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2,391 铁矿石价格公报显示：1月15日铁粉价格指数为600.69，比1月8日上涨0.2%。当前铁矿石价格为170美元一吨，比较去年低谷的500多人民币一吨，价格飙升了一倍之多。 铁矿石疯涨的背后，是国外玩家的联手组局，这其中澳大利亚成为了最大的推手。但不要忘了，还有一个印度，它也是铁矿石出口的重要玩家之一。 1月初，莫迪政府做出决定：对本国的铁矿出口实施特别管制，从当月起，印度出口铁粉将涨价10%。大家都知道，铁矿石是工业立足的基础。 澳大利亚和印度深知这一点，他们通过主动提高出口价格的方式，迫使进口方做出让步。这种让步可以认为是利益方面的，但也可以认为是政治层面的。考虑亚太复杂的局势，我个人更倾向于后者。 卡住进口方的脖子，一来可以让本方占据商业主导权，漫天要价，无端的增加利益；二来，可以以此为基础，实施更深入的政治干预；三来，印澳的一致动作，有配合美国打压”基建狂魔”的意图；四来，增加印澳的影响力，毕竟在资源为王的时代，掌握核心生产要素，可以达成更深次的政治目标。 显然，印澳做足了功课，他们瞅准了铁矿石在世界分布不均的事实，通过”一点带面”的方式，遏制亚洲国家的崛起。世界已经融为一体，印澳在铁矿石领域具有他国无法比拟的优势。 印澳两国占据海洋地理优势，且多港库码头，可以通过运费低廉的海运，实现货物的快速周转。澳大利亚人口稀少，矿物比较集中，它可以将发达国家的优势发挥到极致。一体化的采矿设施，完善的物流交通，以及在矿业领域的影响力，使得堪培拉信心暴增。 印度虽然没有澳大利亚的优势，但该国的人力成本低，且因为自身处于工业化的初级阶段，该国铁矿石的产量仍有大量富余。 一个是铁矿石多得无处放，一个是因为基建不力，铁矿石生产尚有富裕。这两个国家的结合，实在是让人意想不到。但印澳也须考虑潜藏的政治风险，不说别的，亚洲基建狂魔的工业化即将完成，它对原材料的需求必有一个回落过程。 同时，进口方为了不受制于人，开始实施大规模的技术升级。也就是说，围绕铁矿石的博弈已经全面的拉开，那种漫天要价的时代终将要结束。 值得一提，印度不应成为铁粉涨价的幕后推手之一。如果铁矿石一直维持高位，那么印度的原材料必将水涨船高，这将影响外企在印度设厂的热情和信心。当然，这其中最关键的因素当属华尔街的一帮投资客。 很多数据显示：近段时间包括谷物、铁粉等大宗物品的涨价，非常的不寻常。除了美联储的不断印钞迫使美元贬值外，华尔街也在一定程度上配合着美国政府。 越南缺钱，那么就让越南盾贬值，外资将从河内撤出，越南政府的改革化脚步必会中断。日本不缺钱，那就让日元升值，借以打消日本产品的出口优势。 综上所述，外围玩家正在联手做局，这其中美国应是策划者，澳大利亚和印度应为具体的实施者和策应者。说白了这是一个双输的互动过程，亚洲基建狂魔的发展速度可能受到影响，但印澳的外汇也将随之缩水。而美国则在这个阶段，最大化的维护了自身的利益，达到一箭三雕的目的。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11136,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":[]},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/theasiaweb.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/bc03d4ec0088ec5_size45_w600_h394_\u526f\u672c.jpg?fit=700%2C383","views":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":22478,"url":"http:\/\/theasiaweb.com\/2021\/06\/27\/%e9%90%b5%e7%a4%a6%e7%9f%b3%e5%a4%a7%e9%99%8d%e5%83%b9%e8%a6%81%e9%96%8b%e5%a7%8b%ef%bc%9f%e5%b7%b4%e8%a5%bf%e5%95%9f%e5%8b%95%e5%be%a9%e7%94%a2%e8%a8%88%e5%8a%83%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%a4%a7%e5%88%a9\/","url_meta":{"origin":11135,"position":0},"title":"\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u5927\u964d\u50f9\u8981\u958b\u59cb\uff1f\u5df4\u897f\u555f\u52d5\u5fa9\u7522\u8a08\u5283\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e\u8981\u906d\u6b83","date":"June 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