\u3010\u6587\/\u89c2\u5bdf\u8005\u7f51 \u5f20\u6668\u9759\u3011\u201c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd<\/a>\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u96c4\u5fc3\u201d\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f43\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd<\/a>\u5370\u592a\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u6307\u6325\u5b98\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee<\/a>\uff08Philip Davidson\uff09\u5728\u56fd\u4f1a\u4f5c\u8bc1\u65f6\u53c8\u5728\u5927\u8086\u6e32\u67d3\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u519b\u4e8b\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u662f\u672c\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u3002\u671f\u95f4\u4ed6\u8fd8\u62ff\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u8d39\u5927\u505a\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u5230\u53f0\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u58f0\u79f0\u4ed6\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u5728\u672a\u67656\u5e74\u51fa\u624b\u6536\u590d\u53f0\u6e7e\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u300a\u5357\u534e\u65e9\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\u622a\u56fe<\/span><\/p>\n

\u300a\u5357\u534e\u65e9\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f43\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c<\/a>\u5728\u5ba1\u67e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u9080\u8bf7\u7f8e\u56fd\u5370\u592a\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u6307\u6325\u5b98\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\uff08Philip Davidson\uff09\u5230\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u519b\u4e8b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e0a\u4f5c\u8bc1\u3002\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\u4e00\u518d\u5927\u8086\u6e32\u67d3\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\uff0c\u5ba3\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c55\u5f00\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\u65f6\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5371\u9669\u662f\u5e38\u89c4\u5a01\u6151\u529b\u7684\u524a\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u96c4\u5fc3\uff0c\u8981\u53d6\u4ee3\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u57fa\u4e8e\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e2d\u6240\u53d1\u6325\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\u201d\uff0c\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u58f0\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u66fe\u8bf4\u8981\u57282050\u5e74\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u52a0\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0\u76ee\u6807\u201d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u8fd8\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u53f0\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u79f0\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u5468\u8fb9\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4ed6\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u8fd910\u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u201c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u662f\u63a5\u4e0b\u67656\u5e74\u5185\u201d\uff0c\u51fa\u624b\u6536\u590d\u53f0\u6e7e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u62ff\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\u5927\u505a\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u58f0\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ddf\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u7ec4\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0e\u76df\u56fd\u66f4\u7d27\u5bc6\u5408\u4f5c\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u672a\u6765\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u65e0\u6cd5\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u53d1\u8868\u6b64\u756a\u8a00\u8bba\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u521a\u5ba3\u5e03\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\uff0c\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u4e866.8%\u3002\u300a\u5357\u534e\u65e9\