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2,506 拜登入主白宮後，在對華政策上，很大程度上延續了歐巴馬時期的民主黨政策，那就是拉攏更多的盟友一起對付中國，這咋看起來似乎比川普時期的政策，成熟得多，可行得多，畢竟，美國在世界範圍內的盟友也非常多。但即便如此，作為美國重要盟友的日本和英國，似乎並不是特別看好，相繼潑了冷水，那麼，這究竟是怎麼一回事呢？ 《日本時報》網站日前發表題為《拜登對同盟關係的強調能走多遠？》的文章，文章稱，美國的盟友擔心，儘管拜登大張旗鼓地承諾要加強同盟關係，最終這一承諾可能會落空。一些民調顯示，美國一半的「Z世代」和「千禧一代」支持社會主義。這兩代人中的許多人排斥軍事同盟概念。一個更嚴重的問題是美國的治理危機。新冠危機顯示出貧富差距和種族歧視從結構上導致一部分人在衛生和教育方面更加脆弱。疫情還表明，左翼和右翼之間的政治分歧可能會使治理陷入癱瘓。對拜登重建聯盟關係這個目標構成最大障礙的是美國治理上的結構性弱點。 英國《金融時報》則稱：遏制中國是不可行的選項。文章認為，首先，中國是比蘇聯強大得多的對手，擁有更成功的經濟、更具活力的科技產業、更多人口、更有凝聚力的政體和更有能力的政府。更重要的是中國的潛力。到2050年，中國經濟規模將與美國和歐盟之和相當。其次，中國經濟高度融入國際，大多數國家都希望與美中保持良好關係，不願意重美輕中。最後，過去20年裡特別是過去4年裡，美國破壞了自己在理智、正直、可靠、甚至遵守基本民主準則方面的聲譽。 也就是說，無論從美國的角度分析，還是從中國的角度來看，美國帶動更多盟友一起圍堵遏制中國的做法，都是不可能成為現實的。重要的是，這個推斷分別來自日本和英國，它們均是美國的盟友，而且都不願面對中國的崛起。但即便如此，通過理性分析，它們還是認為，美國不能取得成功。之前，中國也曾表示，聯合盟友遏制中國，和單方面奉行極端反華政策，在本質上都是一樣的，換湯不換藥，而且這可能會犯下嚴重的戰略錯誤，因此，美國不要總是瞄著中國努力了，這種不懷好意的行為，很可能會讓美國再度受挫。 事實上，除了日本、英國的媒體表態，還有很多的研究認為，美國圍堵遏制中國的政策註定失敗。香港中文大學全球與當代中國高等研究院院長鄭永年教授表示，只要中國繼續開放，中美就不可能脫鉤，美國新總統拜登很難改變前總統川普留下的對華政策，但美國如想重啟美蘇冷戰時期的同盟機制對付中國，「一點可能性都沒有」。新加坡總理李顯龍也公開呼籲，中美應放棄對抗，走向合作，這是國際社會希望看到的局面。毋庸置疑，作為當今世界最重要的雙邊關係，中美關係舉世矚目，穩健發展對世界有利，那麼，就不應僅僅因為美國的狹隘，直接斷送了國際社會的共同利益。 中美合則兩利，斗則俱傷，這不是由中國定義或決定的，而是現實，是實踐的結果。所以，面對國際社會的共同呼籲，希望美國能放下執念，不要總想著圍堵遏制中國了，這不正確，也不可能實現。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/https___s3-ap-northeast-1.amazonaws.com_psh-ex-ftnikkei-3937bb4_images_2_0_9_4_32214902-1-eng-GB_xibidenre2_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C383","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":11638,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/02\/05\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e5%8b%99%e5%8d%bf%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%bb%e7%9b%9f%e5%8f%8b%ef%bc%8c%e3%80%8c%e6%8b%89%e6%94%8f%e3%80%8d%e6%9d%b1%e5%8d%97%e4%ba%9e%e5%b0%87%e9%9d%a2%e8%87%a8%e4%b8%89%e5%a4%a7%e6%8c%91\/","url_meta":{"origin":12216,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u570b\u52d9\u537f\u81f4\u96fb\u76df\u53cb\uff0c\u300c\u62c9\u650f\u300d\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u5c07\u9762\u81e8\u4e09\u5927\u6311\u6230","date":"February 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2009\u00e5\u00b9\u00b47\u00e6œˆ\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6™‚\u00e4\u00bb\u00bb\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5œ‹\u00e5œ‹\u00e5‹™\u00e5\u00bf\u00e5\u00b8Œ\u00e6‹‰\u00e8•Š\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e6\u00b1\u00e5”\u00e5\u00b3\u00b0\u00e6œƒ\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00e9\u00ab˜\u00e8\u00aa\u00bf\u00e9Œ\u00b6\u00e7\u00a4\u00ba\u00e3€Œ\u00e6ˆ‘\u00e5€‘\u00e5›ž\u00e4\u00be†\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e3€\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5\u00a4š\u00e5\u00ae\u00b6\u00e5\u00aa’\u00e9\u00ab”\u00e5\u00b0‡\u00e5…\u00b6\u00e8\u00a7\u00a3\u00e8\u00ae€\u00e7‚\u00ba\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5œ‹\u00e3€Œ\u00e9‡\u00e8\u00bf”\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e3€\u00e7š„\u00e4\u00bf\u00a1\u00e8™Ÿ\u00e3€‚ \u00e9‚\u00a3\u00e6™‚\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e6\u00ad\u00a3\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e5\u00b8Œ\u00e6‹‰\u00e8•Š\u00e7š„\u00e5\u00be—\u00e5Š›\u00e5Š\u00a9\u00e6‰‹\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e6\u00ad\u00e5\u00b7\u00b4\u00e9\u00a6\u00ac\u00e6”\u00bf\u00e5\u00baœ\u00e8\u00b2\u00a0\u00e8\u00b2\u00ac\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e4\u00ba‹\u00e5‹™\u00e7š„\u00e5Š\u00a9\u00e7†\u00e5œ‹\u00e5‹™\u00e5\u00bf\u00e3€‚ \u00e3€Œ\u00e9‡\u00e8\u00bf”\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e3€\u00e6ˆ\u00b0\u00e7•\u00a5\u00e8‡\u00aa\u00e7„\u00b6\u00e5\u00b0‘\u00e4\u00b8\u00e4\u00ba†\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e9€™\u00e4\u00bd\u00e4\u00b8\u00bb\u00e8\u00a6\u00e8\u00a8\u00ad\u00e8\u00a8ˆ\u00e8€…\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e4\u00b9Ÿ\u00e6›\u00be\u00e5œ\u00a82016\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e5\u00b0ˆ\u00e8‘—\u00e3€Š\u00e9‡\u00e8\u00bf”\u00e4\u00baž\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e3€‹\u00ef\u00bcˆThe Pivot\u00ef\u00bc‰\u00e4\u00baˆ\u00e4\u00bb\u00a5\u00e8\u00a7\u00a3\u00e9‡‹\u2014\u2014\u00e4\u00bb–\u00e4\u00b8\u00bb\u00e5\u00bc\u00b5\u00e9ž\u00e5›\u00ba\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5œ‹\u00e7\u00be\u00e6œ‰\u00e8\u00af\u00e7›Ÿ\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e8ˆ‡\u00e5\u00b0\u00e5\u00ba\u00a6\u00e5’Œ\u00e5\u00b0\u00e5\u00b0\u00bc\u00e7\u00ad‰\u00e5œ‹\u00e5\u00bb\u00ba\u00e7\u00ab‹\u00e6›\u00b4\u00e7\u00b7Š\u00e5\u00af†\u00e9—œ\u00e4\u00bf‚\u00e3€‚ \u00e4\u00ba‹\u00e5\u00af\u00a6\u00e4\u00b8Š\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e5\u00b0\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5œ‹\u00e4\u00b9ƒ\u00e8‡\u00b3\u00e4\u00baž\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00e7š„\u00e9—œ\u00e6\u00b3\u00a8\u00e9\u00a0\u00e6—\u00a9\u00e6–\u00bc\u00e6\u00ad\u00a4\u00e3€‚2001\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e7\u00a7‹\u00e5\u00a4\u00a9\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00bb–\u00e6Ž\u00a5\u00e5—\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5\u00aa’PBS\u00e8\u00aa\u00bf\u00e6Ÿ\u00a5\u00e6\u00ac„\u00e7›\u00ae\u00e3€Š\u00e5‰\u00e7\u00b7š\u00e3€‹\u00ef\u00bcˆFront