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要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局
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就在本月8號,美國參議院正式啟動對前總統川普的彈劾案,理由是川普涉嫌煽動「國會山暴亂」,而這也造成川普第二次遭到了國會彈劾。雖然今天的這場彈劾不會立即出現結果,但是美國建制派勢力對川普展開的一系列的清算才是最引人注目的。

而對於目前的現狀,美國頂級智庫布魯金斯學會共預測了川普的9種結局。雖然結局分支眾多,但是不外乎要麼坐牢、要麼徹底被擠出華盛頓上層圈、要麼出國避難、要麼團結支持者成立美國的第三政黨。美國廣播公司和益普索公司在前一天的民調結果顯示,56%的受訪者希望看到川普因彈劾案被定罪。

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局

而川普本人雖然表面上對於彈劾案表現出不削一顧,甚至連出庭作證都百般拒絕,但是從他在近段時間四處尋找能夠給自己辯護的律師來看,川普還是希望能夠保住東山再起的機會。

可即便川普用盡全力地掙扎,都無法扭轉建制派的想法。更不用說在這個過程中拜登已經下達了「死命令」,對川普的彈劾案必須繼續,無論面對多大的阻力,也必須讓川普為過去四年的所作所為付出代價。

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局

之所以會引起建制派勢力如此巨大的反彈,甚至不惜發動連續彈劾也要讓川普身敗名裂,根源就是在過去的四年時間裡,川普利用民粹浪潮將美國社會內部撕扯的四分五裂。孤立主義的重新抬頭,使得美國在國際社會上失去了領袖地位。

而這些恰好都是美國能夠成為世界霸主的基礎。而發生在1月份的國會山暴亂,則是徹底撕破了川普和建制派勢力最後的遮羞布。只有將川普完全打落塵埃永遠不能翻身,美國的「燈塔」才有機會重新閃耀。

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局

可無論是拜登還是建制派勢力,他們要面對的障礙絕對不僅僅是川普自己,川普所代表的「憤怒的鐵鏽帶」才是真正的根源。過去建制派一直推崇的全球化和資本自由,正在日復一日地侵蝕著本國的實體產業。

美國經濟高度的金融化使得貧富差距已經被拉到了極致,兩次金融危機再加上占領華爾街運動,美國底層民眾的憤怒無以復加,最終在2016年讓川普成功抓到機會上位。

要麼坐牢要麼出國?川普彈劾案審判啟動,美頂級智庫預測9種結局

而現在川普身後的支持者仍然不在少數,其中甚至不乏相當多的死忠粉。拜登可以通過操控媒體來指責川普,卻無法用同樣的方式去攻擊川普身後數千萬的支持者。因為如此一來,反而會進一步造成美國內部的極端對立。

這不僅違背了當初拜登所說的「團結美國」,同時也給後續的防疫工作帶去了新的障礙。畢竟在川普的「努力」之下,美國的防疫工作「成功」的從一個科學問題變成了政治問題。由此可見,拜登想要從根本上剷除川普以及他的影響力,只是單純的彈劾可能還不足以達成目的。

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