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\u4ec5\u6bd42020\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u4e86\u4e0d\u52301%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\uff087405\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u4ecd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\uff082090\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u7684\u4e09\u500d\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u5728\u5f53\u5929\u7684\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8fd8\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u6d77\u9646\u7a7a\u7b49\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5168\u9762\u519b\u4e8b\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u5173\u6ce8\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u6d77\u519b\u548c\u7a7a\u519b\u7684\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u6295\u5c04\u529b\u91cf\u548c\u83b7\u5f97\u5927\u56fd\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002\u4ed6\u4e3a\u6b64\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u589e\u52a0\u5728\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u529b\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u62e5\u6709\u6bd4\u6211\u4eec\u5f3a\u5f97\u591a\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8fd8\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u91c7\u53d6\u4e00\u79cd\u5177\u6709\u201c\u6218\u6597\u53ef\u4fe1\u6027\u201d\u7684\u5e38\u89c4\u5a01\u6151\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u76ca\u5e76\u786e\u4fdd\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u5e76\u79f0\u8981\u52a0\u5f3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e38\u89c4\u9632\u5fa1\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6269\u5927\u8fdc\u7a0b\u6253\u51fb\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u9646\u57fa\u5de1\u822a\u5bfc\u5f39\u548c\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5173\u5c9b\u90e8\u7f72\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u5bfc\u5f39\u9632\u5fa1\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u662f\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u672c\u6708\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u63d0\u5230\u8981\u589e\u5f3a\u5173\u5c9b\u9632\u5fa1\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u8fd8\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u7531\u7f8e\u65e5\u5370\u6fb3\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u201c\u56db\u65b9\u5b89\u5168\u5bf9\u8bdd\u201d\uff08QUAD\uff09\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u79f0\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9632\u5fa1\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u7535\u4fe1\u548c5G\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u5408\u4f5c\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u540c\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u767d\u5bab\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u5c06\u5728\u672c\u5468\u4e94\uff0812\u65e5\uff09\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e3e\u884c\u9996\u6b21\u5143\u9996\u7ea7\u522b\u56db\u65b9\u4f1a\u8c08\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u9632\u90e8<\/a>\u65b0\u95fb\u622a\u56fe<\/span><\/p>\n

\u8fdb\u5165\u672c\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u4e0d\u65ad\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u573a\u5408\u516c\u5f00\u6e32\u67d3\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u519b\u4e8b\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\u30023\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u519b\u5370\u592a\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u4ea4\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u7531\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u8d77\u8349\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u5ba3\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u5347\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u5e38\u89c4\u5a01\u6151\u201d\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u5bfb\u6c42\u57282022\u5e74\u81f32027\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u83b7\u5f97270\u591a\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\uff0c\u6253\u9020\u201c\u6cbf\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c9b\u94fe\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u5bfc\u5f39\u6253\u51fb\u7f51\u7edc\u201d\uff0c \u8fd9\u6bd4\u6700\u8fd1\u516d\u4e2a\u8d22\u5e74\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u652f\u51fa\u8981\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e8636%\u3002<\/p>\n

