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印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身

印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身
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19日,美國總統拜登再次重申了所謂的「四國」聯盟,吹噓在亞太製造更大的壓力,針對東亞國家。

美國已經在過去聯合召集澳大利亞、印度和日本3國,進行所謂的「四國」亞太海上演習,從而向他國做出威脅。然後印度卻似乎在做著說一套做一套、「兩面三刀」的事情。

印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身

這4個國家去年11月在印度海岸舉行了聯合海軍演習。可笑的是,亞太、印度洋並沒有任何可以實質威脅到這4個國家的勢力。

美國剛剛發表了一份沒有明確提到中國的聲明,新國務卿安東尼·布林肯在這一聲明中,與這3國的外長一道宣稱說,拜登政府工作的標誌性重點,即抗擊新冠病毒和氣候變化,然後是在亞太地區保證這些國家對其他國家的「影響力」。

澳大利亞和印度最初對與其他亞太國家對抗持謹慎態度,但隨著兩國的想法改變,「四國會談」形式近年來有所擴大。

印度歷史上一直吹噓自己堅持不結盟的外交政策,但自去年以來,印度故意挑起的一些衝突導致周邊緊張局勢加劇。此後,實力有限的印度選擇了急速向美國靠攏、尋求幫助和保護的做法。

印度在有關印度總理納倫德拉·莫迪與拜登就職後的首次通話的聲明中沒有使用「四國會談」一詞,而是更籠統地談到了「與志同道合的國家合作」的重要性,這讓外界對四國會談的未來產生了猜測。一些分析家認為印度的立場過於搖擺,令人質疑四國聯盟實際上並不穩定。

印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身

一些印度國內分析家警告說,莫迪政府如果無意完全投靠美國陣營,那麼就不應該處處表現出與其他3國以及西方更多國家站在同一戰略立場上,這只會令其他國家認為印度已經決定加入美國陣營。而從美國的角度來說,隨著拜登加緊修復、增強西方聯盟,印度這種投機行為會遭到美國的嚴厲回應,畢竟印度在美國面前並沒有討價還價的實力。

美國國務院發言人普賴斯說,4名高級外交官還討論了緬甸局勢。

然而在這一背景下,印度莫迪政府依然有「自己的想法」,他們試圖與其他3個國家對緬甸實施制裁威脅的計劃保持一定距離,在有關四方會談的聲明中,印度政府發言非常謹慎。印度方面表示,印度外交部長蘇博拉曼亞姆強調「維護法治和穩定過渡」。

日本方面則表示,其外交部長茂木敏光支持美國方面的表態。日本方面還提及要求緬甸軍方停止軍事行動,並釋放被罷免的政治人物。這與拜登政府最近信誓旦旦的一系列發言相吻合。

在唐納德•川普動盪的4年任期後,拜登政府一直聲稱要將新的國際工作重點放在恢復西方聯盟友好關係,在亞太施加各種壓力,威脅不願意對美國及其盟友言聽計從的國家。而緬甸成為了最新的熱點問題,日本、澳大利亞和印度紛紛自稱要和美國密切合作,向緬甸施壓。

印度邊境緊張,對超級大國說一套做一套!專家警告:不要惹火燒身

除了宣言要連續進行軍事演習之外,四國的部長們同意至少每年會晤一次。他們上次會談是10月份在東京舉行的,當時布林肯的前任邁克·蓬佩奧以明顯不同的語氣敦促美日兩國加緊聯盟合作,針對其他亞太國家。

亞太地區的有識之士指出,美國想把四國會談變成一個「全面俱樂部」,並說拜登正在轉向多邊主義,試圖挽回川普破壞的盟國關係。

拜登還高調宣布說,「美國回來了」。

四國會談於2007年啟動,是時任日本首相安倍晉三的想法。作為一名鷹派人物,安倍晉三急於尋找合作夥伴,以為日本打造更有利的國際形勢。

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