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拜登還未上任,日本就火速表態,奉勸美國對華政策需正視現實 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

拜登還未上任,日本就火速表態,奉勸美國對華政策需正視現實

拜登還未上任,日本就火速表態,奉勸美國對華政策需正視現實
2,826

据报道,当地时间11月18日,日媒《日经亚洲评论》发表文章告诫拜登政府,奉劝其在为新政府规划政策的过程中,不要“误认为全球公司都有意撤出中国“,也不要“误认为中国的制造业力量正在减弱”。否则,拜登将很可能会重复特朗普的错误。

拜登还未上任,日本就火速表态,奉劝美国对华政策需正视现实

这次日本总算看清现实了

文中提到,“中国制造业已过了鼎盛时期,现在正输给东南亚和印度。”这种观点是错误的,具有严重的误导性。诚然,现在一些制造业从中国转移到了邻国。但其实中国的制造业有着强劲的韧性,其持续增长的经济和全球出口的竞争力就足以证明这一点。

拜登还未上任,日本就火速表态,奉劝美国对华政策需正视现实

文中还特别提到,中国的制造业产值比亚洲其他国家的总和还要多。即便是作为亚洲第二制造大国的日本,产量也只达到了中国的1/4。印度制造业的产值更是只有中国的大约1/10。自2016年以来,中国在全球出口的产品一直在不断增加,但同一时期,美德日韩四国在全球制造业出口中的份额却均下降。

疫情加速了世界对中国制造的需求

日媒给拜登提出的这些告诫并非没有道理。早在今年9月,英媒就在报道中表示,虽然中国去年与美国贸易产生了摩擦,导致出口承受了不少的外部压力。但是,到今年年中,中国在全球出口中的主导地位却超过了以往任何一年。报道还强调,疫情还在全球蔓延,这更增加了各国对中国制造产品的需求。

拜登还未上任,日本就火速表态,奉劝美国对华政策需正视现实

今年7月,牛津经济研究院也在一份报告中指出,外部竞争对中国市场份额的影响只是暂时的,中国出口能够适应不断变化的需求。西方的经济刺激计划与中国更为温和的刺激措施形成了鲜明的对比,中国的措施侧重于供应。今年疫情导致全球消费模式发生了重大的变化,这更加为中国的制造业提供了更大的平台。

日本向形势低头,不再看美国脸色

今年,疫情导致全球经济受到了严重的创伤。在这样严峻的形势下,中国不仅成功控制住疫情,并快速的恢复了经济。这让原本一直看美国脸色行事的日本,这次也不得不向形势低下了头。在美国不看好RCEP的情况下,日本还是选择了加入有中国在内的RCEP。

拜登还未上任,日本就火速表态,奉劝美国对华政策需正视现实

这其实不是日本第一次和美国“唱反调”了,事实上,早在年初,特朗普政府表示考虑退出世贸组织框架下总额高达1.7万亿美元的政府采购协定时,对美出口有可能因此遭受严重损失的日本和欧盟等主要经济体就对美国感到大失所望,反而有意与中国加强在经济领域的合作。当时日本还表示,会与中韩两国就自贸区协定展开新的研究与讨论。

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