3\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u5728\u53c2\u52a0\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a\uff08AEI\uff09\u7ebf\u4e0a\u4f1a\u8bae\u65f6\uff0c\u53c8\u5ba3\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u6709\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bfc\u5f39\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u63a8\u8fdb\u5728\u5173\u5c9b\u90e8\u7f72\u9646\u57fa\u201c\u5b99\u65af\u76fe\u201d\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u6234\u7ef4\u68ee\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\u4e5f\u5728\u6781\u529b\u62b9\u9ed1\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u57283\u67082\u65e5\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u76d1\u7763\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u519b\u4e8b\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u6d77\u519b\u5c11\u5c06\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u65af\u56fe\u5fb7\u66fc\uff08Michael Studeman\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u573a\u89c6\u9891\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u751a\u81f3\u8868\u793a\u201c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c1d\u5230\u4e86\u88ab\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bb0\u7684\u6ecb\u5473\u201d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u5965\u65af\u6c40\u57282\u6708\u7684\u63d0\u540d\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f62\u5bb9\u4e3a\u201c\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u6c6a\u6587\u658c\u57283\u67083\u65e5\u56de\u5e94\u6709\u5173\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u7f8e\u65b9\u5ba2\u89c2\u7406\u6027\u770b\u5f85\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u7406\u6027\u52a1\u5b9e\u7684\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u540c\u4e2d\u65b9\u76f8\u5411\u800c\u884c\uff0c\u591a\u505a\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u589e\u8fdb\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e92\u4fe1\u4e0e\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u91cd\u56de\u5065\u5eb7\u7a33\u5b9a\u53d1\u5c55\u8f68\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e2021\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u519b\u8d39\u589e\u957f6.8%\u4e00\u4e8b\uff0c\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u5434\u8c263\u67088\u65e5\u56de\u5e94\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u56fd\u571f\u5b89\u5168\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6311\u6218\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0c\u9646\u5730\u8fb9\u754c\u4e89\u8bae\u5c1a\u672a\u5f7b\u5e95\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u5c9b\u5c7f\u9886\u571f\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u5212\u754c\u4e89\u7aef\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff1b\u6c11\u8fdb\u515a\u5f53\u5c40\u987d\u56fa\u575a\u6301\u201c\u53f0\u72ec\u201d\u5206\u88c2\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u662f\u53f0\u6d77\u548c\u5e73\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u5927\u73b0\u5b9e\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u9488\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5f62\u52bf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u5929\u4e0b\u5e76\u4e0d\u592a\u5e73\uff0c\u56fd\u9632\u5fc5\u987b\u5f3a\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u63a8\u8350\u9605\u8bfb\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n

\u62fc\u547d\u6e32\u67d3\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1\uff1f2021\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0cCNN\u8fc5\u901f\u5f00\u59cb\u7092\u4f5c\u4e86\uff01<\/b><\/p>\n

