01\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u640d\u5931\u6158\u91cd\uff0c\u767d\u5bae\u8981\u5c0d4000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u5546\u54c1\u964d\u7a05","date":"November 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