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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2,665印度一直都有一个大国梦，入驻联合国五常席位，成为亚洲地区的霸主，这是新德里梦寐以求的成就。虽然印度拥有13亿的人口，以及广袤的国土，但是依旧无法支撑其野心。多年来的努力，迟迟不见效果，印度人也开始怀疑自己。但是随着美国的一系列动作，印度再次欢呼雀跃，毫不掩饰地喊出：未来亚洲大国只会是印度。 印度媒体推出的一篇文章中，对于这一结果进行了细致的分析，为什么印度能够成为亚洲唯一的大国，主要原因有两个。第一：美国在撤离阿富汗之后，将战略重心放在亚太地区，而目前来看唯一能够和印度竞争的大国，正好是美国的针对目标。所以印度这位主编认为，印度会成为“渔翁”。一方面是其坚信美国在面对任何国家时，都拥有绝对的获胜把握，所以其潜意识中，认为美国会在亚太战略上取得重大成功。另一方面则是印度自认为在亚洲地区，也只有一个竞争对手。其他国家对于印度，无法构成威胁。一定程度上来看，印度这位编辑的思路很正常，面对美国的制裁，俄罗斯数十年来一直反向发展就是最好的例子。 第二：美国想要在亚太地区增强军事存在感，就需要一个足够强大的盟友，虽然日本在一定程度上足够强大，但是其在军事上受到限制，无法发挥出全部实力。所以印度将成为美国的唯一选择，而在整个对抗期间，美国都会对印度大力扶持，各种武器装备廉价出售，甚至不排除提供高端武器装备的可能，例如五代机、防空系统等。而这样的扶持会让印度发展速度提升，结合自身的人口优势，其认为印度只需要十年的时间，就足以成长为一个亚洲大国。 不得不说，这位印度编辑的文章一些分析确实有理有据，但是其忽略了一个很重要的问题。美国为什么要在亚洲地区增强军事存在，为什么要对新兴大国出手打压？白宫不允许有可能会超越美国的存在出现，只要威胁到美国霸权的国家，都会受到制裁。印度凭什么，能够逃过这一命运。另外，美国能够压制俄罗斯，主要原因是俄罗斯本身的经济结构“偏科”太严重，即便没有美国也需要时间调整。而新生大国，并不存在这一问题。所以印度这次还是在“做梦”，美国撤军转战亚太，对于印度来说并不是机遇可能是灾难。 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