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受益於中國需求,澳大利亞鐵礦石價格飆升改善聯邦預算赤字 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

受益於中國需求,澳大利亞鐵礦石價格飆升改善聯邦預算赤字

受益於中國需求,澳大利亞鐵礦石價格飆升改善聯邦預算赤字
3,197

▲(图片来自视觉中国)

华舆讯 据澳洲网报道 德勤经济(Deloitte Access Economics)的最新分析显示,不断飙升的铁矿石价格和强于预期的就业市场正在改善联邦预算,但澳洲仍面临有史以来最严重的赤字和最高的债务水平。

《时代报》14日报道,联邦财长弗莱登伯格(Josh Fredenber)此前预测,2020至2021财年的财政赤字将达到创纪录的2137亿元。但德勤表示,受益于中国的需求,铁矿石价格飙升或将改善联邦预算,今年的赤字将比10月的预测多出30亿元。尽管如此,2100亿元的赤字仍将是有记录以来最大的赤字。预算也可能受益于新冠肺炎经济衰退的强劲反弹,因为需要就业补贴的人数远低于预期。但他警告称,随着澳央行将官方利率调至0.1%,莫里森政府面临着解决预算问题的压力。他说:“在可预见的未来,预算政策必须比以往更加灵活。”

联邦银行经济主管埃尔德(Gareth Aird)对预算的看法更为乐观。他表示自去年10月以来,铁矿石价格加上经济好转将使利润增加130亿元。他说:“预计的预算赤字规模仍将非常庞大。但总的来说,相比10月的预算案,我们可以期待今年的年中预算更新会带来一些好消息。”(原标题:受益于中国需求 铁矿石价格飙升改善联邦预算赤字)。

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