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美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國? – 有海水的地方就有中國人

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?
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截止到2月2日,美國的新冠病毒確診人數已經達到了2691萬,死亡人數更是達到了45萬之多。美國一下子從超級大國就成為了 「超疾大國」。同時,作為不少聯盟中的主導和核心,美國放任自身的懶散和墮落,使得周邊盟友都開始對它大呼失望,肉眼可見的,美國的公信力和地位正在急速下降,還有人甚至將美國的隕落和上世紀末的蘇聯相比,那麼美國真的會重蹈蘇聯的覆轍嗎?

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?

#歷史短鏡頭# 眾所周知,現在的美國可謂是內憂外患,四分五裂。除了兩黨政權的爭奪之外,種族矛盾的問題也隨之爆發。疫情衝擊下,美國經濟一直處於停擺的狀態,要上不上,要下不下。正如現在的拜登政府一下,雖然不少民眾都期待的他能夠拯救美國,帶領美國走出困境,但其中也不乏唱衰的聲音。

拜登能否「拯救」美國

到底,拜登在美國搖搖欲墜的情況下,能否穩定住自身的優勢和挽回美國的形象呢?我們從兩個方向來看。第一,拜登對自身的地位很明確,那就是絕對的「政治正確」,從他組閣中的新成員就能夠看出,白人、黑人、男同、女性都有,從性別和種族多樣性來塑造自己平等、民主的開明形象。不得不說,這確實讓他從一部分人心中獲得了超額的信任。

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?

可川普留下的「副作用」實在是大,時至今日,「競選舞弊」的質疑依舊存在,並且美國的得州還趁機鬧起了分裂,公開喊話要在合適的舉行對得州的「獨立公投」。但好在水花不大,拜登並沒有對這樣的行為多加回應。反而是一心一意地將目標放在了修復外交關係和刺激經濟回春的問題上。據悉,拜登目前為救助遭疫情重創的美國經濟社會,推進疫苗生產及分發,拜登就任前拋出了一項高達1.9萬億的「美國救援計劃」。其中包括了將每周聯邦失業救助金增加至400美元,推進疫苗的生產和分發,用於援助美國社區和企業等問題當中。雖不能保證能夠徹底挽救惡化的疫情趨勢,但確實給美國社會和民眾帶來了一絲喘息的機會。

美國是否會成為下一個蘇聯

關於美國是否會成為下一個蘇聯的問題,其實在各界中都有著不同的看法,可總的來說,即使美國現在確實面臨著和當年差不多的處境。但美國不論是從國情和基礎上來看,淪為蘇聯一樣悲慘解體的可能性,其實並不太大。首先我們要明白的一點,那就是美國與蘇聯有著本質上的區別,蘇聯屬於邦聯制,而美國屬於聯邦制,從集中程度上來看就存在一定的差別。其次,蘇聯當初面臨內外壓力也不同,各方勢力交錯,並在沒有一個強硬的主心骨的情況下「群雄四起」,再加上一個野心勃勃的親西方派的葉爾欽,蘇聯的解體更像是正常的帝國崩潰,所以分裂的很徹底,一點也不拖泥帶水。

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?

而美國當前的分裂,不過是在政見不合的基礎上進行的黨派之爭,不僅僅是在拜登上任初期,在歷屆的總統更迭中都是屢見不鮮。更何況,今年的民主黨和共和黨在對待川普的問題上還達成了詭異的一致,不管雙方撕扯得多麼慘烈,在認可美利堅唯有堅固才強大的目標上,他們的立場都會是一樣的。至於美國社會中存在的少種族分歧和個別州的「獨立思維」都難成大氣候。因為一直以來,美國制度上就沒有明確指導思想和目標也沒有強大、可獨裁的政治力量,雖然遊行、抗議鬧得很歡,但總的來說,不過是雷聲大雨點小罷了。

美國要成為下一個蘇聯?歷史般的重合,拜登還能否拯救美國?

並且,蘇聯會落得割裂的下場,有很重要的一點就是經濟的衰落。哪怕是在鼎盛時期,蘇聯的經濟對比美國都有著一定的差距。沒能找准發展的方向和合理的政策,在西方國家的壓制下,蘇聯的「窮途末路」只能說是天時地利人和,霉上加霉的結果而已。反之,美國雖然經歷過大大小小的金融危機,但至少美元體系依舊堅持,去美元化的效率阻擋不了美元的繼續吸血。只要資本存在,美國在短期內終歸不會出現經濟問題和社會問題的崩盤。如同長久以來的一樣,矛盾依舊存在,卻死而不僵。

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