\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e24\u4f1a\u516c\u5e032021\u5e74\u56fd\u9632\u5f00\u652f\u9884\u7b97\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5a92\u53c8\u5f00\u59cb\u7092\u4f5c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51\uff08CNN\uff096\u65e5\u53d1\u6587\u79f0\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5efa\u6210\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d77\u519b\u201d\u3002\u62a5\u9053\u63f4\u5f15\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\uff08ONI\uff09\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u8230\u961f\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u8230\u8247\u6570\u91cf\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a60\u591a\u8258\u3002\u800c\u52302025\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u5c06\u90e8\u7f72400\u8258\u8230\u8247\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u519b\u8ba1\u5212\u7684355\u8258\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u62a5\u9053\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c2015\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e00\u652f\u4e16\u754c\u4e00\u6d41\u519b\u961f\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u201c\u57282015\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5efa\u6210\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d77\u519b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u62a5\u9053\u63f4\u5f15ONI\u6570\u636e\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c2015\u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u8230\u961f\u4e2d\u6709255\u8258\u8230\u8247\u3002\u6839\u636eONI\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709360\u8258\u8230\u8247\uff0c\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u591a\u8d85\u8fc760\u8258\u3002\u800cONI\u8fd8\u9884\u6d4b\u79f0\uff0c\u52302024\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u5c06\u62e5\u6709400\u8258\u8230\u8247\u3002<\/p>\n

CNN\u8fd8\u63f4\u5f15\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u53ca\u6d77\u519b\u9646\u6218\u961f\u7b49\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u8054\u5408\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c \u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u6218\u6597\u90e8\u961f\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u5728\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u5c31\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4e24\u500d\u591a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5728\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e00\u756a\u8230\u8247\u6570\u91cf\u540e\uff0cCNN\u8fd8\u79f0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u80fd\u5efa\u9020\u5f88\u591a\u8239\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u62e5\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d77\u519b\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u9020\u8239\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8d4b\u4e88\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u8fd9\u79cd\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u80fd\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u9020\u8239\u4e1a\u66f4\u80dc\u4e00\u7b79\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\u62a5\u9053\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u5728\u8230\u8247\u6570\u91cf\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u522b\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece\u5175\u529b\u4e0a\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u73b0\u5f79\u4eba\u5458\u8d85\u8fc733\u4e07\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u4e3a25\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7092\u4f5c\u4e00\u756a\u540e\uff0cCNN\u8fd8\u63d0\u5230\uff0c3\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5f002021\u5e74\u56fd\u9632\u652f\u51fa\u9884\u7b97\u589e\u957f6.8%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u8def\u900f\u793e5\u65e5\u6d88\u606f\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u652f\u51fa\u5448\u201c\u6e29\u548c\u589e\u957f\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u56fd\u9632\u9884\u7b97\u5f00\u652f\u4e5f\u53ea\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\u5c31\u6b64\u5411\u73af\u7403\u65f6\u62a5\u8bb0\u8005\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u519b\u8d39\u6301\u7eed\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u5730\u7406\u6027\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u6548\u7ba1\u63a7\u4f4f\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc5\u901f\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u5f97\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u52a8\u519b\u4e8b\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u7684\u5efa\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n

