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特朗普、拜登誰能贏得大選?還有這幾種可能 – 有海水的地方就有中國人

特朗普、拜登誰能贏得大選?還有這幾種可能

特朗普、拜登誰能贏得大選?還有這幾種可能
2,268

新京报快讯(记者 谢莲)美国已经进入11月4日,但总统选举结果仍未明朗。据美国福克斯新闻统计数据,民主党总统候选人乔·拜登目前获得了238张选举人票,共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普获得213张选举人票,两人距离胜选所需的270张选举人票都还有差距。

不过,由于仍有多个中西部地区的州未宣布结果,特朗普和拜登都还有胜选的可能。美媒指出,目前的结果仍存在多种可能性。

若是拜登保持在内华达州(6张选举人票)、威斯康星州(10张)的领先优势,那他将赢得254张选举人票。在此基础上,他赢得密歇根州(16张)、乔治亚州(16张)或宾夕法尼亚州(20张)中任何一个州,就将赢得大选。

对特朗普而言,若是他能保持目前在密歇根州、宾夕法尼亚州、乔治亚州、北卡罗来纳州的优势,那他将赢得超过270张选举人票,也就将赢得大选。

还有一种情况是,拜登赢得内华达州、威斯康星州和北卡罗来纳州(15张),特朗普赢下其他尚未宣布结果的州,那么两人的选举人票将正好持平,也就是269:269。

Biden raises $364.5 million in August, breaking record for a White House  campaign - MarketWatch

据“今日美国”报道,若是两位总统候选人的选举人票持平,结果将由美国国会决定。其中,众议院将投票决定总统人选,参议院将决定副总统人选。

众议院在投票决定总统人选时,并非每个议员代表一票,而是该州所有议员代表该州投出1票,也就意味着总共为50票,获得26票及以上的候选人胜选。目前,众议院中民主党占据多数席位,但若是按州划分,共和党占据优势。这也就意味着,现有的众议院格局对特朗普是有利的。

在参议院,100名议员投票选出副总统,获得多数票的候选人当选。目前共和党在参议院占据多数席位,因此这对于共和党也是有利的。

新京报记者 谢莲

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荒诞!美国大选结果还没出,这个国家的总理却抢跑了

大家都知道,目前美国大选的结果尚未公布,而且美国总统特朗普和他的竞争对手拜登都宣称自己能赢,局势极为胶着。

可令人吃惊的是,一个欧洲国家的总理居然已经迫不及待地向特朗普祝贺了。

据英国路透社报道,这位总理名叫亚内兹·扬沙,是斯洛文尼亚的总理。

就在北京时间11月4日下午5时左右,这位斯洛文尼亚总理突然在他的个人推特上发帖,称“很明显美国人民已经选择特朗普和彭斯继续任职4年”,并恭喜了特朗普和彭斯的连任。

他还指控美国“主流媒体”在拖延这一信息的发布,并称这种做法只会让特朗普的胜利显得 “更重大”。

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目前尚不清楚身为一国总理的扬沙,为何会在美国所有主流媒体以及双方竞选阵营都没有正式宣布结果的情况下,如此提前祝贺特朗普胜选。

从路透社的报道来看,这可能是因为特朗普的妻子、美国现任第一夫人梅拉尼娅的老家是斯洛文尼亚,而且扬沙本人在斯洛文尼亚也是一个右翼保守派。

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可鉴于美国的选举局势仍不清楚,就连亲特朗普的福克斯新闻网都仍然保持着谨慎的态度,这位斯洛文尼亚总理的表态,未免也太冒失了。

目前,在扬沙这则祝贺特朗普“胜选”的网贴引起西方舆论关注后,推特站方已经将这个网贴打上了标签,提醒人们说美国还没有宣布谁赢得大选。众多在该网贴下留言的外国网民则要求推特和扬沙彻底删除这则很不恰当的网贴。

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