Line\u00ef\u00bc‰\u00e6Ž\u00a1\u00e8\u00a8\u00aa\u00e5\u00b0\u00b1\u00e8\u00a1\u00a8\u00e7\u00a4\u00ba\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5œ‹\u00e5\u00b3\u00e5\u00b0‡\u00e9\u00a2\u00e8‡\u00a8\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5œ‹\u00e6Œ‘\u00e6ˆ\u00b0\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00b8\u00a6\u00e6“”\u00e6†‚\u00e5…\u00a9\u00e5œ‹\u00e9–“\u00e5’Œ\u00e5\u00b9\u00b3\u00e7\u00a9\u00a9\u00e5\u00aeš\u00e7›\u00b8\u00e8™•\u00e7š„\u00e6–\u00b9\u00e5\u00bc\u00e3€‚ 2011\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e5\u00beŒ\u00e5Š\u00e7\u00a8‹\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e6\u00ad\u00e5\u00b7\u00b4\u00e9\u00a6\u00ac\u00e6”\u00bf\u00e5\u00baœ\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e5\u00a4–\u00e4\u00ba\u00a4\u00e3€\u00e8\u00bb\u00e4\u00ba‹\u00e7\u00b6“\u00e6\u00bfŸ\u00e9\u00a0˜\u00e5ŸŸ\u00e6\u00ad\u00a3\u00e5\u00bc\u00e6Ž\u00a8\u00e8\u00a1Œ\u00e3€Œ\u00e9‡\u00e8\u00bf”\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e3€\u00e6ˆ\u00b0\u00e7•\u00a5\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00b8\u00a6\u00e6›\u00b4\u00e5\u00e7‚\u00ba\u00e3€Œ\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e5†\u00e5\u00b9\u00b3\u00e8\u00a1\u00a1\u00e3€\u00ef\u00bcˆAsia-Pacific Rebalance\u00ef\u00bc‰\u00e3€‚\u00e5\u00a6‚\u00e4\u00bbŠ\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e3€Œ\u00e4\u00baž\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e3€\u00e4\u00b8€\u00e8\u00a9ž\u00e5\u00b7\u00b2\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e5\u00b7\u00e6™\u00ae\u00e6”\u00bf\u00e5\u00baœ\u00e6œŸ\u00e9–“\u00e5\u00ae˜\u00e6–\u00b9\u00e7\u00b5\u00b1\u00e4\u00b8€\u00e7‚\u00ba\u00e3€Œ\u00e5\u00b0\u00e5\u00a4\u00aa\u00e3€\u00e3€‚ \u00e3€Œ\u00e6—‹\u00e8\u00bd‰\u00e9–€\u00e3€\u00e5…\u00a7\u00e5\u00a4– \u00e7„\u00a1\u00e8\u00ab–\u00e8\u00af\u00e7››\u00e9\u00a0“\u00e9‚„\u00e6˜\u00af\u00e4\u00baž\u00e6\u00b4\u00b2\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e9ƒ\u00bd\u00e6“\u00e6œ‰\u00e9ž\u00e5\u00b8\u00b8\u00e9\u00be\u00e5\u00a4\u00a7\u00e7š„\u00e9—œ\u00e4\u00bf‚\u00e7\u00b6\u00b2\u00e7\u00b5\u00a1\u00e3€‚ \u00e5‰10\u00e5\u00a4š\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00e7š„\u00e6”\u00bf\u00e6\u00b2\u00bb\u00e5\u00b1\u00a5\u00e6\u00ad\u00b7\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e8\u00ae“\u00e5Ž\u00e8\u00b2\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00e9Š\u00e5ˆƒ\u00e6œ‰\u00e9\u00a4˜\u00e7š„\u00e8\u00b5\u00b0\u00e5œ\u00a8\u00e8\u00af\u00e7››\u00e9\u00a0“\u00e3€Œ\u00e6—‹\u00e8\u00bd‰\u00e9–€\u00e3€\u00e5…\u00a7\u00e5\u00a4–\u00e3€‚ 2007\u00e5\u00b9\u00b4\u00ef\u00bcŒ\u00e4\u00bb–\u00e8ˆ‡\u00e7\u00b1\u00b3\u00e6\u00ad‡\u00e7ˆ\u00be\u00b7\u00e5\u00bc—\u00e6\u00b4›\u00e8\u00ab\u00be\u00e4\u00bcŠ\u00e5…\u00b1\u00e5Œ\u00e5‰\u00b5\u00e7\u00ab‹\u00e6–\u00b0\u00e7\u00beŽ\u00e5œ‹\u00e5\u00ae‰\u00e5…\u00a8\u00e4\u00b8\u00ad\u00e5\u00bfƒ\u00ef\u00bcˆCenter for New American 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