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2,374【文\/观察者网 张晨静】“我担心中国正在加速实现他们的雄心”，当地时间3月9日，美国印太司令部指挥官戴维森（Philip Davidson）在国会作证时又在大肆渲染中国的“军事威胁”，这已是本月以来第三次。期间他还拿中国军费大做文章，并提到台湾地区，声称他担心中国会在未来6年出手收复台湾。 《南华早报》报道截图 《南华早报》报道称，当地时间3月9日，五角大楼在审查美国印太地区的军事战略，邀请美国印太司令部指挥官戴维森（Philip Davidson）到参议院军事委员会上作证。戴维森在会上一再大肆渲染“中国威胁”，宣称中国是美国最大的战略威胁，美国在与中国展开大国竞争时面临的最大危险是常规威慑力的削弱。 “我担心中国正在加速实现他们的雄心，要取代美国和我们在基于规则的国际秩序中所发挥的领导作用”，戴维森声称中国曾说要在2050年前实现这个目标，“我担心他们会加速实现目标”。 戴维森还提到了台湾地区，称去年中国军方加大了在台湾周边地区的活动，他担心中国很有可能会在这10年内，“事实上是接下来6年内”，出手收复台湾。 此外，他还拿中国的军费预算大做文章，声称为了跟上中国军费预算增长的步伐，五角大楼需要重组以及与盟国更紧密合作以提高效率，否则未来美国将无法与中国抗衡。 在戴维森发表此番言论之前，中国刚宣布今年的军费预算，比去年增长了6.8%。《南华早报》报道称，相比之下，美国今年的军费预算仅比2020年增长了不到1%。不过尽管如此，美国今年的军费预算（7405亿美元）仍是中国（2090亿美元）的三倍多。 戴维森在当天的会上还称，中国正在加速海陆空等各个领域的全面军事建设，特别关注解放军海军和空军的现代化建设，他认为这是投射力量和获得大国地位的关键。他为此警告说，除非美国军方增加在印太地区的军力结构，否则在未来几年，“中国将拥有比我们强得多的能力”。 他还提出，美国必须采取一种具有“战斗可信性”的常规威慑态势，以防止冲突，保护美国利益并确保其盟友和伙伴的安全。并称要加强美国的常规防御能力，包括扩大远程打击能力、陆基巡航导弹和弹道导弹、以及在关岛部署先进的导弹防御系统。值得注意的是，这已是戴维森本月第三次提到要增强关岛防御系统。 最后，戴维森还强调了由美日印澳组成的“四方安全对话”（QUAD）的重要性，称这不仅仅是一个防御和安全对话，还可以解决全球经济、电信和5G等关键技术以及国际秩序合作等问题。同一天，白宫新闻发言人表示，美国总统拜登将在本周五（12日）与日本、印度和澳大利亚领导人举行首次元首级别四方会谈。 美国防部新闻截图 进入本月以来，戴维森不断在各种场合公开渲染中国的“军事威胁”。3月1日，美军印太司令部向美国国会提交了一份由戴维森起草的报告。宣称为了提升针对中国的“常规威慑”能力，报告寻求在2022年至2027年期间获得270多亿美元的军费预算，打造“沿第一岛链的精确导弹打击网络”， 这比最近六个财年的计划支出要高出了36%。 3月4日，戴维森在参加美国企业公共政策研究会（AEI）线上会议时，又宣称美国现有系统不足以应对中国导弹的威胁，提出推进在关岛部署陆基“宙斯盾”系统的计划。 除了戴维森之外，其他美国军方官员也在极力抹黑中国。例如，在3月2日，负责监督美国在亚太地区军事情报的海军少将迈克尔·æ–¯å›¾å¾·æ›¼ï¼ˆMichael Studeman）在一场视频会议上甚至表示“已经尝到了被中国主宰的滋味”。美国国防部长奥斯汀在2月的提名听证会上将中国形容为“迫在眉睫的威胁”。 我国外交部发言人汪文斌在3月3日回应有关中美关系的问题时强调，希望美方客观理性看待中国和中美关系，采取理性务实的对华政策，同中方相向而行，多做有利于增进中美互信与合作的事，推动中美关系重回健康稳定发展轨道。 而对于2021年我国军费增长6.8%一事，国防部新闻发言人吴谦3月8日回应说，我国国土安全面临的风险挑战不容忽视，陆地边界争议尚未彻底解决，岛屿领土问题和海洋划界争端依然存在；民进党当局顽固坚持“台独”分裂立场，是台海和平稳定的最大现实威胁。针对当前的复杂形势，可以说，天下并不太平，国防必须强大。 推荐阅读： 拼命渲染中国威胁？2021军费预算公布后，CNN迅速开始炒作了！ 在中国两会公布2021年国防开支预算后，美媒又开始炒作“中国威胁”。美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）6日发文称，“中国已经建成世界上最大规模海军”。报道援引美国海军情报局（ONI）此前预测的数据宣称，到2020年底，中国海军舰队拥有的舰艇数量比美国多60多艘。而到2025年之前，中国海军将部署400艘舰艇，也高于美军计划的355艘。 报道宣称，2015年，中国提出建设一支世界一流军队的目标。“在2015年至今的某个时候，中国已经建成了世界上最大规模海军。” 报道援引ONI数据宣称，2015年时，中国海军舰队中有255艘舰艇。根据ONI的预测，到2020年底，中国拥有360艘舰艇，比美国海军多超过60艘。而ONI还预测称，到2024年底，中国海军将拥有400艘舰艇。 CNN还援引美国海军及海军陆战队等发布的联合报告称， “中国海军战斗部队的规模在仅仅二十年内就增加了两倍多。” 在对比一番舰艇数量后，CNN还称，如果不能建造很多船，就不可能拥有世界上最大规模海军。中国是世界上最大的商业造船国，从而赋予了自己这种能力，“没有人能比中国的造船业更胜一筹”。 不过报道同时提到，尽管中美两国海军在舰艇数量上存在差别，但从兵力上来说，美国海军现役人员超过33万，而中国则为25万。 在炒作一番后，CNN还提到，3月5日，中国公开2021年国防支出预算增长6.8%。不过路透社5日消息称，中国国防支出呈“温和增长”，而且中国今年的国防预算开支也只有美国的四分之一。有专家就此向环球时报记者表示，军费持续、稳定地理性增长，是由于中国有效管控住疫情，经济迅速恢复，得以继续推动军事现代化的建设。 至于美媒频繁炒作的所谓“中国军力增长”“中国威胁”，中国国防部近期回应表示，中国的社会主义国家性质、走和平发展道路的战略决策、独立自主的和平外交政策、“和为贵”的中华文化传统，决定了中国始终不渝奉行防御性国防政策，坚持永不称霸、永不扩张、永不谋求势力范围是新时代中国国防的鲜明特征。中国军队坚定履行职责使命，坚决捍卫主权安全，坚持维护公平正义，坚守原则底线。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14398,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/161543568359136_P11855521_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C382","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":44689,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2022\/07\/13\/%e7%be%8e%e7%a9%ba%e8%bb%8d%e5%8f%83%e8%ac%80%e9%95%b7%e8%81%b2%e7%a8%b1%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e9%87%8d%e5%bf%83%e7%94%b1%e4%b8%ad%e6%9d%b1%e8%bd%89%e5%88%b0%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b-%e4%b8%8d%e7%84%b6\/","url_meta":{"origin":14390,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u7a7a\u8ecd\u53c3\u8b00\u9577\u8072\u7a31\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u91cd\u5fc3\u7531\u4e2d\u6771\u8f49\u5230\u4e2d\u570b 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