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美國放水的38萬億去哪了?亞洲成主要接盤俠,部分銀行或將倒閉 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美國放水的38萬億去哪了?亞洲成主要接盤俠,部分銀行或將倒閉

美國放水的38萬億去哪了?亞洲成主要接盤俠,部分銀行或將倒閉
2,773

在疫情发生后,全球经济受到严重打击。不少国家和地区经济停滞,停工停产。欧洲、美国、亚洲都面临经济下滑压力。在2020年之后,全球经济普遍下滑,我国也不例外。不过随着疫苗的产生,使得我国的经济发展趋于稳定,出现不断向好。根据上半年的经济数据表现来看,国内生产稳步上升,没有受全球疫情的后滞影响。不过,其他的国家就没那么幸运了。比如印度、泰国等。而经济强国美国的日子也不好过,通过不断放水呈现经济繁荣的假象。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

目前,美国放水总量超过6万亿美元,约38万亿人民币。这些钱都去哪儿了?谁是美国放水待割的韭菜呢?我是财经十二辰,专注财经领域,我们一起来看看美元放水的背后影响。

美国不断放水,刺激经济

自疫情发生以来,美国不断通过量化宽松的货币政策刺激经济,不过随之而来的是是美国膨胀不断增大,美元贬值,美债被接连抛售的现实。并且对于美国来说,目前要解决的也是钱的问题。根据最新的就业数据,8月份非农就业人数增加数量远不及预期的70万人,也就是说美国经济复苏的动力并没有预想的强。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

这也让许多机构对美国接下来的经济恢复和增长抱有悲观意识。比如高盛就曾多次下调对美国经济增长的预期,他们的做法也让美债的升值成为不确定因素,抛售不断。

不过,美国方面仍然坚持的是不断印发钞票和出售美债,甚至提议上调美债的上限,或者不设置上限。这样的做法无疑是将美国的经济问题转移到全球范围,让全球为其危机买单。结果如何呢?在美元的强势霸权之下,真的有不少国家成为了美国危机的接盘侠,被迫替美元买单,而这其中有不少亚洲国家,并且损失惨重。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

亚洲成主要接盘侠,缅甸等国跌跌不休

在美国大放水的背景下,不少外汇储备的不足的国家都成为美国危机的受害者。缅甸就是其中之一。截至目前,缅甸已经陆续发放1.448亿美元,用于缓解国内的货币平衡。本周,缅甸央行宣布向市场投放800万美元,继续平衡汇率。但是,尽管缅甸央行投放了数亿美元的资金,也没有办法解决缅甸货币的跌跌不休。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

缅甸自进入九月份以来,就连续投放了2300万美金进入市场。并且造成的结果是缅甸币不断贬值,目前已经到了1美元兑换1750缅币的程度。一周不到,缅甸币贬值一百个单位。如果,接下来美元继续放水,缅甸的部分银行可能要直接关门破产。除了不断投放货币,缅甸还对进出口货币使用进行规定,但是效果不佳。更有调查显示,一美元价值2000缅甸币。足以见缅甸币贬值的速度,和缅甸经济受美国的剧烈影响程度。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

在亚洲,新兴市场国家最多的地区。在疫情之前,亚洲地区的多国经济发展向好,多国的货币出现明显升值。不过受美元放水的影响,新兴市场国家成为重灾区。许多新兴市场货币将迎接大幅度贬值暴跌的打击。除了缅甸之外,例如泰国、新加坡、越南等国都在被迫承接美元放水带来的经济风险,成为美国繁荣经济背后的背锅侠。

大量的廉价货币涌入新兴市场,不从事实体经济,没有办法达到拉动国家经济发展,刺激消费的作用,反而增大了经济泡沫和经济崩盘的险情危机。缅甸币目前的贬值明显,国家央行33次出手相救,但只是杯水车薪。泰国的泰铢在其影响之下,也纷纷出现跳水。越南更是这次美元的重灾区,甚至说如果再进行放水,接纳美债,越南的经济将倒退数十年。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

美国的危机,硬要全世界背

面对经济的下行压力,和不断增多的疫情人数,美国的做法是不断印钞。试图用美元的霸权,硬生生地让世界各国来陪他抵御风险。除了亚洲的部分国家受之影响,许多欧洲国家也在经历经济危机。瑞士、土耳其等国,已经出现大量的红色赤字,财政压力日益加大。南美的国家如巴西、智利也是同样。

不过,任何国家都不愿意做背锅侠,纷纷采取自救。通过加息的方式,来稳定本国的通胀和货币流通量。但是,不少国家面对美元的强势放水,最后也成为了接盘侠,深陷通胀泥潭。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

和他们相比,中国的做法就很实在了。早早的抛售大量美元,加大实体经济的发展,研发疫苗促进消费生产,维持经济的稳定前行。所以,截至目前,我们的经济发展是全球来说较好的国家之一,也是在这次美国收割全球的行动中,受影响较小的国家。

美国放水的38万亿去哪了?亚洲成主要接盘侠,部分银行或将倒闭

疫情的不确定因素持续笼罩全球,给经济复苏增加重重压力,美国还在不断地为放水做准备,迟迟不见加息。接下来是不是继续加大美债的发行也未可知。我是财经十二辰,您对亚洲各国的货币状况是怎么看的呢?欢迎在评论区留言讨论。

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