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2,352 該來的終究還是來了。 1月26日，拜登就職的第七天，俄羅斯爆發全國混亂後的第四天，拜登與普京通了電話。在接受採訪時，美國記者曾這麼問拜登，”拜登總統，您和普京在電話里都說了啥？” 拜登回應稱，”ä½ ”。隨後拜登還補充了一句至關重要的話，”普京給了我最好的回應”。 那麼問題來了，在拜登稱”俄羅斯是美國最大敵人，白宮將向莫斯科提出一切問題”，俄羅斯試圖緩和美俄關係，莫斯科稱”只要拜登願意，普京將與其對話”的當下，拜登與普京首次通電話，到底意味著什麼？ 主要有三大看點。 1， 打電話的背景。 1， 白宮易主、美國總統換人。從白宮聲明來看，拜登對普京的態度，明顯比川普強硬多了，兩人沒有多少寒暄，討論的也都是美俄非常關心的問題。換成川普，肯定會先夸普京和自己。 2，俄羅斯上百座城市爆發混亂。在要求莫斯科釋放納瓦利內的同時，抗議者還選擇了”逼宮”普京，就目前看，普京並沒有對抗議者採取強硬立場。俄羅斯外交部認為，美國駐俄大使館介入了俄羅斯內部事務。 3，全球經濟寒冬和疫情之下，美俄都面臨嚴峻挑戰。在抗擊疫情、復甦經濟等領域，美俄有著共同利益。當然，美俄之間的分歧更多。 4，在與普京通電話之前，拜登已經與加拿大總統特魯多、英國首相詹森、法國總統馬克龍、德國總理默克爾進行了交流。 5，拜登入主白宮後，普京並沒有向拜登發賀電。 二，通話內容，即拜登與普京談了些什麼。 1，普京送上了姍姍來遲的祝賀。普京表示，祝賀拜登開始履行美國總統職責。 2，談到了美俄關係。普京認為，俄美關係正常化符合雙方及全球利益，也有助於維護世界穩定和安全。 3，合作。普京與拜登認為，在抗擊疫情、經濟合作以及《開放天空條約》、伊核協議等問題上，美俄可以展開合作。對於拜登延長《新削減戰略武器條約》的決定，普京表示支持。 4，分歧，更多的還是分歧。拜登明確告訴普京，美國將採取必要行動，以捍衛美國及盟友利益。此外，就俄羅斯招募武裝分子獵殺駐阿富汗美軍、納瓦利內中毒和被捕等事件，拜登也和普京展開了交流。 至於拜登和普京具體談了些什麼，外界不得而知。 5，解決問題最重要。拜登與普京都認為，只有繼續溝通，摩擦不斷的美俄才可避免衝突升級。 在世界局勢面臨前所未有之變局、拜登打算重整旗鼓圍堵對手的當下，普京與拜登的會談釋放了哪些信號？ 三個簡單看法吧。 第一，面對美國及北約圍堵，普京越來越力不從心了。從通話內容看，普京提的都是戰略問題，但拜登提的都是具體細節，且針對俄羅斯的意圖非常明顯。之所以會有這種差別，主要在於美俄實力相差甚遠，且歐盟、烏克蘭、波蘭正在快速倒向美國。 國際角逐里，棋差一招的結果，往往是滿盤皆輸，不同於擁有美元霸權，同時還是北約老大的美國，俄羅斯輸不起。 川普執掌白宮時，拋出橄欖枝的通常都是美國，但拜登入主白宮後，普京卻率先釋放緩和信號，這確實很不一般。 可見拜登確實不是泛泛之輩。 第二，要不要親美，一直都是普京在考慮的難題。俄羅斯在美國手上吃過的虧，普京仍歷歷在目，”美國不可信”這個理，普京比任何人都懂。但今時不同往日，在美國轉移戰略重心、白宮即將重返印太的情況下，如果俄羅斯能藉機突破美國封鎖、與歐盟交好，普京何樂不為？ 歐盟議會已經叫停了”北溪-2號”，且歐盟正打算擴大對俄制裁，從拜登的一連串舉動來看，美國已經做好了引領盟友、同時叫板兩國的準備。但國際局勢往往是瞬息萬變的，歐盟是否會反水，美國能不能做到在東歐、印太同時占優勢，誰也不知道。 一旦美國處於劣勢，拜登沒準就會主動拉攏俄羅斯，以減輕美國的壓力。 第三，將俄羅斯當成心腹大患的美國政客、軍火商和財閥非常多，為加強對北約及東歐、中亞局勢的掌控，白宮也需要俄羅斯這樣一個假想敵。因此，川普也好，拜登也罷，即便暫時親俄符合美國利益，美總統也很難得償所願。 改變世界局勢的時刻正在加速到來，無論何時何地，多個心眼總是沒錯的。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/download_\u526f\u672c-2.jpg?fit=700%2C380","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":35263,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/12\/31\/%e6%83%85%e6%b3%81%e6%9c%89%e8%ae%8a%ef%bc%9f12%e6%9c%8831%e6%97%a5%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e8%bb%8d%e8%88%aa%e6%af%8d%e8%b3%b4%e5%9c%a8%e5%9c%b0%e4%b8%ad%e6%b5%b7%ef%bc%8c%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e8%a6%81\/","url_meta":{"origin":11325,"position":0},"title":"\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u8b8a\uff1f12\u670831\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u8ecd\u822a\u6bcd\u8cf4\u5728\u5730\u4e2d\u6d77\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u8981\u548c\u666e\u4eac\u300c\u5c0d\u8a71\u300d","date":"December 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