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美國債務危機逼近,瘋狂收割全球財富,賭的就是世界不敢反抗? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美國債務危機逼近,瘋狂收割全球財富,賭的就是世界不敢反抗?

美國債務危機逼近,瘋狂收割全球財富,賭的就是世界不敢反抗?
3,767

美国的债务危机从2008年那场金融危机后就不断加剧,眨眼间特朗普延后的债务上限时间又到了。每到这个时候,美国政府就会呈现出一幅鸡犬不宁的画卷。作为执政方的民主党为了给自己做一份漂亮的政绩,不断地通过各种高预算项目,而参议共和党则认为民主党挥霍无度,不仅将美国老祖宗留下来的财富挥霍一空,还让美元的地位越来越低。如果这样发展下去,美国解决债务危机的方式只有毫无节制地印钱这一条路可以走。但是如果美元继续这样发行下去,在全球范围内引起越来越严重的通货膨胀,那势必会引起其他国家的反抗。毕竟你自己借来的债凭什么要全世界帮着你还?而美国之所以敢如此猖狂,不加掩饰地印钱,不就是赌的世界不敢反抗吗?那么真实情况究竟是怎样的呢?

美国债务危机逼近,疯狂收割全球财富,赌的就是世界不敢反抗?

美债为何呈指数级增加

众所周知,美国是世界第一大经济体,在全球范围内怎么说都是有钱人了,那美国在世界上借那么多钱,发行那么多美债,不就相当于富人向穷人借钱吗?讲道理的话是这么个理儿,但是美国发行国债地目的可不仅仅是缺钱,更深层地目的是通过发行美债来巩固美元在全球经济上的霸主地位。因为只有通过发行国债,才能够将美元流通到全球,以此来扩大自己的特权范围。除此以外还有一个关键点,那就是美国为什么能够成为高收入高福利国家呢?因为通过美元霸主地位,美国只要借钱然后通过贸易逆差就可以养活美国人了。

美国债务危机逼近,疯狂收割全球财富,赌的就是世界不敢反抗?

这其中的原理很简单,就是穷人把辛辛苦苦挣来的血汗钱,放到全球公认最安全的银行里。然后富人把钱借出来,用这些钱制造商品卖给穷人,最后的通过公共的结算体系来获得一定的逆差利润。这中间其实还有一个非常有意思的问题,那就是穷富如何定义?是账户上的钱越多就越富有吗?好像是这样,但是深入一思考就发现有问题,那就是钱本身是没有意义的,美国即便是欠了那么多钱,为什么他还能够拥有世界上最先进的科技以及武器呢?因为钱对他来说已经没有意义了,只要他想,他完全可以用垃圾来印成钱,然后用垃圾印成的钱到国际市场上去换真正有价值的东西。这也是为什么美债成指数级增加的原因,有网友调侃道,因为他根本不担心还,你实在要我还钱,那我就用垃圾来印钱还给你就是了。

无节制印钱带来的经济隐患

如果美国愿意,他当然可以印钱来还钱,这一条路也切实可行。但是市场并不是他美国一个人能够决定一切的。为什么美元能成为世界经济主导货币?因为经过几次世界大战以后,美国储存了世界上75%以上的黄金,而黄金是世界公认的珠宝,所以要黄金就得用美元来买。所以美元成了主导货币,但是后来有的国家发现这样不行啊,美国一家独大,黄金想怎么卖就怎么卖,于是把储存在美国的黄金全部要回来。这个时候美国又开始炒石油,通过同样的手段,完成了石油价格美元结算的转换,这样一来美元依然是世界主导货币。

美国债务危机逼近,疯狂收割全球财富,赌的就是世界不敢反抗?

美元的霸主地位确定以后,美国就可以开始印钱,向全球各国收铸币税来薅羊毛了。但是久而久之,这羊毛不得劲儿,经济来得太慢。于是美国就疯狂印钱,反正世界各国都得用美元,就算印钱造成了世界通货膨胀,美国可以通过贸易逆差来缓解,其他国家与美国何干?但是要维持这样的局面,必定是伴随着美元对其他货币的打压,这样美元在国际上的份额与作用就不匹配。若其他国家长久地处于这种压迫地位的话,总有一天是会揭竿而起的。到那时,国际经济形势就会面临崩坏的风险。

美国债务危机逼近,疯狂收割全球财富,赌的就是世界不敢反抗?

欠债还钱天经地义,美元霸权地位到头

其实美国自然知道欠那么多钱不可能不还的,那为什么这么久以来美国都没有想办法去正常还钱呢?因为美国法律有一条规定,那就是当美国政府没有办法去偿还债务时,就乐意不再偿还外债,然后冻结所有债权国在美国的资产。听起来很无理,但是没办法,货币本身就是出于信任来交易的介质而已。当然很明显,目前世界各国都还是很相信美元的。

美国债务危机逼近,疯狂收割全球财富,赌的就是世界不敢反抗?

但是一旦美国不珍惜全球各国对他的信任,一旦美元地位崩盘,大家联合起义,决定不用美元了,用欧元或者人民币,那美国就会直接当场暴毙,这是美国绝对不愿意看到的事情,因为这相当于就是一锤子买卖,虽然美国一时把帐赖掉了,但是后续也就没有发展的机会了。所以美联储目前也在积极改善美元环境,不论是缩表还是加息都透露出美国愿意积极去对待这些国际债务。只不过面对这么庞大的债务金额,也够他们头疼好一阵子就是了。总之不管怎么说,欠债还钱天经地义,既然依托世界经济来发展自己,那就必须遵守市场经济的规则,在范围内吃点好处大家都能理解,但是过火了的话,也完全有能力把美元地位从神坛上拉下来。

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