<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

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3,817美国的债务危机从2008年那场金融危机后就不断加剧，眨眼间特朗普延后的债务上限时间又到了。每到这个时候，美国政府就会呈现出一幅鸡犬不宁的画卷。作为执政方的民主党为了给自己做一份漂亮的政绩，不断地通过各种高预算项目，而参议共和党则认为民主党挥霍无度，不仅将美国老祖宗留下来的财富挥霍一空，还让美元的地位越来越低。如果这样发展下去，美国解决债务危机的方式只有毫无节制地印钱这一条路可以走。但是如果美元继续这样发行下去，在全球范围内引起越来越严重的通货膨胀，那势必会引起其他国家的反抗。毕竟你自己借来的债凭什么要全世界帮着你还？而美国之所以敢如此猖狂，不加掩饰地印钱，不就是赌的世界不敢反抗吗？那么真实情况究竟是怎样的呢？ 美债为何呈指数级增加 众所周知，美国是世界第一大经济体，在全球范围内怎么说都是有钱人了，那美国在世界上借那么多钱，发行那么多美债，不就相当于富人向穷人借钱吗？讲道理的话是这么个理儿，但是美国发行国债地目的可不仅仅是缺钱，更深层地目的是通过发行美债来巩固美元在全球经济上的霸主地位。因为只有通过发行国债，才能够将美元流通到全球，以此来扩大自己的特权范围。除此以外还有一个关键点，那就是美国为什么能够成为高收入高福利国家呢？因为通过美元霸主地位，美国只要借钱然后通过贸易逆差就可以养活美国人了。 这其中的原理很简单，就是穷人把辛辛苦苦挣来的血汗钱，放到全球公认最安全的银行里。然后富人把钱借出来，用这些钱制造商品卖给穷人，最后的通过公共的结算体系来获得一定的逆差利润。这中间其实还有一个非常有意思的问题，那就是穷富如何定义？是账户上的钱越多就越富有吗？好像是这样，但是深入一思考就发现有问题，那就是钱本身是没有意义的，美国即便是欠了那么多钱，为什么他还能够拥有世界上最先进的科技以及武器呢？因为钱对他来说已经没有意义了，只要他想，他完全可以用垃圾来印成钱，然后用垃圾印成的钱到国际市场上去换真正有价值的东西。这也是为什么美债成指数级增加的原因，有网友调侃道，因为他根本不担心还，你实在要我还钱，那我就用垃圾来印钱还给你就是了。 无节制印钱带来的经济隐患 如果美国愿意，他当然可以印钱来还钱，这一条路也切实可行。但是市场并不是他美国一个人能够决定一切的。为什么美元能成为世界经济主导货币？因为经过几次世界大战以后，美国储存了世界上75%以上的黄金，而黄金是世界公认的珠宝，所以要黄金就得用美元来买。所以美元成了主导货币，但是后来有的国家发现这样不行啊，美国一家独大，黄金想怎么卖就怎么卖，于是把储存在美国的黄金全部要回来。这个时候美国又开始炒石油，通过同样的手段，完成了石油价格美元结算的转换，这样一来美元依然是世界主导货币。 美元的霸主地位确定以后，美国就可以开始印钱，向全球各国收铸币税来薅羊毛了。但是久而久之，这羊毛不得劲儿，经济来得太慢。于是美国就疯狂印钱，反正世界各国都得用美元，就算印钱造成了世界通货膨胀，美国可以通过贸易逆差来缓解，其他国家与美国何干？但是要维持这样的局面，必定是伴随着美元对其他货币的打压，这样美元在国际上的份额与作用就不匹配。若其他国家长久地处于这种压迫地位的话，总有一天是会揭竿而起的。到那时，国际经济形势就会面临崩坏的风险。 欠债还钱天经地义，美元霸权地位到头 其实美国自然知道欠那么多钱不可能不还的，那为什么这么久以来美国都没有想办法去正常还钱呢？因为美国法律有一条规定，那就是当美国政府没有办法去偿还债务时，就乐意不再偿还外债，然后冻结所有债权国在美国的资产。听起来很无理，但是没办法，货币本身就是出于信任来交易的介质而已。当然很明显，目前世界各国都还是很相信美元的。 但是一旦美国不珍惜全球各国对他的信任，一旦美元地位崩盘，大家联合起义，决定不用美元了，用欧元或者人民币，那美国就会直接当场暴毙，这是美国绝对不愿意看到的事情，因为这相当于就是一锤子买卖，虽然美国一时把帐赖掉了，但是后续也就没有发展的机会了。所以美联储目前也在积极改善美元环境，不论是缩表还是加息都透露出美国愿意积极去对待这些国际债务。只不过面对这么庞大的债务金额，也够他们头疼好一阵子就是了。总之不管怎么说，欠债还钱天经地义，既然依托世界经济来发展自己，那就必须遵守市场经济的规则，在范围内吃点好处大家都能理解，但是过火了的话，也完全有能力把美元地位从神坛上拉下来。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/7b2e0074fde84b82a982a4d1905cd132_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C370","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":32853,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/11\/12\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%80%a5%e4%ba%86%ef%bc%81%e8%bf%9129%e8%90%ac%e5%84%84%e5%b7%a8%e5%82%b5%e5%8f%88%e5%bf%ab%e5%88%b0%e6%9c%9f%ef%bc%8c%e6%ac%b2%e6%b1%82%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b4%e4%bb%b6%e4%ba%8b\/","url_meta":{"origin":28111,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u570b\u6025\u4e86\uff01\u8fd129\u842c\u5104\u5de8\u50b5\u53c8\u5feb\u5230\u671f\uff0c\u6b32\u6c42\u4e2d\u570b4\u4ef6\u4e8b\u201c\u515c\u5e95\u201d","date":"November 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