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2,420 新冠疫情下，美國雖然有驚無險地實現了最高權力交接，可是，美軍能保護拜登順利就職總統，對衰退的經濟也毫無辦法。據美國商務部1月28日公布的數據顯示， 美國2020å¹´GDP萎縮了3.5%，創下1946年二戰結束後的最差紀錄。 美國大選的好戲幾乎讓外界忘記關注美國新冠疫情的嚴重程度，現在美國累計確診病例已經超過2600萬，占全球四分之一，累計死wang人數即將突破44萬。舉目望去，美國本土大批企業和工廠陷入癱瘓狀態，隨之而來的是服務業也遭到重創，幾個月的時間，數百萬美國人失業並陷入貧困。用美媒的話來說，美國2020年經濟「一片混亂」。 對於特朗普政府留下來的「天坑」，拜登在上台前就做好了準備。此前，拜登團隊提出了總金額高達1.9萬億美元的經濟刺激計劃，其中有1萬億直接救濟美國家庭，4400億用於幫助中小企業和社區，其它的還包括地方援助和新冠疫苗費用等。不過，目前該方案還需等待國會點頭。熟悉經濟的朋友會知道，大規模經濟刺激計劃， 是美國量化寬鬆貨幣政策的具體表現，其實質是向全球徵收「鑄幣稅」，俗稱割韭菜。 美聯儲通過發行國債的方式大規模放水，雖然能幫助美國經濟復甦，但同樣會導致美元貶值。美元貶值就會導致美國國債縮水，同時還會使得其他國家物價上漲，帶來通貨膨脹，進而對其他國家經濟造成負面影響。對於中國來說，中國持有的大量美國國債會出現大幅縮水，而收益率也會大幅降低。同時，人民幣與美元關係密切，美元貶值勢必造成人民幣被動升值，中國國內物價上漲不說，人民幣匯率的不穩定對經濟也會帶來風險。因此，拜登的1.9萬億美元經濟刺激計劃，實際上就是讓全世界給美國買單，包括人民幣在內的所有貨幣都不是一個好消息。 更關鍵的是，像中國日本這樣的大量持有美國國債的國家，為了保證貨幣匯率穩定，或許還得繼續購買這次美國的國債。總的來說，目前全球經濟雖然還沒到經濟危機那一步，但是從2020年只有中國GDP是正數就可以看到，各國都在承受巨大壓力，都在想辦法對沖疫情影響，一旦美國拜登政府大規模經濟計劃執行下來，對全球經濟又是一輪打擊。這時候，對於人民幣和中國來說挑戰和機遇並存。美國向全球徵收「鑄幣稅」，各國對此怨聲載道， 中國應該藉此機會推行去美元化和人民幣全球化，不能任由美國一輪又一輪的「割韭菜」；同時，由於目前中國經濟活力普遍強於各國，可以藉機加大對國外的投資，尤其是對戰略資產的收購上，不妨步子邁得大一些，在危機中尋找轉機，在災難中尋找機遇。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/161070341262452563710_\u526f\u672c.png?fit=700%2C383","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":17701,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/04\/25\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e6%80%8e%e9%ba%bc%e9%83%bd%e6%b2%92%e6%83%b3%e5%88%b0%ef%bc%8c%e8%87%aa%e4%bd%9c%e8%81%b0%e6%98%8e%e7%9a%843%e8%90%ac%e5%84%84%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%a8%88%e5%8a%83%ef%bc%8c%e6%9c%80\/","url_meta":{"origin":11388,"position":0},"title":"\u7f8e\u570b\u600e\u9ebc\u90fd\u6c92\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u81ea\u4f5c\u8070\u660e\u76843\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6\u537b\u662f\u4e2d\u570b","date":"April 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